2 PM Update
A few severe storms are possible this afternoon. The atmosphere is becoming unstable. The warm front is further south than anticipated. I can’t rule out some reports of damaging winds and even an isolated tornado. Monitor watches and warnings.
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A moderate risk for flash flooding has been issued for parts of the area. Light green is a slight risk.
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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
What do the confidence levels mean?
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This forecast covers the counties in red.
This forecast covers the counties in red.
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Saturday Night – Some clouds. Mild. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Especially the first half of the night. And, widespread coverage into the night over our northern counties of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62-66 degree range
Winds: Winds variable in direction at 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 50%-70%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B. But, check radars from time to time. There will be some showers to deal with.
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Sunday Afternoon – Quite a few clouds. Thunderstorms likely. A few storms could become severe with damaging winds. Frequent lightning and torrential downpours also possible. Monitor watches and warnings.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways, lightning, strong winds, dime size hail, and an isolated tornado risk.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-95 degree range. Cooler where clouds are thicker. Warmer outside of the cloud zone.
Winds: Variable winds at 5-10 mph. Winds becoming southerly and southwesterly at 6-12 mph gusts to 22 mph. Winds north of the warm front will be variable in direction. The warm front will advance northward during the day. Thus, winds will become more south/southwest as the warm air moves into the region.
What is the chance for precipitation? 70%
Coverage of precipitation? Becoming numerous
Is severe weather expected? A few severe storms possible.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and radars on Sunday afternoon and night. A few intense storms could cause problems. Have a plan B
Sunrise will be at 5:40 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to perhaps high. Questionable amount of sun on Sunday.
Moonrise will be at 5:01 a.m. and moonset will be at 7:31 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Sunday Afternoon – Quite a few clouds. Thunderstorms likely. A few storms could become severe with damaging winds. Frequent lightning and torrential downpours also possible. Monitor watches and warnings.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways, lightning, strong winds, dime size hail, and an isolated tornado risk.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-95 degree range. Cooler where clouds are thicker. Warmer outside of the cloud zone.
Winds: Variable winds at 5-10 mph. Winds becoming southerly and southwesterly at 6-12 mph gusts to 22 mph. Winds north of the warm front will be variable in direction. The warm front will advance northward during the day. Thus, winds will become more south/southwest as the warm air moves into the region.
What is the chance for precipitation? 70%
Coverage of precipitation? Becoming numerous
Is severe weather expected? A few severe storms possible.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and radars on Sunday afternoon and night. A few intense storms could cause problems. Have a plan B
Sunrise will be at 5:40 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to perhaps high. Questionable amount of sun on Sunday.
Moonrise will be at 5:01 a.m. and moonset will be at 7:31 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Sunday Night – Cloudy. Thunderstorms possible. A few storms could be quite intense. Locally heavy rain also possible overnight.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning. Heavy rain possible. Gusty winds near storms. Can’t rule out severe thunderstorms near the warm front. Hail, damaging winds and isolated tornado risk.
Temperatures: Lows in the 68-74 degree range
Winds: Winds variable in direction at 4-8 mph. Gusts to 15 mph. As always, stronger near storms.
What is the chance for precipitation? 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Is severe weather expected? A few severe storms are possible. Monitor updated information.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and have a plan B.
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There remains some question as to the timing rain will exit on Monday. Have a plan B.
July 4th ~ Monday – Mostly cloudy. A good chance for morning and early afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Then scattered storms possible in the afternoon. A few storms could be strong with high winds. Frequent lightning and heavy rain possible. Some question on when precipitation will end on Monday. Have a plan B.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning. Gusty winds near storms. Heavy rain possible. Isolated severe thunderstorm risk.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 82-86 degree range. High temps will depend on cloud cover.
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 18 mph. Winds may become more west and southwest.
What is the chance for precipitation? 60%
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps numerous
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates. Some intense storms can’t be ruled out. Isolated severe weather risk.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Might be wise to have a plan B on Monday.
Sunrise will be at 5:40 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:17 p.m.
UV index will be 2-4. Mostly low because of cloud cover.
Moonrise will be at 6:00 a.m. and moonset will be at 8:25 p.m. New moon.
Monday Night – Quite a few clouds. Again, a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms.
What impact is expected? Maybe wet roadways and lightning. Locally heavy downpours possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 66 to 72 degree range
Winds: Winds south and southwest in direction at 5-10 mph. Winds becoming variable in direction.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%-50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Is severe weather expected? A few strong storms possible with gusty winds early in the evening.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? I would suggest having a plan B. But, I would not cancel plans.
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Tuesday – Partly cloudy. A scattered shower or thunderstorm possible.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 86-92 degree range
Winds: Southwest and west winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated to perhaps scattered.
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
Sunrise will be at 5:41 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 8-9 Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 7:01 a.m. and moonset will be at 9:14 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Tuesday Night – Partly cloudy. Isolated storm risk. Warm. Humid.
What impact is expected? Maybe wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 74-76 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated.
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars.
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There is considerable debate about rain chances Wednesday-Sunday. This will need to be monitored. A series of disturbances will pass to our north. Some could dip into our area. Hopefully they will.
Wednesday – Quite a bit of sun. Hot. Humid. Muggy. Scattered heavy thunderstorms are possible. Lower confidence.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning. Heavy downpours in storms.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 86 to 94 degree range. Isolated higher temperatures possible.
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%-30% (may need adjusting as we move forward)
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps isolated to scattered
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low to medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars
Sunrise will be at 5:41 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:17 p.m.
UV index will be 7-9. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 8:03 a.m. and moonset will be at 9:56 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Wednesday Night – Partly cloudy. Warm. Humid. A 30% chance for a thunderstorm.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning. Heavy downpours in storms.
Temperatures: Lows in the 76-78 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
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Thursday – Quite a bit of sun. Hot. Humid. Muggy. A less than 20% chance for a storm at any given location.
What impact is expected? Likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 90-96 degree range. Isolated higher temperatures possible.
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:42 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:17 p.m.
UV index will be 9-11. High.
Moonrise will be at 9:04 a.m. and moonset will be at 10:34 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Thursday Night – Partly cloudy. Very warm. Humid.
What impact is expected? Likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 76-82 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any at all
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Friday – Partly sunny. Hot. Humid. Muggy.
What impact is expected? Likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 90-96 degree range. Isolated higher temperatures possible.
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:42 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:16 p.m.
UV index will be 8-11. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 10:04 a.m. and moonset will be at 11:08 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Friday Night – Partly cloudy. Very warm. Humid.
What impact is expected? Likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 76-82 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Saturday – Partly sunny. Hot. Humid. Maybe a thunderstorm.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning if storms form. If storms form they could produce heavy rain.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 92-96 degree range
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:43 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:16 p.m.
UV index will be 8-11. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 11:04 a.m. and moonset will be at 11:41 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Saturday Night – Partly cloudy. Warm. Humid. A chance for a thunderstorm.
What impact is expected? Likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 76-82 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Sunday – Partly sunny. Hot. Humid.
What impact is expected? Most likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 92-96 degree range
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:44 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:16 p.m.
UV index will be 8-11. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at –:– a.m. and moonset will be at 11:57 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Sunday Night – Partly cloudy. Hot.
What impact is expected? Likely none. Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 76-82 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
More information on the UV index. Click here.
The weekend forecast is sponsored by Farmer and Company Real Estate.
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An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
- Thunderstorm chances increase on Sunday afternoon into Monday.
- Severe weather risk
- Heat wave is coming
Video update concerning severe storms on Sunday
Well, our holiday weekend has arrived! We had some showers and storms in the region on Saturday. Especially over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. That is where the most coverage was forecast. And, that is what has been happening.
We will have scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday night into Sunday morning. But, many areas will remain dry. Yes, a passing shower or storm is possible. Especially true for southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Further north you travel the better the chance for precipitation.
On Sunday a warm front will push northward through the region. Temperatures will jump into the 90’s and dew points into the 70’s south of the warm front. Muggy air. Air you wear. It won’t feel all that nice out on Sunday. A south and southwest breeze at 6-12 mph with some gusts to 16 mph.
Instability will build on Sunday afternoon. If we have plenty of sunshine then CAPE numbers will pop into the 2000-3500 range. Perhaps even higher. The amount of sunshine on Sunday is key to how unstable the atmosphere becomes. Remember, warm air rises. And, the sun will heat everything up. Thus, building energy.
Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, hail, and even tornadoes will be possible near the warm front on Sunday afternoon and night. The placement of the front is key to where severe weather will occur. If the front is further north then shift the risk northward.
At this time, subject to changes, it appears the greatest severe weather risk will be over the northern parts of southeast Missouri and then over parts of southern Illinois into northwest Kentucky. This could change. If the warm front is further south then changes would need to be made to this map.
Somewhere in this red box should have the greatest risk of severe storms on Sunday afternoon and night. Areas outside the box should also closely monitor updated information.
Showers and storms will continue on Sunday night into Monday afternoon.
There remains some questions as to what time the rain will end on Monday afternoon or night. The bulk of the rain, whatever does fall, should fall on Sunday night into Monday afternoon. It is during this time frame that the region should pick up 0.75″~1.5″ of rain. With pockets of 2-3″ possible. Isolated higher numbers where severe thunderstorms occur. Or, where storms train over the same areas.
I have not changed my rain forecast. It remains at 0.75″~1.5″ for just about the whole region. Let’s hope it verifies. We need this rain.
A heat wave will develop by the middle and end of next week. High temperatures should reach well into the 90’s on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. I can’t rule out 100 degree readings. But, let’s start out in the low to middle 90’s and then ramp up if need be. Either way, it will be hot. Heat index values will be in the 100-112 degree range. The 108-112 readings will occur if we actually move into the upper 90’s and lower 100’s for air temperatures.
Whether we have any precipitation during that time frame will depend on the placement of a few weak disturbances moving through the upper level wind flow. The odds favor central and northern Missouri, central and northern Illinois, and central and northern Indiana to pick up more precipitation vs our region. Still some time for shifts. Monitor updates. Let’s hope we don’t enter this next heat wave without some moisture in the ground. And, let’s hope we pick up some rain next week.
I know some of you have been telling me that it is as bad as 2012 in your fields. Thus, this rain is very important.
I will post a few maps below
Let’s look at the warm front on Sunday afternoon and night.
Let me walk you through these maps. This is a map issued by the SREF model from the Storm Prediction Center. I like to use it in the spring and winter for tornado forecasting. It does show an area of concern over parts of Missouri into Indiana by Sunday afternoon and evening. But, it is the lower end of the scale possible. I am not sure how well this model does in the summer. Summer is not like spring and winter.
Let’s look at where I think the warm front will be located on Sunday afternoon and night. Remember, the front is moving northward through the day on Sunday.
I have placed the front somewhere near St Louis and then southeast towards Evansville, Indiana. It is along this front where the thunderstorms would have the most spin. And, the tornado risk would be enhanced near the warm front. We need to watch the warm front on Sunday afternoon and night. The red line with red half circles would be the warm front.
Tornadoes are not all that common in July. Especially in our local area. But, there is at least a risk for a tornado on Sunday afternoon and night. Near the warm front.
The other colors on this map are three hour rainfall totals. Rainfall totals from 4 pm through 7 pm on Sunday afternoon. Notice the line of storms over western Missouri near the cold front. Then, the colors along and north of the warm front.
Here are the heat index numbers for Sunday afternoon. Notice the warm surge. You can see some heat index values well into the middle and upper 90’s
Here are dew points for Sunday afternoon. Air you wear. Dew points into the 70’s. Uncomfortable Notice the hump of purple? That is the warm front.
Here are the actual air temperature numbers. Actual high temperatures could rise into the 90’s on Sunday afternoon.
Here is the significant tornado parameter map from the 4K NAM guidance. You can see it spikes near the warm front on Sunday afternoon and evening. It is this zone that could have some threat for tornadoes. Let’s keep an eye on it.
Here is the SRH numbers. This is a measure of spin in the atmosphere. Again, notice along the warm front the colors spike. That is where the greatest spin is located. Thus, a threat for severe thunderstorms and even a few tornadoes. This map is for 10 pm on Sunday evening. Severe weather threat might continue into the overnight hours on Sunday. Again, mostly our northern most counties. But, other areas will need to be closely monitored, as well.
Here is the future-cast radar for 7 pm on Sunday afternoon. Some big cells on radar over parts of southern Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms? It is a possibility and needs to be monitored.
Let’s look at the NAM future-cast radar for Sunday into Monday evening. This won’t be exact. But, it will give you at least some idea on coverage.
On Saturday night around 10 pm you can see scattered showers and storms over part of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. The heavier rains will be to our north and northwest.
This next image is for 7 pm on Sunday night. Large area of showers and storms over parts of the region. We will need to monitor coverage on Sunday evening and night.
Future-cast radar for around 10 pm on Sunday night. Large area of showers and storms over parts of Illinois and Indiana. We will have to see how far south this extends.
Future-cast radar for Monday morning around 1 a.m.
Future-cast radar for 7 am on Monday morning. Scattered showers and storms in the region.
Future-cast radar for Monday afternoon shows some showers and storms in the region.
Here is the 7 pm future-cast radar. Still some scattered showers and storms in the region on Monday evening.
The EC and GFS are both showing the heat wave next week. Those are models.
The GFS is hotter than the EC.
Check out some of these numbers
These are the forecast highs, from the GFS, for Wednesday through Sunday of the new work week.
Images are from Weatherbell.com and you can click them for a larger view
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Some more graphics from the GFS. These are high and low temperatures for next week. Click image for large view
Carbondale high temperatures
Paducah
Cape Girardeau
Storm tracking tools below.
Storm Tracking Radar
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
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Saturday night: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible. Heavy downpours and lightning would be the main concern.
Sunday into Monday: Thunderstorms are possible. A few storms could become severe. Lets keep an eye on Sunday and Monday. Sunday afternoon and night there will be quite a bit of shear in the atmosphere. Damaging winds, hail, and even a few tornadoes will be possible. The main focus, again, will be near the warm front. The placement of the warm front is key to what happens locally. Right now it appears the warm front will be situated somewhere near St Louis into the Mt Vernon, Illinois area and then southeast towards Evansville. Monitor any watches and warnings that are issued on Sunday and Monday.
Monday night into Tuesday: Thunderstorms are again possible. A few storms could produce gusty winds. Heavy rain and lightning will be the main concern.
The level three threat is mainly for parts of southern Illinois into southwest Indiana and northwest Kentucky. But, we should all monitor updates on Sunday afternoon and night. Some severe weather is possible in the region. And, perhaps a few isolated severe weather reports on Monday, as well.
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I updated wording on severe weather. I updated all the temperatures. I updated wind speed for Sunday afternoon. I updated the long range numbers and bumped temperatures up a few more degrees.
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My main concern will be the severe weather threat on Sunday and Monday. The exact placement of the warm front will be key to where severe weather occurs. Monitor updates on any watches or warnings. There is the risk for damaging winds, hail, and even tornadoes. The main focus might end up over our northern counties. Let’s draw a line from Farmington, Missouri towards Evansville, Indiana and then southeast a bit into parts of Kentucky. There northward could be the main focus. But, the entire region will be unstable. Thus, let’s keep a close eye on this.
For Monday the focus might shift east/southeast into the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky. The main concern on Monday would be damaging winds.
Locally heavy rain is also possible with this event. A few spots could top three inches of rain. That would likely be near the warm front. Thus, our northern counties have the best chance for the big totals.
Monitor updates, as always.
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Umbrella handy. We will have some showers and thunderstorms on radar over the coming days.
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How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
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We will have at least a few scattered showers and storms on radar between now and Sunday afternoon. Activity picks up on Sunday afternoon into Monday. That is when the most widespread activity is anticipated. Some areas could pick up 0.75″-1.5″ of rain. With pockets of 2-3″ likely. If thunderstorms train over the same areas then greater than three inches of rain may fall. Let’s hope we can pick up substantial rain for the farmers. I know it is a holiday weekend, but we need rain.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
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Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
