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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
Remember that weather evolves. Check back frequently for updates, especially during active weather.
Tuesday night – Cloudy. A chance for snow. Snow may become mixed with sleet and freezing rain.
Temperatures: Lows from 22-28 with rising temperatures overnight
Winds: East/southeast winds 4-8 mph becoming northeast late.
What is the chance for precipitation? 80% chance
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered to widespread
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is Medium
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? Yes, some concerns for slick roads Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a back up plan.
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Cold air. Possibly some snow/sleet/freezing rain. Slick road conditions
Wednesday – Cloudy. A chance for a wintry mix or snow early in the day. Precipitation tapering off during the morning
Temperatures: Highs will range 30 to 35 degrees
Winds: Northeast winds 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 80% early and then diminishing to 30% after 12 pm.
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered to widespread
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is medium
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? Some wintry precipitation will be possible
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Some slick roads are possible Wednesday morning.
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Cold. Slick roads possible where temperatures fail to rise above freezing.
Wednesday night – Cloudy.
Temperatures: Lows from 25-30
Winds: Northeast winds 4-8 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 10%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated to none.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? Monitor updates
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Depending on what happens on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, there could be some slick roads in the area. Monitor updates.
Thursday – Cloudy. A 40% chance for precipitation.
Temperatures: Highs will range 34-38 degrees
Winds: East and northeast winds at 6-12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is LOW
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? Monitor updates.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Monitor updates as a new storm system may bring some precipitation to the area.
Better chances for precipitation as we move later into Thursday and Thursday night/Friday.
Closely monitor updated information on Thursday/Friday.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
Highlights
1. Wintry precipitation will come to an end on Wednesday morning
2. Another system possible Thursday and Friday
The main concern will be some snow on Wednesday morning. Perhaps a wintry mix over southern counties. Slick roads are the primary concern. Do not focus on amounts. Focus on impact. Impact will be slick roads.
I am watching a strong winter storm for Thursday and Friday. But, track will be key to our weather. If the low tracks too far north then we could have a wintry mix changing to rain and ending as snow. If the low tracks further south then we could have mostly snow.
This system needs to be monitored very closely. Models are showing a lot of precipitation with the event. Pay attention to updated forecasts.
Snow or a wintry mix will come to an end on Wednesday morning.
Monitoring both Thursday and Friday for more precipitation.
Wednesday – A wintry mix possible early in the day.
Thursday – Monitor updates as a new system takes shape to our southwest
Friday – Monitor updates as a new system takes shape to our southwest
Saturday – No snow or ice anticipated, at this time
Sunday – No snow or ice anticipated, at this time
I continue to update the snowfall event.
Main concern will be some slick roadways on Wednesday morning.
A number of schools will be closed.
Slick roadways possible on Wednesday.
Another wintry event possible Thursday and Friday. Monitor updates.
The wild card is the Thursday and Friday storm system. Will it snow or rain? Both? Freezing precipitation? Lot of questions. Monitor updates.
How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
Monitoring another system for Thursday and Friday.
I would encourage everyone to monitor updated forecasts. The track of the system will be key to our local weather.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
NOTE: Occasionally you will see ground clutter on the radar (these are false echoes). Normally they show up close to the radar sites – including Paducah.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
