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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
Remember that weather evolves. Check back frequently for updates, especially during active weather.
Monday night – Some clouds. C old. A few snow flurries or snow showers possible. Gusty winds.
Temperatures: Lows from 22 to 28
Winds: Southwest winds 8-16 mph and gusty.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? Some flurries or light snow showers possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? If a few snow showers fall then perhaps a little dusting here and there.
Tuesday – Partly cloudy. Cold. Windy at times. A few snow showers possible, mainly over southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky. A dusting to perhaps even an inch here and there. Sometimes these snow showers along a sharp cold front can produce a little more intensity. Something to monitor tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs from 34 to 38 and then falling temperatures during the afternoon.
Winds: West and northwest winds at 8-16 mph with gusts to 30+ mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? Some snow showers possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? It will be cold!
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Cold temperatures. Maybe some slick spots.
Tuesday night – Clearing and chilly.
Temperatures: Lows from 14 to 20 degrees across most of the area.
Winds: Northwest winds at 10-20 mph early and then 5-10 mph after midnight.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Cold temperatures.
Wednesday – Mostly sunny. Cold.
Temperatures: Highs will range from 34 to 38 degrees
Winds: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? It will be cold!
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Cold temperatures.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
Highlights
1. Short update
2. Cold weather to last for awhile
Another cold front moves through the region on Tuesday. A few snow showers along the front. Sometimes these events can produce a quick burst of snow. A dusting to even an inch of snow not impossible. The further northeast you travel in the area, the better chance for a few snow showers.
Some of us won’t see any flakes at all. Just keep that in mind.
Bitterly cold again by Wednesday morning with lows into the teens.
We will warm up on Thursday and Friday. That will be ahead of the next cold front and possibly some rain.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Click Here For River Stage Forecasts…
Some light flurries or snow showers possible on Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Small chance for a dusting or so in spots. Mainly over southeast Illinois into northwest Kentucky.
Tuesday – Some snow showers possible. Light. Mainly over southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky.
Wednesday – No snow or ice
Thursday – No snow or ice
Friday – Watching a new storm system (looks to be rain)
Saturday – Watching that same storm system
No major changes.
Main concern will be refreezing of any snow or ice that melts during the day. Use care, as always.
Slick roads will be the main concern (in areas that picked up snow and ice).
The wild card in this forecast will be some snow flurries or snow showers along a cold front on Tuesday. Perhaps a brief snow shower. A dusting to an inch. Sometimes these systems can produce a little bit more snow than expected. This is mainly over southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky.
How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
Snow showers possible on Tuesday.
Rain by Thursday night and/or Friday.
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
The thunderstorm threat level will be a ZERO on Tuesday through Thursday of this new work week.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Click Here For River Stage Forecasts…
Here are some current forecast hydrographs. These will be updated each day with new information.
Smithland Lock and Dam
Paducah, Kentucky Forecast Stage
Cairo, Illinois
Cape Girardeau, Missouri
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
NOTE: Occasionally you will see ground clutter on the radar (these are false echoes). Normally they show up close to the radar sites – including Paducah.
Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Click Here For River Stage Forecasts…
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
