Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

December 18, 2014: Precipitation ending this morning…

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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.

Thursday –  Mostly cloudy.  Cold.  Some morning light wintry precipitation coming to an end.  A chance for drizzle or light rain into the afternoon.  High temperatures will only be in the 30’s.  Winds will be from the north/northeast at 5-10 mph.

Thursday night – Mostly cloudy.  Chilly.  Low temperatures in the upper 20’s.  Northeast winds at 5-10 mph.

Friday –  Quite a few clouds.  It will be on the cool side with below normal temperatures.  High temperatures will be in the upper 30’s and lower 40’s.  East/northeast winds at 5-10 mph.

Friday night – Mostly cloudy.  A flurry or light snow shower possible.  Low temperatures will be in the 30’s.  East/northeast winds at 5 mph.

Saturday –  Cloudy.  A light snow shower possible.  Cold.  High temperatures will be in the upper 30’s.  Northeast winds at 5-10 mph.

Current Temperatures Around The Local Area

 

beausanalysis

An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days.

Our light precipitation is winding down.  We will be left with clouds and cold temperatures today.

Clouds will linger into Friday with below normal temperatures.

It continues to look as if the Friday night and Saturday system will track pretty far south.  So far south that most of the precipitation will be over the Tennessee Valley and Gulf Coast states.

The precipitation shield may not reach far enough north to cause too many problems in our area.  I will monitor and update accordingly as today’s data rolls in.  The overall trend for this system has been to place the bulk of the precipitation to our south.

 

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No major changes to the ongoing forecast.

 

whatamiconcered

This weekend system is tracking pretty far south.  So far south that impacts in our region might be fairly limited.

wildcard

The Wild Card gives you an idea of what might change that would cause the forecast to bust. A busted forecast means a forecast that does not verify.

Wild card in this forecast – the wild card in this forecast won’t arrive until Friday night and Saturday.  Another weather system will move through the southern United States.  This system will spread a precipitation shield northward towards our region.  The wild card is how far north precipitation will fall.

Right now I am not expecting this system to cause many problems in our local area.

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Will I need to take action?

Watch out for a slick spot or two on bridges this morning.  Otherwise, no concerns through Friday afternoon.

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Please visit your local National Weather Service Office by clicking here. The National Weather Service Office, for our region, is located in Paducah, Kentucky.

 

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How much rain should this system produce over our region?

Just some light precipitation the rest of today.

 

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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.

If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com

WEATHER RADAR PAGEClick here

We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.

Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here

NOTE:  Occasionally you will see ground clutter on the radar (these are false echoes).  Normally they show up close to the radar sites – including Paducah.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

Regional Radar – Click on radar to take you our full radar page.

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There is at least a chance of some light precipitation over our local region on Friday night.  Right now I am not overly excited about this particular event.  If the low were to track further north then I would be more concerned.

I will continue to monitor the system and update if changes are necessary.

 

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Christmas week might be active over the eastern half of the United States.  We are going to have several storm systems to monitor.  Too early, of course, to talk details.

Right now it appears a chance of rain arrives around Monday night.  Will have to see how strong that system is.

That means a lot of pressure on the weatherman to get the forecast correct for Santa and his reindeer.  Which, I will be working on it!  No worries.

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There seems to be an overall push towards a pattern change as we move into next week.  This could trigger some arctic air to finally filter down into the United States.

I know a lot of people have travel plans as we move into late this weekend and next week.  Stay tuned and monitor updates.

I will try to plug all the data in and make some sense out of it.

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Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more

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This blog was inspired by ABC 33/40’s Alabama Weather Blog – view their blog

 

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