Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

May 8th through May 14th

Current risk:  None

Current confidence level: High.

Comments:  Tornadoes are not in the forecast.  

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Here is your bus stop forecast 

This morning

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This afternoon

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Tomorrow morning

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Tomorrow afternoon

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video and graphics below for more details specific to your county.  This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

See the rainfall probability graphic below.

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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?

A nice day ahead of us.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening over the northern portions of southeast Missouri and the northern portions of southern Illinois.

A chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms area-wide tonight.  Chances are higher over the northern half of the region.  See graphics below.

No severe weather concerns, thankfully.

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Here are the early morning current conditions.  These are the 4 AM readings.

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The latest drought monitor maps have been published.

We still have drought in the region.  There was some improvement north.

Double-click images to enlarge them.

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Weather Forecast

Good morning, everyone!  A nice day ahead of us.  A bit windy, at times.  Boaters should use care on area lakes and rivers.

High pressure will sit to our east today while a cold front forms to our north and west. This will cause south winds to increase to around 10–15 mph, with some gusts near 20 mph, especially across southeast Missouri. The warmer winds will help push afternoon temperatures into the mid-70s.

Late this afternoon and evening, there will be a few showers and thunderstorms moving southeast out of eastern Missouri and central Illinois.  Mainly after 5 pm.

The cold front will move toward the area tonight.

Humidity will increase as dew points rise into the low 50s later today, but the main energy of this system will stay well to our east. Because of that, only general  (non-severe) thunderstorms are expected, and the line of showers will likely weaken as it moves into our area.

There is about a chance that the showers hold together enough to bring 0.10″ to 0.50″ of rain, mainly along and north of the I-64 corridor in southeast Illinois and southwest Indiana.

Elsewhere, less than 0.25″ of rain is anticipated.  Not much.

Saturday will be nice, with dry weather returning between weather systems.

Saturday will also be the warmest day of the weekend, with many areas having a good chance of reaching around 75° to 80°.

Another weather system will bring a chance of rain late late Saturday night into Sunday.  The highest rain chances will be in southeast Missouri.  The rest of our area will see lower rain coverage/chances.

Rainfall totals from Saturday night into Sunday night will range from 0.00″ to 0.30″.  Some areas may miss out on the rain event.  We aren’t expecting much.  Not enough to significantly impact the drought.

Severe thunderstorms are not anticipated this weekend.  That is the good news!!

It is a bit odd for May.  Typically, May is peak tornado season in our region.   Let’s enjoy the lack of severe weather.  Last year was brutal.  We deserve a break.

Temperatures will cool again on Monday. High temperatures will be near 70°, and lows will be in the 40s.

We could reach the 80s again by the end of next week.  It will feel a bit more like May.

Rainfall total maps through Sunday.  Not much.   The highest totals will be across my northern counties.

Double-click on images to enlarge them.

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Let’s look at the rain probability maps.   What is the % chance of rain?

Double-click maps to enlarge them.

7 AM today to 7 PM tonight

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 76 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 77 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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