Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location). For all of your families eye care needs.
Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site.
You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full-service Carwash and Lube established in 1987.
They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well.
If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one-stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
The quad states area source for Precision Ag Technology. Locally owned and operated, specializing in planting, harvesting, fertilizer application and drainage. Visit them on their website and on Facebook. You can also find them on Twitter. They are located in Almo, Kentucky. Phone 270-718-0245
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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
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March 3, 2017
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Some patchy fog possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None, unless fog develops.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Temperatures: MO ~ 28 to 34 IL ~ 28 to 34 KY ~ 28 to 34 TN ~ 28 to 34
Winds: North winds at 0 to 5 mph
Wind Chill when applicable: 26 to 30
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 9:42 a.m. and moonset will be at 11:35 p.m. Waxing Crescent
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March 4, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Perhaps a few passing clouds. Mild.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 60 to 64 IL ~ 58 to 64 KY ~ 60 to 65 TN ~ 60 to 65
Winds: Becoming south and southwest at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:19 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:52 p.m.
UV Index: 3 to 5
Moonrise will be at 10:27 a.m. and moonset will be at -:– Waxing Crescent
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear early. Some increase in clouds.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~40 t0 45 KY ~ 40 to 45 TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds: South at 5 to 10 mph with higher gusts possible
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 10:27 a.m. and moonset will be at -:– Waxing Crescent
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March 5, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Windy. Partly sunny in the morning. Increasing clouds through the day. A 10% for a passing sprinkle or shower.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps wet roadways..
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 62 to 68 IL ~ 62 to 66 KY ~ 62 to 66 TN ~ 64 to 68
Winds: South and southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:18 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:53 p.m.
UV Index: 1 to 3
Moonrise will be at 11:16 a.m. and moonset will be at 12:40 a.m. First Quarter
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. Some showers possible, especially late. Breezy.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 46 to 52 IL ~ 46 to 52 KY ~ 48 to 54 TN ~ 48 to 54
Winds: South and southeast at 12 to 24 mph and gusts to 30 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 11:16 a.m. and moonset will be at 12:40 a.m. First Quarter
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March 6, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Windy. Cloudy with showers likely. Maybe a thunderstorms.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updated forecasts
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps numerous. Most coverage in the afternoon.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have an alternative plan
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 68 IL ~ 64 to 68 KY ~ 65 to 70 TN ~ 65 to 70
Winds: South winds at 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:16 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:54 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 2
Moonrise will be at 12:09 p.m. and moonset will be at 1:43 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. Showers. Some thunderstorms possible. Windy.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Delete repeated word I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 55 to 60 IL ~ 55 to 60 KY ~ 55 to 60 TN ~ 55 to 60
Winds: South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 and above
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 12:09 p.m. and moonset will be at 1:43 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 7, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. A chance for showers. Thunderstorms possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways and lightning.
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have an alternative plan
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 68 IL ~ 64 to 68 KY ~ 64 to 68 TN ~ 64 to 68
Winds: West and southwest winds at 6 to 12 mph with gusty winds.
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:15 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:55 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 2
Moonrise will be at 1:08 p.m. and moonset will be at 2:41 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Showers ending. Becoming partly cloudy. Cooler.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps evening wet roadways and lightning.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 40 to 45 TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds: West and northwest at 6 to 12 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 1:08 p.m. and moonset will be at 2:41 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 8, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Mild.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have an alternative plan
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 64 IL ~ 58 to 64 KY ~ 58 to 64 TN ~ 60 to 65
Winds:
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:13 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:56 p.m.
UV Index: 5 to 7
Moonrise will be at 2:09 p.m. and moonset will be at 3:34 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Clear. Cool.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 35 to 40 IL ~ 35 to 40 KY ~ 35 to 40 TN ~ 35 to 40
Winds:
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 2:09 p.m. and moonset will be at 3:34 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
More information on the UV index. Click here
The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness.
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Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities.
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An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
Analysis
Friday night
Confidence: High
Light snow fell over parts of the region on Thursday night. I had snow in the forecast, but did not think it would stick to the ground. Ground temperatures are around 50 degrees. It managed to coat some areas. No travel problems.
and morning
Friday night:
Calm weather. Perhaps some fog developing. If fog were to develop then patchy dense fog possible. It will be on the cool side, but nothing out of the ordinary. Lows tonight will range from 28 to 34 degrees.
Saturday and Saturday night
Confidence: High
Calm weather for Saturday. Nice. You can expect quite a bit of sunshine. Temperatures should pop into the upper 50’s and perhaps lower 60’s. A few passing clouds. No precipitation anticipated.
Some increase in clouds will be possible Saturday night.
Check out the dew points on Saturday. Dry atmosphere.
Sunday and Sunday night
Confidence: Medium
Clouds will begin to increase on Sunday. Warmer air will pull northward from the Gulf of Mexico and an increase in dew points, as well.
I can’t completely rule out a brief passing shower on Sunday afternoon, but it really appears the rain will hold off until Sunday night into Monday. If showers do develop they would be light.
I would not cancel any plans on Sunday. It should be a decent day. Clouds will increase, as mentioned above.
Winds will gust to 20 mph on Sunday and 25 mph Sunday night. Winds will increase Sunday night and Monday.
Rain chances will increase Sunday night. I doubt widespread rain arrives until Monday and Tuesday. Plan on some showers Sunday night (esp late).
Small risk for lightning Sunday night. I think the lightning risk increases Monday and Tuesday.
Monday into Tuesday
Confidence: Medium
Breezy weather develops Sunday night into Monday night. I would not be surprised if winds gusted into the 30 to 40 mph range on Monday and Monday afternoon. Strong southerly winds will pull the warmer air northward. Higher dew points, as well. This combination will help set the stage for increasing shower and thunderstorm chances.
The severe weather threat is not zero, but does not appear great. At least not at this time. I will keep an eye on it. Wind fields will be strong. Wind shear will be strong, as well. The question will be dew points and instability.
If dew points were higher, I would be a bit more concerned. Still several days away.
Here is the wind gust map for Monday morning. Winds will be gusty because of the pressure gradient. Tight pressure gradient equals gusty winds.
Dew points will be on the rise. Look back at Saturday’s dew points (above) and compare to these. The area of low pressure pulls air upward from the Gulf of Mexico, thus, an increase in dew points (moisture).
Normally dew points of 58 and above get my attention (when it comes to thunderstorms)
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Here is the GFS precipitation may for Monday into Tuesday
12 PM Monday
This next map is for 6 PM on Monday
This next map is for 12 AM on Tuesday
I can’t rule out some locally heavy downpours. Let’s keep an eye on it.
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How much rain is expected over the coming days?
Here is the official NOAA rainfall predictions
This is through 6 am on Monday. There could be showers on Sunday night. If showers develop they would produce less than 0.10″
This map may need updating if confidence increases on some showers Sunday night.
This is through next Wednesday. Most of this falls on Monday and Tuesday.
High and Low-Temperature Outlook
Saturday low temperature forecast
Saturday afternoon high temperature forecast
Sunday low temperature forecast
Sunday high temperature forecast
No major concerns.
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Severe thunderstorm outlook.
Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Friday night through Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Perhaps a risk of lightning after 1 am Monday morning
Monday and Tuesday: A cold front will approach from the west. Thunderstorms are possible. Wind shear will be high. Instability may be lacking. Thunderstorms are possible. The risk for severe weather is not zero. Monitor updates.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
National interactive radar: Click this link.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC. I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com
WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
