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Key Seven-Day Weather Information
If your app is not receiving notifications, then please email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
The heat wave will continue through the weekend. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Sunday, with afternoon temperatures reaching the middle 90s to near 100 degrees. Some locations could approach or break record highs.
Double-click to enlarge the graphics.
A weak front to our north may move far enough south today to produce a few isolated showers and thunderstorms, mainly across northern and eastern portions of the region. Most locations will remain dry. A stray shower or thunderstorm is also possible Saturday afternoon, mainly over southwest Indiana.
Changes will begin late Sunday into Monday as a cold front slowly moves across the region. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase Sunday night into Monday, especially across northern and western areas at first. Rain chances will spread southeast during the day Monday.
Monday afternoon rain chances will range from around 20–40% across western Kentucky to 40–60% across the rest of the region. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may continue Monday evening before gradually ending from northwest to southeast into Monday night.
🌡️ The cold front will finally bring relief from the heat.
Finally!
Temperatures have been trending cooler for next week. Our first brush with autumn. Sure beats the last three weeks.
Monday will still be warm, with highs ranging from the upper 80s northwest to the middle 90s southeast.
By Tuesday, highs will only reach the middle 70s northwest to the middle 80s southeast.
Wednesday and Thursday look dry and much more comfortable, with highs generally in the middle 70s to around 80 degrees. Humidity levels will also be much lower.
Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Live lightning data: Click here.
Real-time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
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🌪️ Seven-Day Outlook ⛈️
September 18th through September 24th
A severe thunderstorm is defined as a storm that produces 58 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail or larger.
⛈️ Current severe thunderstorm risk: NOT AT THIS TIME.
🌪️ Current tornado risk: NONE.
🌪️ Current confidence level in the tornado forecast: CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS HIGH.
Here is my weekly thunderstorm concern meter..
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Seven-Day Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? POSSIBLE. An isolated chance today into Saturday night. Mainly over northern portions of southeast Missouri and the northern half of southern Illinois. Perhaps into northwest Kentucky and eastern western Kentucky. See the rain probability maps below for those details.
A chance of scattered lightning area-wide from Monday and Monday night. Ending north to south Monday night and Tuesday.
2. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
3. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
4. Will the temperature rise above 90 degrees? YES. Today through Monday. Northern portions of southeast Missouri and the northern half of southern Illinois may end up in the 80s on Monday. That will depend on how fast the front moves through.
5. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 100 degrees? YES. Today through Sunday.
6. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 110 degrees? NO.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
-> Rain chances will vary (county-by-county rain probabilities can be found below. Scroll down)
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Here are the waking-up temperatures and dew points.
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⚠️ This won’t be exact because the graphic is trying to predict where summer storms will form.
⚠️ Summer thunderstorms can produce a wide range of totals.
Eastern View
Double-click on the images to enlarge them.
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Western view (Missouri and southwest Illinois)
What is the % chance of rain?
These maps are broken down into 12-hour time periods.
* Remember, a 20% chance of rain during the summer months does not mean that it will not rain. It means there will be a few thunderstorms on the radar.
Double-click maps to enlarge them.
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Double-click maps to enlarge them.
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Friday night
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Saturday
Saturday night
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* Future-cast radars are rarely exactly right. Take the general idea from this animation. These models do their best to forecast where precipitation will develop and move. In the end, they are a model.
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM 3K Model
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Here is a map to help you find your general location.
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Hrrr
* Future-cast radars are rarely exactly right. Use this animation for the general idea. These models do their best to forecast where precipitation will develop and move. In the end, they are a model.
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.10″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favor below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 58 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.10″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favor below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
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Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
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🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
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Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
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