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Key Seven-Day Weather Information
If your app is not receiving notifications, please email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
Friday, October 16th
A Big Change in Temperatures!
🥶 Much colder today!
A strong cold front is moving through our region this morning, bringing a dramatic temperature drop.
High temperatures today will be 25 to 35 degrees colder than yesterday! Many areas will struggle to reach 60 degrees.
It will also be windy. Gusts of 30 to 35 mph are possible behind the cold front early this morning. Winds should gradually decrease, but it will remain breezy throughout the day.
A few showers are possible early this morning. Otherwise, expect plenty of clouds.
🍂 Saturday will remain chilly and breezy.
Northwest winds will continue Saturday, keeping temperatures on the cool side.
The bigger story arrives Saturday night.
🍂 Frost and freezing temperatures are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning!
This could be our first widespread frost of the autumn season.
Overnight temperatures will drop into the 30s across much of the region.
Frost appears likely in many areas. Some locations in southern Illinois and southwest Indiana could even drop to 32 degrees or colder.
If you have sensitive outdoor plants, you may want to take steps to protect them before Saturday night.
A Frost Advisory may be issued for portions or all of our region.
☀️ Warmer weather returns next week!
Sunday marks the start of a warming trend.
Temperatures will gradually climb back to more typical October levels by the middle of next week.
Here’s what to expect next week:
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☀️ Plenty of sunshine and dry weather.
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🌡️ Afternoon highs climbing into the middle 70s.
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🍂 Cool nights with lows generally in the middle 40s.
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💨 Lower humidity and comfortable afternoon temperatures.
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🌧️ No significant rain chances in the forecast.
Bottom line: A big blast of chilly autumn air arrives today and lasts through the weekend. Watch for frost and possibly freezing temperatures Saturday night. After that, we can look forward to a stretch of beautiful autumn weather next week, with mild afternoons and cool nights.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Live lightning data: Click here.
Real-time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
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🌪️ Seven-Day Outlook ⛈️
October 16th through October 23rd
A severe thunderstorm is defined as a storm that produces 58 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail or larger.
⛈️ Current severe thunderstorm risk: NO.
🌪️ Current tornado risk: NO.
🌪️ Current confidence level in the tornado forecast: CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS HIGH.
Here is my weekly thunderstorm concern meter.
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Seven-Day Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.
2. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
3. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
4. Will the temperature rise above 90 degrees? NO.
5. Will temperatures fall below 32 degrees? NO.
6. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 100 degrees? NO.
7. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 110 degrees? NO.
8. Will the wind chill forecast fall below 10 degrees? NO.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
-> Rain chances will vary (county-by-county rain probabilities can be found below. Scroll down)
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Here are the waking-up temperatures and dew points.
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Eastern View
Double-click on the images to enlarge them.
JUST SOME LIGHT RAIN TODAY
Western view (Missouri and southwest Illinois)
JUST SOME LIGHT RAIN TODAY
What is the % chance of rain?
These maps are broken down into 12-hour time periods.
* Remember, a 20% chance of rain during the summer months does not mean that it will not rain. It means there will be a few thunderstorms on the radar.
Double-click maps to enlarge them.
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Double-click maps to enlarge them.
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Scattered light showers today.
Chances will range from 20% to 40%.
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NONE
* Future-cast radars are rarely exactly right. Take the general idea from this animation. These models do their best to forecast where precipitation will develop and move. In the end, they are models.
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Hrrr
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Here is a map to help you find your general location.
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NAM 3K Model
* Future-cast radars are rarely exactly right. Use this animation for the general idea. These models do their best to forecast where precipitation will develop and move. In the end, they are a model.
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 78 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.10″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favor below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.10″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favor below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
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