Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location). For all of your families eye care needs.
Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site.
You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full-service Carwash and Lube established in 1987.
They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well.
If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one-stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
The quad states area source for Precision Ag Technology. Locally owned and operated, specializing in planting, harvesting, fertilizer application and drainage. Visit them on their website and on Facebook. You can also find them on Twitter. They are located in Almo, Kentucky. Phone 270-718-0245
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The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users. The purpose of this APP is for me to deliver your text messages instantly. ATT and Verizon have not always been reliable when it comes to speed. The APP allows instant delivery.
Some of you have asked if you can keep receiving the texts on your phone and the app. The answer to that is, yes. The Android app will automatically allow that to happen. On the Apple app, however, you will need to go into your app and click settings. Make sure the green tab is OFF. Off means you will still receive the texts to your phone and the app. If you have any questions, then email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
The APP is for text subscribers.
The direct download, for the Apple app, can be viewed here
https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/id1190136514
If you have not signed up for the texting service then you may do so at www.beaudodsonweather.com
The Android APP is also ready.
Remember, the APP’s are for www.weathertalk.com subscribers. The app allows your to receive the text messages faster than ATT and Verizon.
Here is the download link for the Android version Click Here
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If you have not signed up for the texts messages, then please do. Link www.beaudodsonweather.com
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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear and cool.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 42 IL ~ 36 to 42 KY ~ 38 to 44 TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds: West and southwest at 6 to 12 mph before midnight and then variable at less than 5 mph after midnight.
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 1:08 p.m. and moonset will be at 2:41 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 8, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Warm for early March. Some upper 60’s possible over southeast Missouri
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have an alternative plan
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 62 to 66 IL ~ 62 to 66 KY ~ 62 to 66 TN ~ 62 to 66
Winds: Southwest at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:13 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:56 p.m.
UV Index: 5 to 7
Moonrise will be at 2:09 p.m. and moonset will be at 3:34 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Clear. Cool.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 38 to 44 TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds: West and southwest at 5 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 2:09 p.m. and moonset will be at 3:34 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 9, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. A few passing clouds during the morning. Then, some clouds in the afternoon. A slight chance for showers after 4 pm. Warm for early March with well above normal temperatures. Some areas should touch 70 degrees. Amazing.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Rain should hold off until Thursday evening or night.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Late in the day a few showers possible.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 70 IL ~ 64 to 70 KY ~ 64 to 70 TN ~ 64 to 70
Winds: South at 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:12 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:57 p.m.
UV Index: 3 to 6
Moonrise will be at 3:11 p.m. and moonset will be at 4:21 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Showers and some thunderstorms.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways possible. Lightning.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 45 to 50 IL ~ 45 to 50 KY ~ 45 to 50 TN ~ 45 to 50
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Gusty at times
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 3:11 p.m. and moonset will be at 4:21 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 10, 2017
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny and mild.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 62 IL ~ 54 to 62 KY ~ 56 to 62 TN ~ 60 to 65
Winds: North winds at 6 to 12 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 6:10 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:58 p.m.
UV Index: 3 to 6
Moonrise will be at 4:14 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:03 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Increasing clouds. A 30% for rain.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant changes are likely
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 40 to 45 TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds:
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation?
Moonrise will be at 4:14 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:03 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Monitor updates on Saturday and Sunday’s forecast. A storm system could bring precipitation into the region.
More information on the UV index. Click here
The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness.
Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.
Visit their website here. Visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities.
Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
Analysis
Tuesday night into Thursday
Confidence: High
Brief today. I was up all night tracking the severe weather.
There were a few reports of down trees. The most intense damage was in Wickliffe, Kentucky.
A possible QLCS tornado hit Wickliffe, KY. Radar clearly shows a couplet. A couplet is rotation. Here are the radar images.
QLCS tornadoes are short lived tornadoes. They can be 10 feet wide to several hundred feet wide. They can last for seconds to minutes. Short lived and VERY hard to warn on.
I had QLCS tornadoes in the forecast last night. I never know where they might occur, but I know the conditions that produce them.
You can see the hook echo and then the green/red couplet.
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The good news is that calm weather is anticipated for Tuesday night into Thursday morning. Mild temperatures. Above normal temperatures.
Highs on Wednesday and Thursday will top out in the middle to upper 60’s. Someone could hit 70 degrees on Thursday Amazing.
Clouds should increase Thursday afternoon. Another weak system will pass through the area on Thursday night. Some showers and perhaps thunderstorms will be possible with the system. Not anticipating any severe weather or heavy rain.
Here is what the NAM is showing for Thursday evening and Thursday night. Future-cast radar. What radar might look like.
6 PM Thursday. Green represents rain showers.
This next image is for 9 PM on Thursday
This next image is for 12 AM on Friday morning. Rain should exit before Friday morning sunrise
A much stronger system could impact the region this weekend.
Weekend system:
Very low confidence
A winter storm is forecast to develop on Saturday and Saturday night. The question is track. If the low tracks far enough south then portions of our region could experience heavy wet snow and sleet. Thunderstorms are possible to the south and east of the area of low pressure.
It is still too early to know what track the system will take.
Let’s hope we do not have snow. If snow falls then a hard freeze will follow on Saturday and Sunday night. Areas that experience snow could have temperatures in the 18 to 25 degree range. This would cause problems for fruit trees that have already bloomed. We do not want this snow event.
Monitor updates. I am sure the forecast will need adjusting moving forward.
I am concerned about cold weather, as well. If snow falls then temperatures in the 20’s will occur. We could linger in the 20’s for 24 hours. That would not be good news for fruit trees.
If the snow does not fall, then temperatures might still fall below freezing.
I will have a lot more to say on Wednesday, about the weekend system
Stay tuned
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Find me on Twitter
How much rain is expected over the coming days?
Here is the official NOAA rainfall prediction
This map is for the Thursday night event ONLY.
High and Low-Temperature Outlook
Wednesday low temperature forecast
Wednesday afternoon high temperature forecast
Thursday low temperature forecast
Thursday high temperature forecast
No major concerns Tuesday night through Thursday.
I am monitoring a late season winter storm for the weekend. If you have travel plans in the Missouri and/or Ohio Valley then monitor updates. Heavy snow is likely to occur north of the area of low pressure. Questions remain on the track. Thus, monitor updates.
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Severe thunderstorm outlook.
Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Tuesday night through Friday night: Some lightning possible Thursday night. I am closely monitoring another system for Saturday. The Saturday system could produce strong thunderstorms to the south and east of the area of low pressure. The question is, where does the low track. Monitor updates
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
National interactive radar: Click this link.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC. I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com
WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
