Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

March 4, 2024: Unsettled. Thunderstorm chances. Mild.

 

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Seven Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES.  Lightning is likely tonight into tomorrow.  Lightning is likely again Thursday into Friday.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  POSSSIBLE.   A few of the thunderstorms could produce hail and gusty winds Monday night into Tuesday morning.  I will monitor Thursday into Friday for additional storm chances.  A few of the storms Monday/Monday night could produce hail large enough to trigger a severe thunderstorm warning.  That would be quarter size hail.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.  Several rain events are likely this week.  The ground in many areas remains drier than normal.  Flash flooding or general flooding appears unlikely.  Some common area standing water will be possible (fields and what not).  Generally, rain totals over the next seven days will range from 0.90″ to 1.80″.  Locally higher in thunderstorms.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NOT AT THIS TIME.

5. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  NO.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees?  NO.

7.  Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast?  NO.

8.  Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO.  
Freezing rain is rain that falls and instantly freezes on objects such as trees and power lines  Freezing fog possible, as well.

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BEAU’S STORM TRACKING RADARS

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Regional Radar
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Fire weather risk level.

Monday:  4 Low risk. 
Monday night: 3Very low risk. 
Tuesday: 3. Very low risk.

Fire Weather Discussion

Good dispersion will persist today with a healthy south wind gusting 20 to 25 mph. Mixing will increase rather quickly early this afternoon as we break through the inversion. Minimum RH`s will generally range from 45 to 55%. A cold front moves into the region tonight into Tuesday, bringing with it a good chance for a wetting rain along with a few thunderstorms. Transport winds becoming north-northeasterly behind the front on Wednesday, but generally remain fairly light so dispersion will remain poor. Another good chance for a wetting rain arrives late Thursday through at least Friday night, possibly lingering into Saturday. Good drying conditions return Sunday into next Monday with RH`s returning to the 30-40 percent range.

A Haines Index of 6 means a high potential for an existing fire to become large or exhibit erratic fire behavior, 5 means medium potential, 4 means low potential, and anything less than 4 means very low potential.

Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

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THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.  Scroll down to see your local forecast details.

48-hour forecast Graphics

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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities).  Your location will be comparable.

Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.

The forecast temperature shows you today’s expected high and this morning’s low.

The graphic shows you the record high and record low for today. It shows you what  year that occurred, as well.

It then shows you what today’s average temperature is.

It shows you the departures (how may degrees above or below average temperatures will be ).

It shows you the average precipitation for today.  Average comes from thirty years of rain totals.

It also shows you the record rainfall for the date and what year that occurred.

The sunrise and sunset are also shown.



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Monday Forecast:  Increasing clouds.   Mostly dry.  A small chance of a shower or thunderstorm after 4 PM.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 10%

Coverage of precipitation: Isolated or none
Timing of the precipitation: After 4 PM
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 76° to 78°
Southeast Missouri ~ 74° to 78°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 76° to 78°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 73° to 76°

Southern Illinois ~ 74° to 76°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 74° to 76°
Far western Kentucky ~ 74° to 78°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 74° to 78°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 74° to 78°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 74° to 78°

Winds will be from this direction:  South at 10 to 25 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 5. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:21 AM
Sunset: 5:53 PM .
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Monday  Night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly late.  A few storms could be intense.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~  70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~  80%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  70%
Southern Illinois ~  70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~  70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~  70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~  70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~  60%
Northwest Tennessee ~  70%

Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.  More likely after 11 PM vs before.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 56° to 58°
Southeast Missouri ~ 56° to 58°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 56° to 58°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 56° to 58°
Southern Illinois ~ 56° to 58°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 56° to 58°
Far western Kentucky ~ 56° to 58°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 56° to 58°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 56° to 58°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 56° to 58°

Winds will be from this direction:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 53° to 56°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Hail risk.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise: 2:08 AM
Moonset: 11:15 AM
The phase of the moon:   Waning Crescent

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Tuesday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. A few storms could be intense.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 66° to 68°
Southeast Missouri ~ 66° to 68°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 68° to 72°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 65° to 68°

Southern Illinois ~ 66° to 70°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 66° to 70°
Far western Kentucky ~ 68° to 72°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 68° to 70°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 68° to 70°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 68° to 72°

Winds will be from this direction: Wind becoming southwest and then west northwest at 7 to 14 mph.  Higher gusts possible.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.  Monitor the risk of hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:20 AM
Sunset: 5:54 PM .
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Tuesday Night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. A thunderstorm will be possible.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~  30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~  30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  30%
Southern Illinois ~  40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~  40%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~  40%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~  60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~  40%
Northwest Tennessee ~  30%

Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
A wide range for low temperatures

Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
Southeast Missouri ~ 42° to 45°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 48° to 50°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 42° to 44°
Southern Illinois ~ 42° to 44°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 43° to 46°
Far western Kentucky ~ 44° to 48°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 44° to 48°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 42° to 45°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 48° to 50°

Winds will be from this direction:   North 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 38° to 48°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise: 3:10 AM
Moonset: 12:17 PM
The phase of the moon:   Waning Crescent

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Wednesday Forecast:  Partly sunny.  A small chance of showers far south.  Most likely dry.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20%

Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Timing of the precipitation:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60° to 62°
Southeast Missouri ~ 62° to 64°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 64° to 66°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60° to 62°

Southern Illinois ~ 62° to 64°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 62° to 65°
Far western Kentucky ~ 62° to 65°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 63° to 66°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 62° to 64°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 64° to 66°

Winds will be from this direction:  North northeast 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.  At most, an isolated wet roadway.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
UV Index: 4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:18 AM
Sunset: 5:55 PM .
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Wednesday  Night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~  10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~  10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  10%
Southern Illinois ~  10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~  10%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~  10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~  10%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~  10%
Northwest Tennessee ~  10%

Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated.
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 36° to 38°
Southeast Missouri ~ 36° to 42°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 43° to 46°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 36° to 38°
Southern Illinois ~ 36° to 38°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40° to 44°
Far western Kentucky ~ 42° to 44°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 42° to 44°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 36° to 38°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 42° to 44°

Winds will be from this direction:   Northeast 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 32° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.  At most a wet roadway.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
Moonrise: 4:04 AM
Moonset: 1:29 PM
The phase of the moon:   Waning Crescent

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Thursday Forecast:  Increasing clouds. A chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 40%
Southeast Missouri ~ 40%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%

Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 58° to 62°
Southeast Missouri ~ 58° to 62°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 62° to 64°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 58° to 62°

Southern Illinois ~ 60° to 62°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60° to 62°
Far western Kentucky ~ 62° to 65°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 62° to 65°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 58° to 60°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 63° to 66°

Winds will be from this direction:  East southeast at 7 to 14 mph. Higher gusts possible.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
UV Index:  2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:17 PM
Sunset: 5:58 PM .
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Thursday Night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.  A thunderstorm will be possible.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~  60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~  70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  70%
Southern Illinois ~  70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~  70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~  70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~  70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~  70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation:  Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 54°
Southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 54°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 50° to 54°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 50° to 54°
Southern Illinois ~ 50° to 54°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 50° to 54°
Far western Kentucky ~ 50° to 54°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 54°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 50° to 54°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 50° to 54°

Winds will be from this direction:   Southeast at 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 46° to 52°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  I will monitor the risk of lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 4:50 AM
Moonset: 2:49 PM
The phase of the moon:   Waning Crescent

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Friday Forecast:  Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60° to 65°
Southeast Missouri ~ 60° to 65°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 60° to 65°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60° to 65°

Southern Illinois ~ 60° to 65°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60° to 65°
Far western Kentucky ~ 60° to 65°

The Pennyrile area of western KY ~60° to 65°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60° to 65°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 60° to 65°

Winds will be from this direction: South southwest t0 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.   Monitor updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
UV Index:  2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:16 PM
Sunset: 5:57 PM .
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Friday Night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~  60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~  70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~  60%
Southern Illinois ~  60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~  70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~  70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~  70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~  70%
Northwest Tennessee ~  70%

Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
Southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 40°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 44°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 42° to 44°
Far western Kentucky ~ 42° to 44°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 43° to 46°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 44° to 48°

Winds will be from this direction:   West northwest 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 44°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise: 5:30 AM
Moonset: 4:03 PM
The phase of the moon:   Waning Crescent

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Weather Highlights

    1.   Very warm today.  Record or near record highs.
    2.   Shower and thunderstorm chances enter the picture tonight into tomorrow.
    3.   Wednesday should be dry.  Rain chances ramp back up Thursday into Saturday.
    4.   A few of the thunderstorms could be intense Monday night into Tuesday morning.  Hail is the primary concern.

 

Weather advice:

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

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Beau’s Forecast Discussion

Good day, everyone.

I hope you enjoyed the amazing weekend.  Boy, was it ever warm.  Temperatures were well above seasonal averages.

Check out these Sunday afternoon temperatures.  It felt like spring.

A cold front is advancing into the region today, tonight, and tomorrow.

Today will be plenty mild.   Near record or record highs!  Some locations could hit 80 degrees.

We will also see an increase in clouds today.

Our rain event has slowed.  It is now forecast to arrive tonight and tomorrow.  There is a small chance of a thunderstorm after 4 PM today near the MO/AR border, but it should remain dry over the bulk of the region.

The front will push towards our area tonight and tomorrow.  That will bring increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms.  The Storm Prediction Center has portions of the region in a level one severe weather risk tonight and tomorrow.

The primary concern will be hail.  Perhaps up to the size of quarters.  That could trigger a few severe thunderstorm warnings.  The threat of wind and tornadoes appears very low – if not zero.

This is what the Paducah, KY NWS had to say about the severe threat.

“We do have a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms across SEMO into southwest IL, mainly for late Monday night through early Tuesday morning (roughly 9 PM through 3 AM).During much of the day Monday, we’ll be capped, warm, and breezy. We’ll actually have quite a bit of cloud cover in the morning with a few breaks in the afternoon.

There is not a clear trigger for thunderstorm development Monday evening, save for a weak mid-level trough. There will be some cooling in the 700-500 mb layer after 9 PM Monday night, along with the weak forcing. With the cap eroding overnight and a small trigger, the thinking is that this will be enough to kick off isolated to scattered storms across SEMO/southwest IL. 

Shear will be marginal at best for severe storms, but there will be rather steep mid-level lapse rates of 7-8 C/km. Downdraft CAPE will also be marginally supportive of downburst winds.

So overall, we’re looking at isolated/scattered thunderstorms developing Monday night in the marginal risk area, with an isolated potential for hail up to the size of quarters and wind gusts up to 60 mph if a strong or severe storm can form”.

And they posted this graphic

We will have gusty southerly winds today and tonight.  Those will be because of the gradient between high and low pressure.  Just a typical windy day ahead of us.  Some gusts into the 30s will be possible.  Nothing extreme.

It appears that the cold front will push through the region Tuesday.  Once the front moves south, then the rain chances will come to an end.

Wednesday into Wednesday night is likely to remain dry.  I did include a very small chance of showers over our southern counties.

A series of disturbances will push into the region Thursday into Saturday.  There are questions about the timing of that system.  Will it linger into Saturday?  That is one question.

Peak rain chances, late in the week, should be Thursday into Friday night.  Showers and some thunderstorms will likely dot the weather radars.  I will need to monitor the track of the area of low pressure.

If the low tracks to our north, then a few of the thunderstorms could be intense.  That is uncertain, for now.  I will monitor trends on the track and update accordingly.

Seven day rainfall totals.  We need this moisture.  It is dry over most of the region.

Cooler air arrives Saturday and Sunday behind the cold front.

Tuesday through Thursday will deliver above average temperatures, but not as warm as today.

Overall, an unsettled week ahead of us with on and off rain chances.

Updated Seasonal Outlooks have been posted by the long range team

March Temperature Outlook

March Precipitation Outlook

April Temperature Outlook

April Precipitation Outlook

May Temperature Outlook

May Precipitation Outlook

March, April, and May Temperature Outlook

March, April, and May Precipitation Outlook

June, July, and August Temperature Outlook

June, July, and August Precipitation Outlook


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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.

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Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter or larger size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables.  Click here.

Day One Severe Weather Outlook

Day One Severe Weather Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day One Tornado Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Tornado Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day One Large Hail Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Hail Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day One High wind Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Wind Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.  Day two outlook.

Day Two Outlook.  Zoomed in on our region.

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Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

 

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The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?

You are looking at computer model data.  Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavier rain.

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This  animation is the HRRR Model.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

Double click images to enlarge them.   Blue is snow.  Pink is a wintry mix.  Green is rain.

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This  animation is the NAM 3Z Model.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

Double click images to enlarge them.

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This  animation is the GFS Model.

Green is rain.  Yellow and orange are heavier rain.  Pink is a wintry mix.  Blue is snow.  Dark blue is heavier snow.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

Double click images to enlarge them.

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This  animation is the EC Model.

Green is rain.  Yellow and orange are heavier rain.  Pink is a wintry mix.  Blue is snow.  Dark blue is heavier snow.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=6 AM.  18z=12 PM.  00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM

Double click images to enlarge them.

 

 

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

 

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 56 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 36 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
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If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
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Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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