We have some great sponsors for the Weather Talk Blog. Please let our sponsors know that you appreciate their support for the Weather Talk Blog.
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This is a monthly subscription service. Supporting this helps support everything else. The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones.
For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
Remember that weather evolves. Check back frequently for updates, especially during active weather.
Weather Radars
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here
Thursday Night – A 30% chance for evening showers over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. A 40%-60% chance over western Kentucky into the Missouri Bootheel and northwest Tennessee. Precipitation should be coming to an end before midnight. Then a slight chance for showers after midnight.
Temperatures: Lows in the middle 40s north and middle to upper 40s south.
Winds: East/northeast winds at 6-12 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%-60%
Coverage of precipitation? Spotty north and scattered to widespread southern counties.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Rain might be an issue, especially this evening.
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning possible. Flooding possible.
Friday – Partly to mostly cloudy. Perhaps a few showers and storms scattered around. Nothing like Thursday.
Temperatures: High temperatures will range from 64 to 68.
Winds: East/northeast winds at 10-20 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%-30%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is Medium
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Maybe a risk for lightning. Lower confidence on lightning for Friday.
Friday Night – Cloudy. A chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures: Lows in the 55-60 degree range
Winds: East/southeast winds at 6-12 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? I can’t rule out some rain
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Maybe some lightning.
Saturday – Cloudy. A chance for showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon.
Temperatures: High temperatures will range from 68-74.
Winds: South at 6-12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40% during the morning and increasing to 60% by late afternoon.
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is Medium
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? I can’t rule out some rain
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning
Saturday Night – Cloudy. A chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures: Lows in the 58-64 degree range
Winds: South winds 6-12 mph. Gusts to 16 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 60%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered to perhaps widespread
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is Medium
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? I can’t rule out some rain
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning
Sunday – Partly to mostly cloudy. A small chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures: High temperatures will range from 68-74
Winds: South winds 6-12 mph. Gusts to 16 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is Medium
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? I can’t rule out some rain in the region.
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lightning
Our School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak.
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities. Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
- On and off rain/storm chances into the weekend
- River flooding
Here is the rainfall map from 7 am on Wednesday through 7 am on Thursday. You can see the widespread nature of this event. Click the image for a larger view.
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
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A few thunderstorms will be possible Thursday night through Sunday. Severe weather is not anticipated, at this time.
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No changes in this update.
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River flooding is a concern.
Flooding will remain a concern. Rivers will be on the rise.
How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
Additional rain is possible Thursday night into the weekend. Activity should be more scattered Friday into Sunday vs what happened on Wednesday and Thursday.
Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Click Here For River Stage Forecasts
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
