Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location). For all of your families eye care needs.
Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site.
You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full-service Carwash and Lube established in 1987.
They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well.
If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one-stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
The quad states area source for Precision Ag Technology. Locally owned and operated, specializing in planting, harvesting, fertilizer application and drainage. Visit them on their website and on Facebook. You can also find them on Twitter. They are located in Almo, Kentucky. Phone 270-718-0245
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The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users. The purpose of this APP is for me to deliver your text messages instantly. ATT and Verizon have not always been reliable when it comes to speed. The APP allows instant delivery.
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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
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Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Increasing clouds. Rain and snow developing from northwest to southeast. If temperatures fall into the 20’s then be careful on bridges. Road temperatures are warm, but bridges can freeze faster than most road surfaces. A hard freeze possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways possible. Watch bridges if temperatures fall into the 20’s. Hard freeze possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: None early and then increasing chances as we move towards morning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 26 to 34 IL ~ 26 to 32 KY ~ 26 to 34 TN ~ 26 to 32
Winds: North and northeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? Can’t rule out some snow
Moonrise will be at 4:14 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:03 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 11, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. Light flurries, light snow, light snow/rain and sleet showers likely.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Snow is possible. I can’t rule out some slushy accumulation of snow.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Yes. Have a plan B.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 34 to 42 IL ~ 34 to 42 KY ~ 34 to 42 TN ~ 35 to 44
Winds: North and northeast winds at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 16 mph
Wind Chill when applicable: 25 to 32
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? Yes.
Sunrise will be at 6:09 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:59 p.m.
UV Index: 0
Moonrise will be at 5:16 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:42 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Hard freeze likely. Cloudy early with snow or rain showers coming to an end. Clearing and cold. Some slick spots possible as temps fall into the 20’s.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Hard freeze. Wet roadways possible. If precipitation lingers then watch for patchy slick spots.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40% Ending from NW to SE.
Coverage of precipitation: Ending.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 22 to 26 IL ~ 22 to 26 KY ~ 22 to 26 TN ~ 22 to 26
Winds: North and northeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? Precipitation ending.
Moonrise will be at 5:16 p.m. and moonset will be at 5:42 a.m. Waxing Gibbous
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March 12, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mix of sun and clouds. Cool.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Morning icy roads are possible
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 43 IL ~ 36 to 43 KY ~ 36 to 43 TN ~ 36 to 43
Winds: North and northeast winds at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 12 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Sunrise will be at 7:08 a.m. and sunset will be at 6:59 p.m.
UV Index: 2 to 4
Moonrise will be at 7:16 p.m. and moonset will be at 7:17 a.m. Full Moon
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Cold. A hard freeze is again possible. Clouds increasing late with rain or snow showers.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Hard freeze likely.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered after 3 am.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 25 to 30 IL ~ 25 to 30 KY ~ 25 to 30 TN ~ 25 to 30
Winds: East and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 7:16 p.m. and moonset will be at 7:17 a.m. Full Moon
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March 13, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. A chance for rain or rain/snow showers. No accumulation expected.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 42 to 46 IL ~ 42 to 46 KY ~ 42 to 46 TN ~ 42 to 46
Winds: Variable winds at 5 to 10 mph
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? Snow showers possible.
Sunrise will be at 7:06 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:00 p.m.
UV Index: 0 to 2
Moonrise will be at 8:14 p.m. and moonset will be at 7:50 a.m. Waning Gibbous
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly to mostly cloudy. Cold. A few rain or snow showers possible. A freeze possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Freeze likely.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none. I will be monitoring another system for Monday.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 26 to 32 IL ~ 26 to 30 KY ~ 26 to 32 TN ~ 26 to 32
Winds: North and northwest at 5 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 8:14 p.m. and moonset will be at 7:50 a.m. Waning Gibbous
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March 14, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny and cool.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: MO ~ 42 to 46 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 42 to 46 TN ~ 42 to 46
Winds: North at 5
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No.
Sunrise will be at 7:05 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:01 p.m.
UV Index: 4 to 6
Moonrise will be at 9:12 p.m. and moonset will be at 8:22 a.m. Waning Gibbous
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: A few clouds and cold.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Freeze likely.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 24 to 28 IL ~ 24 to 28 KY ~ 24 to 28 TN ~ 24 to 28
Winds: North at 5 mph
Wind Chill when applicable:
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation? No
Moonrise will be at 9:12 p.m. and moonset will be at 8:22 a.m. Waning Gibbous
More information on the UV index. Click here
The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness.
Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.
Visit their website here. Visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities.
Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
Analysis
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
Weekend system:
Confidence: High that there will be precipitation
Confidence: Low on the impacts of that precipitation and amounts
Clouds increase by Friday night. Snow, sleet, and rain will develop over Missouri and Illinois and spread south and east after midnight into Saturday morning.
If temperatures are in the 20’s tonight then I can’t rule out bridges becoming slick. Let’s see what time the precipitation arrives.
On and off precipitation into Saturday evening. Rain, snow, and sleet.
The focus, for me at least, is not on snow. The focus is on a devastating freeze for area orchards. The snow is just a novelty side conversation. The impact, from this event, is the cold. That is why I keep telling people to stop focusing on the potential for some snow.
Limiting factors for snow accumulation
- It is March and ground temperatures are warm. Temperatures on Thursday will be in the upper 60’s to middle 70’s
- The snow will fall during the daylight hours with a higher sun angle than say January or early February.
- Warm road conditions
- Temperatures, while the snow is falling, will be in the 31 to 34 degree range. It is possible that temperatures will be above freezing while snow or sleet is falling.
Uncertainties:
I feel confident that our region will experience precipitation on Saturday into Saturday evening. Snow and sleet appear likely. Perhaps mixed with rain, at times.
With all the negative and limiting factors for accumulating snow, it will likely be difficult for significant accumulations. I can’t rule out 1 to 3 inches of a slushy snow on some surfaces. Roads, during the day on Saturday, would like remain okay. Bridges would need to be monitored.
It may not accumulate at all. Again, my focus is on the freeze.
For significant snow to occur, the snow rate (how fast and heavy the snow falls) would have to be extreme. That seems unlikely.
I have two other concerns.
Temperatures on Saturday night should dip into the twenties. If the roads have moisture on them, then they could become icy. Especially true for bridges and overpasses.
My biggest concern is the potential for a long duration hard freeze. Sadly, this will likely be a devastating freeze for many. Fruit tree buds will likely not survive 7+ hours with temperatures in the twenties. Temperatures on Friday night will fall into the 20’s. Sustained 20’s (most of the night) appear likely on Saturday night.
Temperatures on Sunday night will also dip into the twenties.
Here is the NAM future-cast radar. What radar might look like.
This is what radar might look like at 3 am Saturday
Blue is snow. Green is rain. Purple is sleet.
6 am
9 am
12 pm Saturday
3 pm Saturday
6 pm Saturday
That gives you the general idea. Again, I think accumulation is a hard sell. Not impossible, but not a slam dunk forecast on that subject, either.
Monday into Wednesday:
A couple of weak systems will move through the region. Some light rain or snow again possible. Not anticipating anything significant. Cold weather will linger into mid-week. Temperatures will likely fall into the 20’s on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday night.
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How much rain is expected over the coming days?
Here is the official NOAA rainfall prediction
This map is for the Thursday night precipitation event.
High and Low-Temperature Outlook
Saturday low temperature forecast
Saturday afternoon high temperature forecast
Sunday low temperature forecast
Sunday high temperature forecast
A major/hard freeze is forecast Friday night, Saturday night, Sunday night, Monday night, and possibly Tuesday night. Not good news for orchards.
Snow and sleet are possible Saturday and again perhaps on Monday. Some accumulation of snow is possible, but with warm ground conditions it probably won’t amount to much.
Slick spots are possible Saturday night as temperatures fall into the 20’s.
Severe thunderstorm outlook.
Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Saturday into Wednesday: Severe thunderstorms are not anticipated.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
National interactive radar: Click this link.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC. I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com
WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
