Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 7, 2026: Shower and thunderstorm chances.

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I am going to try to streamline the blog.  Centered on the most important aspects of the forecast.   

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Key Messages

🌧️ Rain and storm chances increase later this morning and continue through Monday.

  • Rain chances will be highest from this afternoon through Monday, reaching 70-90%.
  • A few storms could become strong or severe, especially across southeast Missouri late today and tonight.  A few storms could be strong on Monday, as well.
  • Heavy rainfall and isolated flooding are also possible.

🥵 The hottest weather of the year so far is expected by midweek.

  • High temperatures will climb into the lower 90s.
  • Combined with high humidity, it will feel like 100 to 105 degrees during the afternoons from Tuesday through Thursday.

⛈️ Another chance for showers and thunderstorms arrives later this week.

  • A cold front could bring additional rain and storm chances of 30-60% on Thursday or Friday.

Bottom Line

  • Today through Monday: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some strong, with heavy rain possible.
  • Tuesday through Thursday: Hot and very humid, with heat index values near or above 100°.
  • Thursday and Friday: Another round of showers and storms may move into the region.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado and Severe Weather Outlook ⛈️

June 7th  through June 13th

Current severe weather riskPOSSIBLE.  A few of the thunderstorms today and tomorrow could produce strong wind gusts and small hail.  There is a risk that a few of the thunderstorms will produce damaging wind gusts.  I am monitoring Thursday and Friday as well.

The risk is a bit higher for those strong thunderstorm wind gusts over southeast Missouri.

Current tornado riskLOW.  We will have thunderstorms over the coming days.  There is a little bit of spin in the atmosphere.  I can’t rule out a weak tornado or landspout.  

Current confidence level: Medium.

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  YES.   A chance of lightning Saturday night into at least Wednesday night.  I will monitor next Thursday through Saturday.

2. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? ISOLATED.  A few of the thunderstorms over the coming days will produce heavy rain.  If thunderstorms train over the same location, then pockets of flash flooding could develop.  As always, avoid roadways that have significant flooding.

3. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.    

4. Will the temperature rise above 90 degrees?  YES.  A chance of 90 degrees or above on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.

5. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 100 degrees? POSSIBLE.  Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Heat index values will reach the upper nineties and possibly exceed 100 degrees.  This will depend on cloud cover and thunderstorms.  Clouds would keep temperatures a bit lower.

6. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 110 degrees? NO.

Your body responds to the heat index.  The heat index is more important than the actual temperature.

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

* Scroll down to see your local city rain probability maps.


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My daily video

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Seven-Day Rainfall Totals

Rainfall total maps for today through next Sunday morning.

* As is typical for late spring, totals will vary greatly.  Thunderstorms can double your rainfall totals.  Keep that in mind.  I would not be surprised if a few spots receive more than three inches of rain this week.

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Let’s look at the three-day rain probability maps.   What is the % chance of rain?

These maps are broken down into 12-hour time periods.

* Remember, a 20% chance of rain during the summer months does not mean that it will not rain.  It means there will be a few thunderstorms on the radar.

Double-click maps to enlarge them.

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7 AM Sunday to 7 PM Sunday

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7 PM Sunday to 7 AM Monday

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7 AM Monday to 7 PM Monday

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7 PM Monday to 7 AM Tuesday

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7 AM Tuesday to 7 PM Tuesday

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7 PM Tuesday to 7 AM Wednesday

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Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Future-cast radars are never exact.  Take the general idea from this animation.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Hrrr Model

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Live Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways to receive severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon, it will not disturb you.
Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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