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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
What do the confidence levels mean?
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The rest of this afternoon
Tuesday afternoon – Partly to mostly sunny. A couple of showers possible. Rumble of thunder. Isolated.
What impact is expected? Isolated wet roadways. Isolated lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 86-92 degree range. If the front is slower than anticipated then it could be a few degrees warmer on Tuesday.
Winds: North and northeast winds at 8-16 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:36 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 9-10. Very high.
Moonrise will be at 1:12 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:04 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Tuesday Night – Mostly clear. Cooler. Less humid. Pleasant weather. Enjoy. Slight evening shower chance (<20%)
What impact is expected? Isolated wet roadways. Isolated lightning early in the evening.
Temperatures: Lows in the 60-65 degree range
Winds: Winds north and northeast at 5-10 mph. Gusts to 14 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated.
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Wednesday – Mostly sunny. Cooler. Less humid. Pleasant day. Nicer air mass!
What impact is expected? None
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 76 to 84 degree range
Winds: North and northeast winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <10%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:38 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 9-10. Very high.
Moonrise will be at 1:50 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:11 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Wednesday Night – Mostly clear. Cool. Pleasant night.
What impact is expected? None
Temperatures: Lows in the 56-62 degree range
Winds: Winds north and north/northeast at 5 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? <10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Thursday – Partly sunny. Mild. A 20% chance for a shower.
What impact is expected? Most likely none.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 82-88 degree range
Winds: North and northeast winds at 7-14 mph. Winds becoming east/southeast. Variable direction.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation? Isolated to perhaps Scattered
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 5:38 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 8-10. Very high.
Moonrise will be at 2:31 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:19 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Thursday Night – Some clouds. A chance for showers and thunderstorms increasing from the west/northwest.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62-68 degree range
Winds: Winds variable or northeast at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Lower than normal confidence in the weekend forecast. These numbers may dramatically change. Some guidance shows heavy rain in our region from Friday into Tuesday. But, confidence is still too low to raise probabilities much higher. Monitor updated forecasts.
Friday – Quite a few clouds. Mild. Showers and thunderstorms possible.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 84-88 degree range
Winds: West and northwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 50%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered to perhaps numerous. Monitor updates.
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates
Sunrise will be at 5:39 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 7-9. High.
Moonrise will be at 3:16 a.m. and moonset will be at 5:26 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Friday Night – Partly cloudy. Perhaps some scattered showers and thunderstorms.
What impact is expected? If storms develop then wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62-66 degree range
Winds: Winds northwest and north at 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%-50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor future updates
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Saturday – Cloudy. Mild. A chance for showers and thunderstorms.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 78-86 degree range
Winds: Variable winds at 5-10 mph. Winds may turn out of the north or northeast.
What is the chance for precipitation? 50%
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps numerous
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and have a plan B.
Sunrise will be at 5:39 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 6-8. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 4:06 a.m. and moonset will be at 6:30 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Saturday Night – Some clouds. Showers and thunderstorms again possible.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62-66 degree range
Winds: Winds variable in direction at 5-10 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates and have a plan B.
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Sunday – Partly cloudy. A shower or thunderstorm possible. Low confidence.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 78 to 86 degree range
Winds: Variable winds at 5-10 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps scattered
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor future updates.
Sunrise will be at 5:40 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 5:01 a.m. and moonset will be at 7:31 p.m. Waning Crescent.
Sunday Night – Partly cloudy. Again, a chance for scattered thunderstorms. But, low confidence.
What impact is expected? Maybe wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62 to 66 degree range
Winds: Winds variable in direction at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered. Low confidence.
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
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July 4th ~ Monday – Partly cloudy. A shower or storm possible. Low confidence on forecast verification.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 82 to 88 degree range
Winds: East and southeast winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps scattered
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor future updates.
Sunrise will be at 5:40 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:17 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 6:00 a.m. and moonset will be at 8:25 p.m. New moon.
Monday Night – Partly cloudy. Again, a chance for scattered thunderstorms. But, low confidence.
What impact is expected? Maybe wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62 to 68 degree range
Winds: Winds southeast in direction at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered. Low confidence.
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
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Tuesday – Partly cloudy. A shower or thunderstorm possible. Low confidence forecast.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 84 to 88 degree range
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps scattered
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor future updates.
Sunrise will be at 5:41 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:18 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 7:01 a.m. and moonset will be at 9:14 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Tuesday Night – Partly cloudy. Again, a chance for scattered thunderstorms. But, low confidence.
What impact is expected? Maybe wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 62 to 68 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered. Low confidence.
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
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Wednesday – Partly cloudy. A shower or thunderstorm possible. Low confidence forecast.
What impact is expected? Maybe some wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 84-88 degree range
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation? Perhaps scattered
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor future updates.
Sunrise will be at 5:41 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:17 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 8:03 a.m. and moonset will be at 9:56 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Wednesday Night – Partly cloudy. Again, a chance for scattered thunderstorms. But, low confidence.
What impact is expected? Maybe wet roadways and lightning.
Temperatures: Lows in the 66-72 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered. Low confidence.
Is severe weather expected? No
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
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Thursday – Partly sunny. Hot. More humid.
What impact is expected?
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 88-94 degree range
Winds: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 10%
Coverage of precipitation?
Is severe weather expected?
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
Sunrise will be at 5:42 a.m. and sunset will be at 8:17 p.m.
UV index will be 7-8. Moderate to high.
Moonrise will be at 9:04 a.m. and moonset will be at 10:34 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
Thursday Night – Partly cloudy. Warmer. Humid.
What impact is expected?
Temperatures: Lows in the 70-74 degree range
Winds: Winds southwest at 4-8 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 20%
Coverage of precipitation:
Is severe weather expected?
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
More information on the UV index. Click here.
The weekend forecast is sponsored by Farmer and Company Real Estate.
Farmer & Company Real Estate is proud to represent buyers and sellers in both Southern Illinois and Western Kentucky. With 13 licensed brokers, we can provide years of experience to buyers & sellers of homes, land & farms and commercial & investment properties. We look forward to representing YOU! Follow us on Facebook, as well
The weekend forecast is sponsored by Farmer and Company Real Estate. Click here to visit their site.
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
- Fresh air mass.
- Already tracking our next precipitation maker
- Holiday weekend storms?
- Heat wave in the charts
Crop numbers are in for the week ending on June 26th/27th.
Now, keep in mind, these numbers vary greatly from region to region. Granted, our area is worse off then other parts of the corn belt. But, these are the state-wide average numbers.
Click any of the images on this page for a larger view.
Illinois
Missouri
Kentucky
We are now under the control of northwest flow. You have been reading my comments about this subject over the past few weeks. Northwest flow is when the jet stream dives into our region from the northwest. And, it is responsible for our cooler temperatures. You will feel a nice difference over the next two days.
Typically northwest flow means active weather. Especially true during the summer months. What happens is that thunderstorms develop between the heat ridge and the trough. A ridge of high pressure is just what it sounds like. A ridge. Normally it means hot weather. A trough is a trough. A dipping of the jet stream. Examples here.
Ridge of high pressure in the southwest equals hot weather. A trough equals cooler weather. The arrows represent the jet stream. These ridges and troughs are typically transient. Meaning they move in and out of our region. Although, at times, they can be slow to move. Especially during the summer. The jet stream is at its weakest point during the summer months (at least over our region).
I have been talking about the potential of a significant rain event later this week and weekend. And, it could continue into Monday and Tuesday. There are still quite a few questions. What are the questions?
- Placement of the heaviest rain axis. Over our region? North or south?
- How much rain is possible with this event?
- Timing of the precipitation
There are MAJOR differences in the different model guidance packages on the placement of the heaviest rain axis. Confidence is low on the Friday into Monday forecast. There could be changes in the overall forecast numbers. Thus, monitor updated information if you have outdoor events.
We need rain. As you know, farmers are hurting. Well, most of them. Some areas have picked up rain over the past few weeks. But, the majority of the region needs a soaking rain event. We did have quite a bit of rain on Monday, but once again some areas were left high and dry.
I am cautiously optimistic that a widespread rain event will impact our region over the next seven days. The bulk of the rain chances will arrive on Friday and Saturday. Sunday is questionable. Monday and Tuesday could provide additional chances for showers and storms.
We do have a weaker disturbance that will approach our region on Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. Some of the latest guidance shows a complex of thunderstorms developing over Iowa and Missouri. It would then track east and southeast. This could provide the first opportunity for rain in the region. I am not overly confident about how far south this first round will drift. But, I did include at least some chance for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon into Friday morning.
A larger complex of thunderstorms will develop on Friday and Saturday along a stationary front. The front is likely to be draped somewhere over or near our region. The placement of this frontal boundary is key to our sensible weather conditions. MCS’s will track along and north of the stationary front. What is an MCS? An MCS is a large thunderstorm complex. They are common in the summer. And, they are often times for much of the corn belts summer rains. They typically occur during northwest flow.
Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible from Friday into early next week. Locally heavy rain is a definite possibility. Several inches of rain are being forecast by all of the model guidance packages. Yesterday the NWS/NOAA put out a rainfall forecast for the coming seven days. Some of those maps showed no rain at all for our local region.
Here is the first map they issued on Monday.
That map made little or no sense. And, I discussed this on the public and private Facebook page. But, last night NOAA put out a new update. This map makes a lot more sense to me.
Keep in mind, I doubt the shifts on this map are finished. What I agree with is there will be a heavy rain band somewhere in the region. Placement is uncertain.
The placement of each MCS will be critical to our rainfall totals.
Guidance over the last couple of days has fluctuated between showing the heavier totals to our south, over us, and to our north. Guidance and not gospel. That is what I always tell you. The models are not humans. They can’t think like a human meteorologist can. Thus, they are simply spitting out solutions to math formulas.
I like to look for trends in the guidance and agreement in the guidance. Meaning, are the models trending cooler or warmer? Are the models trending wetter or drier? How many of the different model packages agree with each other. The more agreement in the guidance equals a higher confidence in the outcome.
The trends in the data have been to shift the heaviest rain totals further north. BUT, how far further north is the biggest question.
I am confident we will experience rain over the next seven days. I am confident widespread rain is going to occur. What I am not confident about are exact totals and placement of the heavier rain bands. If we are fortunate then most of the area will pick up 1-2″ of rain. That is a hard sell in summer. Often times someone will pick up several inches of rain and other areas will remain dry. Nature of the beast during the summer months. Keep that in mind.
If you have holiday plans then I would suggest having a plan B for Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. It will not rain all of the time during that time frame. But, several rounds of precipitation will be possible. And, it might interfere, from time to time, with some of your holiday plans.
If you plan on camping near creeks or rivers then monitor updates. If you have plans on boating then monitor updates. Having a plan B will help you at least have alternative plans. Then, if it rains, you will have prepared. And, if it does not rain you will still have a great time with whatever family activities you have planned.
Let me show you a series of maps.
I like showing you PWAT value maps. PWAT is a great way to measure moisture in the entire atmosphere. The higher PWAT values normally indicate the potential for heavy rain. Especially true when the PWAT values pool over an area for an extended period of time. High PWAT values, over the past week, were responsible for the 1-3″ an hour rainfall totals. Very heavy rain can fall when PWAT values are high.
Let me walk you through a series of PWAT value charts.
Let’s start with Wednesday evening.
Notice our region is in the light green colors. PWAT values will have fallen behind the cold front. Nicer air mass. Less humid. Lower dew points. Lower PWAT values. Instead of air you wear it will be air you want to welcome into your home with open windows! PWAT values of 0.60-0.80″. Very low for June.
But, watch what happens this weekend. This is the Friday morning PWAT value map. Wow, what a difference. PWAT values quickly jump back into the 1.4 to 1.6″ range. The atmosphere is moistening up.
Moving ahead to Friday evening. Dark purples and even yellow colors showing up. High PWAT values. That could mean heavy rain. Dark purples are 1.7 to 2.2″. High!
Moving forward to Saturday morning at 4 a.m. Very high PWAT values showing back up in our local area. Readings well above 2″ per the GFS model. That is a lot of moisture for thunderstorms to work with. Rainfall totals of 1-3″ per hour will be possible.
Moving forward to Saturday mid-morning. Lot of yellow in our region. Those are very high PWAT values. If thunderstorms occur, with this air mass, they could produce torrential downpours.
Let’s move forward to Sunday night and Monday morning. The high numbers continue. This is a concern. That would be a signal for heavy rain.
I usually tell you when dew point numbers are high. Once you hit 70 degrees on the dew point map you can consider that as air that you wear. Muggy. Humid.
Here is the Wednesday morning dew point map. Dew points will drop into the upper 50s to lower 60s. A pleasant air mass compared to recent weeks.
But, moving forward to Friday night. Notice the jump? Now we are seeing 68-72 degree dew point readings. Muggier and more humid air mass.
Here is the Saturday morning map. Notice how the high dew point numbers relate to the higher PWAT value maps. Higher dew points normally mean heavier rain totals.
Here is the Sunday morning dew point map. Notice the pooling of purple over our region. Quite a bit of moisture for storms to work with.
Let me show you some NAM guidance. This is for the Thursday night and Friday morning rain event. Placement of this event is questionable. The NAM is mostly focused on a vort max that pushes through Kansas. Think of a vort max as a lobe of lift/energy.
This image below it the Friday morning rainfall outlook. The three hour rainfall outlook. Meaning, from 4 am to 7 am. How much rain might fall during that time frame. Notice how the NAM model is mostly focused in Kansas and southwest Missouri. This will need to be monitored. There is another lobe of energy that might pass into northern Missouri. And, this could mean an additional round of showers and storms further north than the NAM is showing.
Moving forward to Friday afternoon. Rainfall totals from 4 pm to 7 pm. Notice the spotty cells over central Missouri into central Illinois. That is the boundary setting up for the weekend. The placement of that boundary is key to where rain falls in our region. Let’s keep a close eye on it.
Let’s take a look at some GFS rainfall forecast numbers.
This model is processed four times each day. I am looking for trends. Let me show you the last six runs of the GFS. Watch what happens with the heaviest rain axis.
This first run is from Monday morning at 7 a.m.
This next run was the Monday afternoon update
This next run is the Monday evening update
This next update is the Tuesday early morning update
This next update is the Tuesday late morning update.
What is happening? The heaviest rain is shifting north. That is one model. The EC model is also shifting northward a bit. Not as much as the GFS guidance. But, still a shift.
I watch for trends. The trends are north in the data. How far north is the question.
Let me show you some of the model guidance rainfall totals. The guidance has been showing some BIG numbers. MCS systems can produce a lot of rain. And, a lot of rain in a short amount of time.
Here is the Canadian model guidance. This was last nights data (Monday night). Look at the second image from Tuesday morning.
Here is the Tuesday morning updated map. It shifted south.
Our next heat wave arrives somewhere after July 6th/7th/8th. I have wrestling with the arrival date. But, suffice to say, we may approach 100 degrees again. The question is how long does it last. That will need to be monitored. I do see more potential of northwest flow in July. Same pattern from the last few months. We bounce back and forth between the ridge and the trough. Weatherbell image.
Click for larger view. Click any of the maps on this page for larger views.
Here is the temperature forecast for July 7th from the GFS model suite. Hot.
CIPS analog models are showing the heat wave, as well. Analog? That means the computer guidance looks at past years and attempts to determine what will happen in the upcoming forecast.
These maps show you the probability of above or below normal temperatures. This covers July 6th into the 12th. Red indicates chances for above normal temperatures. Blue would be below normal temperatures. The number represents the probability of the guidance being correct.
Day 6-8
Day 9-11
Day 12-14
The heat is likely to return.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
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Monday night: Perhaps some evening storms over our southern counties.
Tuesday-Thursday: Should be mostly dry. I will be monitoring Thursday afternoon and night. Maybe some storms approaching from the west and northwest.
Friday-Sunday: Monitor updates.
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No major changes in this update. I am carefully monitoring the weekend forecast. Have a plan B.
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No major concerns in the short term.
Have a plan B for the weekend. Rain is possible.
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No. Not through Thursday.
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How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
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Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
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Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
