Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I am going to try to streamline the blog.  Centered on the most important aspects of the forecast.   

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Key Points

🌤️ Dry and comfortable weather will continue through Saturday. Humidity levels will stay lower, making it feel much more pleasant outside.

⛈️ Showers and thunderstorms are expected to become widespread Sunday into Monday. Some storms could produce heavy rainfall, and a few may become severe.

🌡️ Temperatures will stay near or slightly below normal through next week. Daytime highs will generally be comfortable, while nighttime lows will also be cooler than normal—except Sunday night, when temperatures will remain warm in the lower 70s.

Bottom line: Enjoy the dry and comfortable weather through Saturday. Keep an eye on the forecast for Sunday and Monday, as storms, heavy rain, and a few severe weather threats may develop.

Discussion

• A few showers and thunderstorms may move into western parts of the Quad State late Saturday night as warmer, more humid air returns to the region.
• There are signs that a large complex of thunderstorms may track across northern Missouri and central/northern Illinois on Sunday. If that happens, the heaviest rain could stay north of our area.
• However, if storms remain farther north, the Quad State could become warm and unstable Sunday afternoon. This could allow some strong to severe thunderstorms to develop, with damaging winds and large hail as the main threats. A few tornadoes cannot be ruled out.  Monitor updated forecasts over the next few days.
• If the storm system shifts farther south, the greater concern would become heavy rainfall instead of severe weather.
• A cold front is expected to move through Sunday night into Monday, bringing an end to most of the showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday and beyond.

• Tuesday and Wednesday look mostly quiet, although an isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be completely ruled out.
• Rain and thunderstorm chances are expected to increase again by Thursday and Friday as warmer, more humid air moves back into the region.

🌦️ Bottom Line: Watch the forecast closely for Sunday. Strong storms, heavy rain, or both are possible depending on where the storm system tracks. Conditions should improve by Monday, with another chance of rain returning later next week.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado and Severe Weather Outlook ⛈️

June 19th  through June 25th

A severe thunderstorm is defined as a storm that produces 58 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail or larger.

Current severe weather risk:  POSSIBLE.  A few of the thunderstorms on Sunday could be severe.  Monitor updates moving forward.

Here is my weekly thunderstorm concern meter.

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🌪️ Current tornado risk:  MONITOR.   

I am monitoring the threat of severe weather on Sunday.  If severe storms develop, then there could be a low-end tornado risk.  Monitor updates.

Current confidence level in the tornado forecast: Medium.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

* Scroll down to see your local city rain probability maps.

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Here were the 5 AM temperatures and dew points.  Dew points control how muggy it feels.

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Let’s Look At The Five-Day Rainfall Totals Forecast

General rainfall total maps for today through next Wednesday morning.

* As is typical for late spring, totals will vary greatly.  Thunderstorms can double your rainfall totals.  Keep that in mind.

Not everyone will see the totals shown.  Take the general idea from it.

Western view (Missouri and southwest Illinois)

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways to receive severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon, it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF