Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I am going to try to streamline the blog.  Centered on the most important aspects of the forecast.   

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Key Points

⛈️ Storms Early This Morning
A line of showers and thunderstorms is moving through the area.  They are producing brief downpours and gusty winds.  The threat of severe weather this morning is low.

🌩️ More Storms Today
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected today, especially across the southern half of the Quad State.

• Rain chances range from 50% to 80%.
• A few storms could become strong or severe this afternoon.
• Damaging winds are the main concern, especially in western Kentucky.  Overall, the risk at one location is small.

Here is the rain probability map for today.  What is the % chance of rain?  Notice that chances are lower in the north and higher in the south.

☀️ Friday Looks Better
Friday is expected to be dry with improving weather conditions.

🌦️ Thunderstorm Chances Return This Weekend
Showers and thunderstorms will return Saturday afternoon/night into Sunday night.  A low chance of showers on Saturday afternoon over mainly southeast Missouri.  Most areas will remain dry.  See the rain probability graphics below.

• More widespread rain and storms are expected late Sunday into early Monday as a cold front moves through the region.
• Keep an eye on the forecast if you have outdoor plans this weekend.
•  A few storms on Sunday could be strong, with gusty winds and hail.  A low-end severe risk.

Weekend

The cold front should move completely out of the area by this evening, ending the threat of thunderstorms. A few leftover showers may continue near the Arkansas and Tennessee border into the evening hours.

High pressure will bring dry, cooler, and more comfortable weather on Friday and likely Saturday as well. There is a small chance of a shower in southeast Missouri on Saturday, but most of the Quad State should remain dry.

By Saturday night, winds will turn back to the south, bringing warmer and more humid air into the region. Humidity levels will rise on Sunday, helping showers and thunderstorms develop during the afternoon.

More widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday night as another cold front moves through the area. A few storms could become strong or severe, and heavy rainfall will also be possible.

The rain should move out by Monday afternoon or evening. Dry weather is then expected through the middle of next week.

Bottom Line

🌩️ Storms this morning with a lower severe weather risk
⛈️ More storms this afternoon, especially in western Kentucky
☀️ Dry weather Friday
⛈️ More storms Saturday afternoon into Sunday night.  Perhaps linger into Monday.  The peak day of the weekend will be Friday and Saturday.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado and Severe Weather Outlook ⛈️

June 18th  through June 24th

A severe thunderstorm is defined as a storm that produces 58 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail or larger.

Current severe weather risk:  POSSIBLE.  A few of the thunderstorms today could produce strong and gusty winds and nickel-sized hail.

Sunday:  I will monitor Sunday’s thunderstorm risk.  A few strong storms are possible.

Here is my weekly thunderstorm concern meter.

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🌪️ Current tornado risk:  NOT AT THIS TIME.   

Current confidence level in the tornado forecast: Medium.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

* Scroll down to see your local city rain probability maps.

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Here were the 5 AM temperatures and dew points.  Dew points control how muggy it feels.

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Let’s Look At The Five-Day Rainfall Totals Forecast

General rainfall total maps for today through Monday.

* As is typical for late spring, totals will vary greatly.  Thunderstorms can double your rainfall totals.  Keep that in mind.

Western view (Missouri and southwest Illinois)

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways to receive severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon, it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF