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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
Remember that weather evolves. Check back frequently for updates, especially during active weather.
Saturday – A mix of sun and clouds. Mild temperatures with highs well into the 40’s and touching 50’s in some locations. West winds at 5-10 mph. Above normal temperatures, again.
Morning School Bus Stop Weather – No school today
Afternoon School Bus Stop Weather – No school today
Saturday night – An increase in clouds late. Lows will be in the middle 30’s. Southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Above normal temperatures, again.
Sunday – Cloudy with a chance for showers – mainly during the afternoon hours. Above normal temperatures with highs well into the 40’s. Might see some 50’s again if the clouds don’t move in too fast. West winds at 10-20 mph. Gusty winds. Winds will turn out of the northwest during the afternoon hours.
Sunday night – Rain ending. Might end as a flurry or two – snow shower. Cooler. Lows will be in the lower 30’s. Still above normal temperatures.
Monday – Partly sunny and cooler. Highs in the lower to middle 40’s. More seasonable. Northwest winds becoming southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Current Temperatures Around The Local Area
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
Well, our little rain and snow maker has scooted off to the east. The forecast was for rain rain/snow snow mix on Friday. There were a lot more flakes than rain. But, temperatures were spot on as forecast. Highs reached into the middle and upper 30’s. That kept the snow from sticking. So, although it was pretty to watch there were no travel impacts in the counties I forecast for.
Verification of the storm event
Our next weather maker is already taking shape to our north and northwest. A little clipper system will spread rain back into our region by Sunday. Most likely this is a Sunday afternoon and evening event. The system was tracking so far northeast that it was just going to clip us. However, over the last 24 hours it has trended back to the southwest. Guess it changed its mind.
All that means for our region is a bit more shower activity – more coverage. This is not going to be a big rain event. The rain might end as a snow shower on Sunday night.
We will cool off behind the system on Sunday night and Monday. Highs will be in the lower to middle 40’s on Monday. Not bad and nothing extreme. January will end up cooler than normal because of the cold snap early on – the rest of the month has been downright pleasant. Not sure you can grade this January as being anything severe or extreme. Not based on one or two early cold shots the first week or so of the month.
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No changes.
No concerns for most of today or tomorrow.
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The wild card tells you where the uncertainties are in the forecast
Wild card in this forecast – No wild card today!
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Thunderstorm threat level is ZERO!
Will I need to take action?
No action today – watch for a couple of slick spots this morning over our eastern counties where a little more moisture was left on the road last night. This would only be during the wee hours of today. Temps will rise fast upon sunrise.
How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
Sunday’s event will be a light rain maker.
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Maybe some flurries on Sunday night as the low pulls away. Sorry snow lovers. Again.
This section of the blog is speculative forecast information. Because it is past the range of what meteorologists can forecast accurately, it should be considered speculation. Anything past day 5 is considered a long range forecast.
Short update today…
Watching another little system for Thursday – perhaps some rain showers.
The very end of January into first part of February does look cold. Whether we can get a storm in the mix is the question. The models are showing 2 or 3 chances. We shall see.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience. Just need to finish two Spanish classes!
I am a member of the American Meteorological Society. I am a NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador. And, I am the Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
NOTE: Occasionally you will see ground clutter on the radar (these are false echoes). Normally they show up close to the radar sites – including Paducah.
Regional Radar – Click on radar to take you our full radar page.
Regional Radar
Please visit your local National Weather Service Office by clicking here. The National Weather Service Office, for our region, is located in Paducah, Kentucky. They have a lot of maps and information on their site. Local people…local forecasters who care about our region.
Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
This blog was inspired by ABC 33/40’s Alabama Weather Blog – view their blog
Current tower cam view from the Weather Observatory- Click here for all cameras.
Southern Illinois Weather Observatory
The Weather Observatory
Southern Illinois Weather Observatory
WSIL TV 3 has a number of tower cameras. Click here for their tower camera page & Illinois Road Conditions
Marion, Illinois
WPSD TV 6 has a number of tower cameras. Click here for their tower camera page & Kentucky Road Conditions & Kentucky Highway and Interstate Cameras
Downtown Paducah, Kentucky
Benton, Kentucky Tower Camera – Click here for full view
Benton, Kentucky
I24 Paducah, Kentucky
I24 Mile Point 9 – Paducah, KY
I24 – Mile Point 3 Paducah, Kentucky
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
