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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog.
Remember that weather evolves. Check back frequently for updates, especially during active weather.
Winter Weather Radars
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
Wednesday Night – Partly to mostly cloudy. Fog possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Winds: Variable winds at 5 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Maybe some patchy fog
Thursday – Morning fog possible. Some clouds. Warm. Breezy at times.
Temperatures: Highs in the 54 to 58 degree range.
Winds: South and southeast winds at 8-16 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Maybe some patchy fog
Thursday Night – Partly cloudy. Mild. Breezy at times.
Temperatures: Lows in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees!
Winds: South/southeast winds at 8-16 mph. Gusty, at times.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? None
Friday – Windy. Strong winds possible. Partly cloudy. Warm for February.
Temperatures: Highs in the 64-68 degree range.
Winds: South and southwest winds at 10-20 mph and gusts to 30-40 mph possible.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be windy
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? Strong wind potential on Friday.
Friday Night – Partly to mostly cloudy. Mild. Breezy at times.
Temperatures: Lows in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees!
Winds: South winds at 8-16 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? None
Saturday – Quite a few clouds. Warm for February. Breezy.
Temperatures: Highs in the 64-68 degree range.
Winds: South and southwest winds at 10-20 mph and gusty.
What is the chance for precipitation? 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? None
Saturday Night – Cloudy. A chance for showers.
Temperatures: Lows in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees!
Winds: South winds at 8-16 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? None
Sunday – Cloudy. Some showers possible. Maybe a rumble of thunder.
Temperatures: Highs in the 62-66 degree range.
Winds: South and southwest winds at 10-20 mph and gusty.
What is the chance for precipitation? 40%
Coverage of precipitation? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying is High
Should I be concerned about snow or ice? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Is severe weather expected? No
What impact is expected? None
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days…
Highlights
1. A break from active weather?
2. Warmer temperatures!!!
I feel as if spring fever may break out over the coming days! Temperatures on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be in the 50s and 60s. It will feel GREAT.
I am hoping we can break out of the clouds on Thursday. Occasionally clouds linger longer in the winter months. Also, patchy fog will be possible.
Expect 50s and 60s on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday!
Our next cold front arrives on Saturday/Sunday. Showers may accompany the front. I can’t rule out a thunderstorm. But, the severe weather threat appears minimal. I will keep an eye on it, as always.
ENJOY the warm temperatures while they are here. We know winter isn’t quite over, yet.
Here is the Sunday weather map. Low pressure to our north. The green represents showers. Believe we have some showers Saturday night/Sunday. Not sure, yet, about Saturday (during the day). Some guidance brings showers into the region a bit faster than other guidance.
No snow or ice expected on Thursday, Friday, or Saturday
Thursday – No snow or ice anticipated.
Friday – No snow or ice anticipated.
Saturday – No snow or ice anticipated.
Sunday – No snow or ice anticipated.
Monday – No snow or ice anticipated.
No major changes in this forecast update.
The only concern I have is patchy fog over the coming days.
Windy on Friday with gusts of 30-40 mph possible.
The wild card in the forecast will be clouds and fog. Hopefully we can shake them on Thursday. Sometimes it can be hard to get rid of low clouds in February.
How much precipitation should we expect over the next few days?
Believe we will have mostly dry weather over the coming days. A bit of a break from the active weather of late.
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
The thunderstorm threat level will be a ZERO through Friday night.
Here is the official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA).
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Click Here For River Stage Forecasts…
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and an Associate of Science (AS). I am currently working on my Bachelor’s Degree in Geoscience.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
