e have some great sponsors for the Weather Talk Blog. Please let our sponsors know that you appreciate their support for the Weather Talk Blog.
Milner and Orr Funeral Home and Cremation Services located in Paducah, Kentucky and three other western Kentucky towns – at Milner and Orr they believe in families helping families. You can find Milner and Orr on Facebook, as well.
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Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location).
For all of your families eye care needs. Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
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Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site. You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full service Carwash and Lube established in 1987. They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well. . If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
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I have launched the new weather texting service! I could use your help. Be sure and sign up and fully support all of the weather data you see each day.
This is a monthly subscription service. Supporting this helps support everything else. The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones.
Winter storm forecasts will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Look under the Daily Weather Summary tab. Forecasts begin the week of Thanksgiving.
For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
Or directly sign up at Weathertalk.com
This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
Winter storm forecasts will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website (under the Daily Weather Summary tab). Remember, a typical month costs me over $700 to provide everyone the data and forecasts. Your support is important. Thank you.
The winter storm forecasts can be found under the Daily Weather Summary tab. You will also find the password there. The password will NOT be the one you use to sign into your personal weather talk account.
Winter storm outlook has been posted. Updated Monday, December 19, 2016
Here is the link to the new update – Daily Weather Summary tab
Your proceeds also help support the Shadow Angel Foundation projects. Including our yearly teddy bear program. We purchase brand new GUND bears for Child Watch and PASAC. We are planning on adding a new charity in January. Stay tuned for that announcement!
Also, big announcement on Christmas Day!
Contest:
Twenty-Five days of Christmas giving! I will be giving away weather radios and some other items! There will be forty winners. Contest begins now.
Here is the link for the contest. Click here
You may enter once every 24 hours! For example, if you enter at 10 on Friday then you can enter again at 10 am on Saturday.
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Video weather update
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December 24, 2016
Saturday Night: Dense fog likely. Cloudy. Isolated showers or drizzle.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Lower visibility because of fog.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the middle to upper 40’s
Wind Chill:
Winds: East and southeast at 5-10 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Patchy drizzle likely.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
Sunset will be at 4:43 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 2:45 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:57 p.m. Waning Crescent
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December 25, 2016
Christmas Day
Merry Christmas, everyone
Sunday: Morning dense fog likely. Cloudy. Breezy, at times. Well above normal temperatures. Isolated rain showers or drizzle possible. What impact is expected? Gusty winds late in the day. Perhaps some wet roadways. Low visibility because of fog.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Wide range of temperatures across the area. 40’s north to 60’s south. See maps below.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: East and southeast winds at 5-10 mph during the morning and then increasing to 8-16 mph during the afternoon. Gusts above 30 mph possible as we move towards Sunday evening and especially Sunday night.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation? Patchy light showers.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
Sunrise will be at 7:06 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:44 p.m.
UV Index: 0
Moonrise will be at 3:40 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:31 p.m. Waning Crescent
12 PM Christmas Day Temperatures
3 PM
6 PM
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Sunday Night: Strong gusty winds possible. A few scattered showers possible. Best chances over our western counties of southeast Missouri. Unseasonably mild. Rising temperatures ahead of the cold front. The bulk of the rain may arrive on Monday vs Sunday night. Front continues to slow.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Gusty winds.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows mostly in the 50’s. Temperatures steady or slowly rising the first half of the night.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South and southwest winds at 15-25 mph. Gusts over 35 mph possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? First half of the night should be okay. Isolated shower chance.
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December 26, 2016
Monday: Showers likely. Perhaps a thunderstorm. The front may be slow to exit. Rain chances continuing into the afternoon/evening hours (especially the eastern and southern half of the region)
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Gusty winds. Lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 62-66 degree range early in the day and falling into the 50’s behind the cold front.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South becoming southwest and eventually west/northwest at 15-30 mph with higher gusts.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 90%. IL ~ 90%. KY ~ 90% TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation? Widespread rain. A band of showers and possibly thunderstorms will move from west to east across the region.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates. It appears unlikely, at this time.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor radars. Have a plan B.
Sunrise will be at 7:06 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:44 p.m.
UV Index: 0-1
Moonrise will be at 4:34 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:10 p.m. Waning Crescent
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Monday Night: Cloudy. Showers likely before 9 pm. Rain will exit through the night.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways. Perhaps lightning.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 35-40 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: West becoming northwest at 6-12 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10%. IL ~ 20%. KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
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December 27, 2016
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Cooler.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 45~50 degree range.
Wind Chill:
Winds: Northeast at 4-8 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:07 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:45 p.m.
UV Index: 1 to 3
Moonrise will be at 5:27 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:52 p.m. Waning Crescent
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Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Perhaps some light night clouds.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are likely.
Temperatures: Lows in the 28-34 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds:
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10%. IL ~ 10%. KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? Unlikely
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Scattered showers are possible by Wednesday and Wednesday night.
I am monitoring another system for New Years Eve and New Years Day. Lower confidence on that event. Still several days to monitor trends.
More information on the UV index. Click here
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The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.
Visit their website here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities. Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
CHRISTMAS GIVEAWAY!!! FORTY WINNERS.
I am giving away 25 Midland NOAA Weather Radios (a value of $60 per radio). I am giving away 14 one year subscriptions to the texting service. I am giving away a $100 Amazon gift certificate!
You may enter once per day through Christmas. You must wait 24 hours before re-entering. The contest ends at 6 pm on Christmas Day! There will be FORTY winners!
Winners will be randomly drawn through the service that runs my contests.
You can find more information on the Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page and/or the daily weather blog updates.
The contest ends on Christmas Day at 6 pm.
You may enter once each day! You have to wait 24 hours before each entry. For example, if you enter at 10 on Friday then you can enter again at 10 am on Saturday.
Click graphic to enter the contest.
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
- Holiday weekend. Dense fog.
- BIG Christmas giveaway contest continues. I am giving away 25 Midland 300 NOAA weather radios (valued at $60 each)! Subscriptions to the texting service! A $100 gift card from Amazon. The contest is open NOW! You must wait 24 hours before entering each day. See details below. There will be FORTY winners!
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
Short updates through the holiday. That way I can spend time with friends and family.
I will keep the main forecast updated (top part of the blog).
I will also post video updates at the top of the page.
MERRY CHRISTMAS
To view the winter weather outlook sign into your www.weathertalk.com account and click the Daily Weather Summary button. Then, follow the directions.
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Regional Radar
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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
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Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
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The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
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Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 38 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. I hold a Bachelor’s of Science in Geo-sciences with a concentration in Broadcast Meteorology. I graduated from Mississippi State University.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue Squad. I served from 2005 through 2015
Meteorologist for the McCracken County Rescue Squad 2015-current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
