Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?

 A warm air mass blankets the region.  A front is approaching from the west.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely today.

A few of the storms could produce high winds and hail.  The tornado threat is low, but not zero.  Monitor updates.

The severe thunderstorm concerns are mainly this afternoon into the mid-evening hours.

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Gusty winds are likely today.  Gusts may exceed 35 mph.

Here are the early morning current conditions.  This is the 4 AM readings.

A mild morning across the region. Some areas are already hitting the 70-degree mark.

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Several cold and warm fronts will track across the region today through Saturday night.

Those systems should exit by Sunday morning.  Easter Sunday will be cooler.  It should be dry with showers ending before sunrise.  The ground will be damp.

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On-and-off showers and thunderstorms will result from this series of fronts.  See the video and the graphics above and below for the rain chances for each 12-hour period.

How much rain is anticipated?

My forecast called for 1 to 2 inches of rain between the last two days and Sunday morning.

Some of you have already received more than 0.50″.  Meanwhile, others have received no measurable rain.

When all is said and done, numerous locations this week and weekend will have received over an inch of rain.

We will see how it goes between now and Sunday.

Peak rain days were forecast to be today through Saturday evening.  Rain will end west to east Saturday night.

There is some indication that my eastern counties may receive less than one inch.  That would be Owensboro south to LBL and then eastward from there.

There is an 70% chance of 1 to 2 inches of rain from the last couple of days through early Sunday morning.

There is a 20% chance that totals will exceed 2 inches in some locations.

We need the rain.  Many areas are dry.  The new drought monitor numbers will be released later this morning.

Speaking of rainfall.

Here is the official NOAA/WPC rainfall forecast

Double-click the graphics to enlarge them.

The NOAA/WPC forecast is a bit higher than the EC AI model.

Notice the area of lower totals over portions of Kentucky and Tennessee (lower as you travel eastward).

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The severe weather threat has increased a bit for this afternoon and night.  The primary concern will be damaging wind and hail.  A low tornado risk.  The tornado risk is not zero.

Here is that outlook from the Storm Prediction Center/NWS.

The yellow zone is a level two out of five risk.  The scale ranges from one to five.  One being the lowest severe threat.

The dark green zone is a level one severe weather risk.

The light green zone is where storms are possible, but will likely remain below severe levels.

This is for this afternoon and night.

Again, the top of the page has the graphic from the NWS, as well.

Double-click the image to enlarge it.

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.