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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
April 14th through April 20th
Current risk: MONITOR.
Current confidence level: Medium.
Comment: I am monitoring Friday night into Saturday. That threat may remain to our west.
I will keep an eye on Sunday night into Tuesday. It appears the weather will become a bit more unsettled next week. It is too early to know if tornadoes will be a concern. Monitor updates.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. Lightning is possible Wednesday night into the weekend, on and off chances.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? MONITOR. A risk may develop Friday night, but right now, it appears the risk will be higher to our west. I will monitor Sunday night into Tuesday.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME. Ongoing river and overland flooding will continue.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.
6. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? NO.
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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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Forecast discussion.
- A warming trend will develop mid to late week.
- I am monitoring shower and thunderstorm chances from Thursday into the weekend.
- Unsettled next week.
- A bit early to know if severe weather will be a concern, but monitor updates.
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Major flooding continues in some counties.
Avoid flooded roadways. Water continues to recede in many areas. Larger rivers, however, continue to rise.
River and lake stages. Forecasts. Click here.
We are waking up to mild temperatures.
Here were the 6 am temperatures.
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Today will be nice. Mild temperatures. A cold front will push across the region this afternoon and tonight.
This front, for most of us, will be dry. I do have widely scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for northwest Kentucky and the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky.
Perhaps near the KY/TN border, as well. That would most likely be this afternoon and evening.
The bulk of the shower and thunderstorm activity, with today’s system, will remain to our east.
It will be a bit cooler tomorrow and Wednesday.
A warming trend develops on Thursday into the weekend. Highs will pop into the 70s and perhaps 80s.
A weak system will brush the region Wednesday night and Thursday. I have a low chance of a shower or thunderstorm during that time frame.
A cold front will push towards the region on Friday night and Saturday. A few showers and thunderstorms will accompany that system.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a risk of severe weather for that system, mainly to our west.
Here is the Friday SPC severe weather outlook. As you can see, it clips my far northwest counties.
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I will need to monitor Friday and Saturday. The severe weather risk could impact our local area if the front speeds up a tad.
Monitor updates, as always. It is spring.
A stronger system will push into the region on Sunday into Tuesday. This will bring another risk of intense storms.
The Storm Prediction Center has not outlined our region for severe thunderstorms, but that could change.
Monitor updates concerning Easter into Tuesday.
I would not cancel or change any Easter weekend plans, but stay abreast of updated forecasts.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
GFS model
This shows you the weekend system.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
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Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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