Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

.

I am going to try to streamline the blog.  Centered on the most important aspects of the forecast.   

.

Key Messages

🌡️ Hot and Humid Through Thursday

The hottest weather of the year so far will continue today and Thursday. Afternoon temperatures will climb above 90 degrees, and when combined with high humidity, it will feel like 100 to 105 degrees at times. A little relief is expected on Friday after a cold front moves through.  Stay cool.  Take breaks if you must work outside, as always.

Here are the anticipated heat index values.  Double-click to enlarge this graphic.

.

⛈️ Storms Return Thursday Night and Friday Morning

A cold front approaching from the northwest will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday morning. Some storms could become strong or severe, with damaging wind gusts and brief heavy rainfall as the main concerns.

The concern for severe weather is slightly greater over the northern portions of southeast Missouri and northern portions of southern Illinois.  Monitor updates.

Here is the current severe weather outlook for Thursday night.  The yellow zone is a level two out of five severe weather risk.  The dark green is the level one out of five threat zone.  The scale ranges from one (low) to five (highest).

The light green is where storms are possible but likely to remain below severe limits.

.

🌧️ Wet Pattern Returns Late This Weekend

Additional showers and thunderstorms return late in the weekend.

Friday into Saturday afternoon should be a bit less muggy than today and tomorrow.  Shower and thunderstorm chances will wane on Friday morning and Saturday.

The brief break from humidity won’t last long. Muggy conditions will return by Saturday night, along with renewed chances for showers and thunderstorms through Monday or Tuesday.

🌤️ Looking Ahead

The weather pattern next week may support periods of heavy rain, and some areas could experience localized flash flooding. An isolated severe storm cannot be ruled out, but heavy rainfall appears to be the bigger concern at this time.

Forecast at a Glance

Today & Thursday

• Hot and humid
• Highs above 90°
• Heat index 100–105° 🌡️

⛈️ Thursday Night & Early Friday Morning

• Showers and thunderstorms increase Thursday night.  And then will diminish from northwest to southeast on Friday morning.
• Some storms could be strong on Thursday night.
• Damaging winds and heavy rain are possible.

Friday morning through Saturday afternoon

• Drier conditions are anticipated during this time period.
• A bit less muggy.  A bit cooler.

Saturday Night Through Early Next Week

• Humidity returns
• Multiple chances for showers and storms
• Heavy rainfall and localized flooding possible

.

.

🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado and Severe Weather Outlook ⛈️

June 10th  through June 16th

A severe thunderstorm is defined as a storm that produces 58 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail or larger. 

Current severe weather risk:  POSSIBLE.  I am monitoring Thursday night’s thunderstorms.  I am mainly watching the northern portions of southeast Missouri and the northern portions of southern Illinois.  I will keep an eye on trends.   A line of storms will approach from the north northwest and move southeast.  Some of the data rapidly weakens it.  Monitor updates.

I am also monitoring Saturday through Monday.  For now, the risk during this time period appears low, but not zero.

Current tornado risk:  LOW.  The risk of tornadoes is low through next Tuesday.  I will keep an eye on the Thursday night thunderstorms.

Current confidence level in the tornado forecast: Medium.

.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

* Scroll down to see your local city rain probability maps.

.

Let’s Look At The Seven-Day Rainfall Totals Forecast

General rainfall total maps for today through next Wednesday morning.

* As is typical for late spring, totals will vary greatly.  Thunderstorms can double your rainfall totals.  Keep that in mind.

.

Western view (Missouri and southwest Illinois)

.

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

.

Live Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

.

.

.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
.

Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

.

.

** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
.

More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

.
We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways to receive severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon, it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
.

.

More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

.

Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF