Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I am going to try to streamline the blog.  Centered on the most important aspects of the forecast.   

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Key Messages

⛈️ Today and tonight 

Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected today, bringing periods of heavy rain and the potential for a few severe storms capable of producing damaging winds or a brief low-end tornado. Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App. The threat of heavy rainfall and flash flooding is increasing, and a Flash Flood Watch (see below) is in effect for parts of the region.

Tuesday and Tuesday night

Chances of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Tuesday.  Some of the thunderstorms on Tuesday could also be intense with strong wind gusts.  Lower chances of thunderstorms from Tuesday night through Thursday morning.

Heat and Humidity

🥵 The hottest weather of the season so far arrives on Tuesday. High temperatures will approach 90 degrees, and when combined with high humidity, it will feel closer to 100 degrees through Thursday. Some relief is expected by Friday.

Thursday through Sunday

⛈️  Another weather system is expected late Thursday into Friday, bringing another chance for showers and thunderstorms.  A few storms could be strong.

The weekend will be quite warm.  A bit less muggy. Perhaps a low chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms (likely <20%).  I will monitor that.

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The Bottom Line

• Today into this evening: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some strong, with heavy rain possible.
•  At least scattered showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday.  A few storms could be strong.
• Wednesday through Thursday: Lower chances of thunderstorms on Wednesday through Thursday morning. Hot and very humid, with heat index values near or above 100°.
• Thursday afternoon into Friday: Another round of showers and storms may move into the region. Some could be strong.
•  The weekend looks warm.  Less humid.  Maybe some isolated thunderstorms.  Low confidence in thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday.  High confidence in it being quite warm.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado and Severe Weather Outlook ⛈️

June 8th  through June 14th

Current severe weather risk:  POSSIBLE.  A few of the thunderstorms today and tomorrow could produce strong wind gusts and small hail.  There is a risk that a few of the thunderstorms will produce damaging wind gusts.  I am monitoring Thursday and Friday as well.

Current tornado risk:  LOW (but not zero).  We will have thunderstorms today.  There is a bit of spin in the atmosphere.  I can’t rule out a brief low-end tornado or a landspout.  These tend to last a few minutes.  These types of weather setups tend to be in the EF0 to EF1 range.  The threat of tornadoes on Tuesday is lower.  Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App.

Current confidence level on the tornado risk: Medium.

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

* Scroll down to see your local city rain probability maps.

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Dew Points.  A muggy few days ahead of us.

Notice how humid it feels outside today?  That is because we have high dew points.  Dew point measures the moisture in the air.  It is a better gauge of “mugginess” than humidity.

Look at today’s dew points.  Muggy!

Dew points in the mid to upper 70s.  That is air you wear.  Uncomfortable.

By Saturday and Sunday, the dew point temperatures will be a bit lower.  It will feel a bit better outside than the coming days.

Saturday dew points (the graphic below)

Sunday dew points

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Let’s Look At The Seven-Day Rainfall Totals Forecast

General rainfall total maps for today through next Monday morning.

* As is typical for late spring, totals will vary greatly.  Thunderstorms can double your rainfall totals.  Keep that in mind.  I would not be surprised if a few spots receive more than three inches of rain this week.  Perhaps in a short amount of time.

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Western view.

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Live Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways to receive severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon, it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF