Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

May 7, 2026: A nice day ahead. Warmer this weekend. Monitoring thunderstorm chances.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

May 7th through May 13th

Current riskNone

Current confidence level: Medium.

Comments:  Tornadoes are not in the forecast.  

 

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Possible.   A chance Friday night, Saturday night, and on Sunday/Sunday night.

2.  Are organized severe thunderstorms. NOT AT THIS TIME.

3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.    

5. Will the temperature rise above 90 degrees?  NO.    

6. Is the heat index forecast to rise above 100 degrees? NO.

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⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.

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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Here is your bus stop forecast 

This morning

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This afternoon

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Tomorrow morning

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Tomorrow afternoon

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Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video and graphics below for more details specific to your county.  This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.

See the rainfall probability graphic below.


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My daily video

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Forecast discussion

  •   A decent day ahead of us.
  •   Warmer this weekend.
  •   A chance of widely scattered showers and storms late Friday afternoon into Friday night.
  •   Another chance of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday night and Sunday.
  •   The warmest day will likely be Saturday.
  •   Several cool shots to come.

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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?

No weather concerns today or tonight.  Calm weather.  Enjoy.

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Here are the early morning current conditions.  These are the 4 AM readings.


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Weather Outlook

The drought monitor maps will be posted later today.  We will see if there has been any improvement in recent weeks.

Temperatures will start to warm up a little today as high pressure moves across the area and sunshine returns. However, cooler air in the upper atmosphere will keep temperatures below normal, with highs staying in the 60s today. Humidity will also be low, with dew points dropping into the 30s.

Even though the air will be fairly dry, recent rain and light winds will help keep the field and brush fire danger low.

Another cold front will approach on Friday afternoon and night. As high pressure moves east, winds will turn from the south and bring warmer, more humid air back into the region. High temperatures should return to the 70s, with humidity increasing as well.

This front may bring some showers and thunderstorms on Friday afternoon and night, but the main energy with this system will stay to our north and east. Because of that, storms should generally remain weak.

Rainfall amounts will vary quite a bit across the region. Areas near the I-64 corridor may see around half an inch of rain, while far southern areas near the Tennessee and Arkansas borders may see little to no rain.  See the graphics below.

The weekend starts off very nice.

Saturday will continue the warming trend and could be the warmest day of the forecast, with highs possibly reaching around 80° in some locations.  That will feel nice!  We deserve some warmer spring days.

Another weather system will arrive late Saturday night into Sunday, bringing another chance of showers and storms. Current forecasts suggest less rainfall than earlier expected, with most places receiving around a third of an inch or less. The best chance for slightly higher rainfall amounts will be across southern Kentucky near the Tennessee border.

Severe weather is not expected to be a major concern at this time.

Temperatures will cool slightly on Monday, with highs near 70°, before warming again into the 70s on Tuesday and possibly near 80° by the middle of next week.  Not too bad for May.

Rainfall total maps through Sunday.  Not much.  Thunderstorms can always enhance totals.  Keep that in mind.

Double-click on images to enlarge them.

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Let’s look at the rain probability maps.   What is the % chance of rain?

Double-click maps to enlarge them.

7 AM Friday to 7 PM Friday

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7 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday

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7 AM Saturday to 7 PM Sunday


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7 PM Saturday to 7 AM Sunday


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7 AM Sunday to 7 PM Sunday

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7 PM Sunday to 7 AM Monday

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr Model

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

GFS Model

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Green is rain.  Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM Model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 76 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 53 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 77 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.
Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar


If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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We do have some sponsors!  Check them out.

Roof damage from recent storms?  Link – Click here

INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!

⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/

 

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways!  Now, I have another product for you and your family.

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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?

Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!

Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!

Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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