Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Wednesday, July 20, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

Temperatures will vary greatly today based on cloud cover


48-hour forecast



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Wednesday to Wednesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Thunderstorms today/this evening (Wednesday) could become severe with high wind and hail.  I am monitoring Monday into Tuesday, as well of next week.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Possible. Thunderstorms today (Wednesday) could become severe with high wind and hail.  I am monitoring Monday into Tuesday, as well of next week.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Monitor.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential rain, which can quickly flood roadways and ditches.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Yes.  Today into the weekend.  Peak days being today, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.  Expect 100 to 115 degrees on those days.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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July 20, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Low confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Hot. Muggy.  Becoming partly cloudy with a chance of scattered intense thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: After 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 115°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Use care in the heat.  Heavy rain.  Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty winds near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:50 AM
Sunset:  8:13 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A chance of mainly evening thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Before midnight.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 12:12 AM
Moonset:  1:26 PM
The phase of the moon:  Last Quarter

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July 21, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Not quite as humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 95°  /  SE MO 90° to 95° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 95° /  South IL 90° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 95°  /  West KY 90° to 95° /  NW TN 90° to 95°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 95°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:51 AM
Sunset:  8:12 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70°  /  SE MO 65° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 65° to 70° /  South IL 65° to 70°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 65° to 70°  /  West KY 65° to 70° /  NW TN 65° to 70°
Winds will be from the: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 12:38 AM
Moonset:  2:27 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 22, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest south 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 100° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Use care in the heat.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:52 AM
Sunset:  8:11 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 75°  /  SE MO 70° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 75° /  South IL 70° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 75°  /  West KY 70° to 75° /  NW TN 70° to 75°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 1:05 AM
Moonset:  3:28 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 23, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday  Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 98° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 115°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Use care in the heat.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:53 AM
Sunset:  8:11 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76°  /  SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° /  South IL 73° to 76°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 73° to 76°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 1:36 AM
Moonset:  4:26 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 24, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Very hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 98° to 102°  /  SE MO 98° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 96° to 100° /  South IL 96° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 96° to 100°  /  West KY 96° to 100° /  NW TN 96° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 115°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Use care in the heat.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:53 AM
Sunset:  8:10 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Most likely dry, but I will monitor a weak cold front approaching from the north.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 78°  /  SE MO 76° to 78° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 78° /  South IL 76° to 78°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 74° to 78°  /  West KY 76° to 78° /  NW TN 76° to 78°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 2:12 AM
Moonset:  5:27 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 25, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Monday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.  Temperatures may vary depending on the placement of a weak cold front.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 94° to 98°  /  SE MO 93° to 96° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 95° /  South IL 92° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 95°  /  West KY 93° to 96° /  NW TN 94° to 96°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 92° to 105°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Use care in the heat.  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:54 AM
Sunset:  8:09 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of scattered thunderstorms
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 76°  /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 72° to 75°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 74° to 76°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 2:54 AM
Moonset:  6:23 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 26, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 94°  /  SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° /  South IL 92° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94°  /  West KY 92° to 94° /  NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 95° to 100°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:55 AM
Sunset:  8:08 PM
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Tuesday  night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of scattered thunderstorms
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 76°  /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 72° to 75°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 74° to 76°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 3:41 AM
Moonset:  7:13 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 27, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 90° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 90°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:56 AM
Sunset:  8:07 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 72°  /  SE MO 66° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 72° /  South IL 66° to 72°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 66° to 72°  /  West KY 66° to 72° /  NW TN 70° to 72°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 4:35 AM
Moonset:  7:56 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through July 31st:  If thunderstorms form today, then they could be severe.  Monitor updates.  There is a low-end risk of severe weather next Monday and Tuesday along a weak cold front.  Damaging wind will be the primary concern.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Heat Wave
    2.   Use care if you must work outside this week.
    3.   Don’t forget the outdoor animals.  Change water bowls.
    4.   Thunderstorm chances

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Weather advice:

Deadly heat this week and likely into next week.

It isn’t often I use the word deadly. With that said, over the last few weeks, several of our area residents have died from heat stroke. We don’t even have tornado deaths every year. So it is important to remember that heat is our number one weather killer.

Yes, it’s summer. We were due a hot and dry summer. 2012 and 2016 were the latest intense summers. 2012 being an exception drought year. Summer can be hot. We know this.

The Paducah, KY, NWS has a web page related to heat safety. Some of the signs of heat related illness might surprise you. https://www.weather.gov/safety/heat

Summer heat can be dangerous. Several of my friends were sent to the hospital over the past few weeks with heat related illnesses. It can happen to you.

Thus, this is a reminder to use care. Take breaks. Hydrate. Avoid the hottest portion of the days.

Elderly residents are trying (like everyone) to save on excessive air condition bills. They may be less likely to use their air condition. Check on elderly residents and the young.

Don’t forget heat compounds. With each passing extreme heat day, the chances of heat related illness rises.

Don’t forget our outdoor pets. They can also have heat stroke. Change water bowls frequently.

Peak heat days will be today, tomorrow, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Actual air temperatures well into the 90s with some reporting stations above 100 degrees.

Heat index values of 100 to 110 degrees. Isolated 110 to 120 degree readings are possible. Remember, your body responds to the heat index and not the air temperature. The heat index is more important to your body vs the actual air temperature. Same as wind chill values and frost bite.

The pattern appears locked in for several more weeks. Periodic thunderstorm chances (same as recent weeks) will still occur.

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

The primary concern remains the heat.  See above.

A couple of thunderstorm chances over the next seven days.

A weak cold front will push into the region today.  This front will be the focal point of convergence.  Air meeting.  This will cause some lift.

There is a lot of debate about whether thunderstorms will develop.  I added thunderstorm chances.

The primary time-frame of concern will be 3 PM to 10 PM.  If thunderstorms form, then they could produce damaging wind, hail, heavy rain, and lightning.  A few severe thunderstorm warnings will be possible.

There is no shortage of energy during the summer months.  Thunderstorms tap into that energy and can produce wind damage.  Downburst winds.

Let’s keep an eye on radars later today.

Another cold front will push into the region late Sunday night into Tuesday of next week.  This is a weak front.  Additional storms will be possible.

Once again, thunderstorms that form could be intense.

The front will wash out or disappear by next Tuesday night/Wednesday.  Some boundaries could remain in the area.  If that occurs, then a couple of thunderstorms could redevelop during the heat of the day Wednesday.

I am closely watching the end of the month and first few days of August for a break in the pattern.  Long way off and confidence, of course, isn’t great.

September isn’t far off.  Autumn will eventually arrive.  I know we are tired of the heat.

Let’s compare this current drought to the one in 2012.  Several of you have asked.

The 2012 drought was much more intense/severe.  It was widespread.

2012 drought monitor map

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Current drought monitor map

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World history was made yesterday.  Europe is baking.

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Look how far off the chart this heat is in the United Kingdom.

 

 

 

 



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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

NO RAIN ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM).  Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Early AM Energy Report.  Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers July 19th through July 25th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are typically updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers July 27th through August 2nd

Click on the image to expand it

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  90 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers August 2nd through August 15th


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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

 

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Autumn Forecast

Temperatures

Precipitation

 

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These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

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The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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