Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Thursday, March 9, 2023: Rain is the main topic.

 

Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

Consider giving www.weathertalk.com as a gift. A gift that keeps on giving. 🙂
They will receive
.
1. Daily forecasts (hand typed) sent to the Beau Dodson Weather app.
2. Daily short and long range outlooks on the weather blog.
3. The Daily weather blog contains all the weather information you could ever want or need!
4. Tornado and severe thunderstorm alerts sent directly to your cell phone via the Beau Dodson Weather app.
5. Ice storm alerts. Winter storm alerts.
6. Ohio and Missouri Valley videos.
7. Long range forecast videos and more!
.
Here is how to subscribe.
Visit the www.weathertalk.com website and make an account.
Then, add in their cell phone number(s), the county they live in, and what counties they would like to receive alerts for.
You can then pick and choose what products you want them to receive on your app.
Then, have them download the Beau Dodson Weather app from the app store. It is under Weather Talk.
.
Apple users: Beau Dodson Weather App
Android users: Beau Dodson Weather App
.
.
Subscribers, check your accounts and make sure your payments are up to date. Do that by logging
into www.weathertalk.com and then click the payment tab. Thank you 🙂
.

Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.  Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

 

Beau’s Two Minute Weather Video

.

Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities).  Your location will be comparable.

Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.

This shows you the forecast high.  The records.  The average and then the departure (how many degrees above or below average will temperatures be).

The graphic shows you what our average daily rainfall is for the day.  That is not what is expected (that is the average from past year).

 

If you have not subscribed to my YouTube Channel then click on this link and it will take you to my videos.

Click the button below and it will take you to the Beau Dodson YouTube Channel.


48-hour forecast



.


.

Thursday to Thursday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Lightning is possible Saturday night and Sunday.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  No.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Unlikely.    For now, the risk of flash flooding appears low.  Rain should be in the light to moderate range through Sunday afternoon.  This could aggravate ongoing flooding, but new flash flooding appears unlikely.  I will closely monitor it.

4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees?  No.

5.  Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast?   Not at this time.

6.  Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast?  Not at this time.
Freezing rain is rain that falls and instantly freezes on objects such as trees and power lines

6. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  No.

 

.

.

Thursday, March 9, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Thursday Forecast:    Mostly cloudy with showers  likely.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 80%
Southeast Missouri ~ 80%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 80%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky ~ 80%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 80%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 90%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation:  Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 50° to 54°
Southeast Missouri ~ 52° to 54°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 54° to 58°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 50° to 54°
Southern Illinois ~ 52° to 55°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 52° to 55°
Far western Kentucky ~ 56° to 58°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 56° to 58°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 52° to 55°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 56° to 58°

Winds will be from this direction:  East southeast 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 56°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
UV Index: 2. Low
Sunrise: 6:14 AM
Sunset:  5:56 PM
.

Thursday night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.  Ending west to east.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40%

Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered with decreasing coverage west to east.
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 36° to 38°
Southeast Missouri ~ 40° to 44°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 42° to 45°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 36° to 40°
Southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 38° to 42°
Far western Kentucky ~ 42° to 44°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 43° to 46°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 44°

Winds will be from this direction:  Southwest becoming west northwest 15 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B.
Moonrise:  8:13 PM
Moonset:  7:24 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

.

Friday, March 10, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Friday Forecast:   Intervals of clouds. Windy.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 46°
Southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 52° to 55°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 43° to 46°
Southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 48° to 50°
Far western Kentucky ~ 50° to 54°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 52°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 48° to 52°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 52° to 55°

Winds will be from this direction:  Northwest 15 to 30 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 45°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:13 AM
Sunset:  5:57 PM
.

Friday night Forecast:   Partly cloudy. Windy.  Colder. A freeze is possible in some counties.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~  0%
Southeast Missouri ~  0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~  0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
Southeast Missouri ~ 30° to 34°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 33° to 35°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 28° to 32°
Southern Illinois ~ 32° to 34°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 32° to 34°
Far western Kentucky ~ 32° to 35°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 33° to 35°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 32° to 35°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 33° to 35°

Winds will be from this direction:  North northeast 15 to 30 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 22° to 32°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Freeze possible in some counties.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  9:16 PM
Moonset:  7:48  AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

.

Saturday, March 11, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Saturday Forecast:   Increasing clouds. A chance of showers during the afternoon.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40%
Far western Kentucky ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20%

Coverage of precipitation: Scattered (increasing chances PM hours)
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly after 2 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
Southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 52°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 52° to 54°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Southern Illinois ~ 45° to 50°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 48° to 50°
Far western Kentucky ~ 50° to 52°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 54°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 48° to 50°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 52° to 54°

Winds will be from this direction:  East northeast becoming east southeast 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 50°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset:  5:59 PM
.

Saturday  night Forecast:  Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 70%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation:  Widespread
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 36°
Southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 36°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 44°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 34° to 36°
Southern Illinois ~ 34° to 38°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 34° to 38°
Far western Kentucky ~ 36° to 40°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 38° to 40°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 34° to 36°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 42° to 45°

Winds will be from this direction: East southeast 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 32° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.  Monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise:  10:22 PM
Moonset:  8:14 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

.

Sunday, March 12, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Sunday Forecast:   Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 60%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%

Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time, but decreasing coverage during the day.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 46°
Southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 46°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 50° to 54°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 43° to 46°
Southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 44° to 48°
Far western Kentucky ~ 50° to 54°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50° to 55°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 50° to 52°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 52° to 55°

Winds will be from this direction:  North 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 52°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B early in the day.  Monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:10 AM
Sunset:  6:59 PM
.

Sunday night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy early. A chance of an evening shower, then clearing late. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 10%
Southeast Missouri ~ 10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 10%
Southern Illinois ~ 10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky ~ 20%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20%

Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the precipitation: Before 6 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 30°
Southeast Missouri ~ 30° to 34°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 32° to 35°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 28° to 30°
Southern Illinois ~ 30° to 34°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30° to 34°
Far western Kentucky ~ 32° to 34°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 32° to 35°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 32° to 35°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 33° to 36°

Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 22° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways early at night.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  -:–
Moonset:  9:44 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

.

Monday, March 13, 2023
Confidence in the forecast?  High Confidence  
Monday Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 44° to 48°
Southeast Missouri ~ 45° to 50°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 48° to 52°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 44° to 48°
Southern Illinois ~ 45° to 50°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~45° to 50°
Far western Kentucky ~ 46° to 50°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 46° to 50°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 46° to 50°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 48° to 52°

Winds will be from this direction: Northwest 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 44° to 50°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate
Sunrise: 7:08 AM
Sunset:  7:00 PM
.

Monday night Forecast:  Mostly clear. Cold. Frost and/or freeze possible.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%

Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 25° to 28°
Southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30° to 32°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 25° to 28°
Southern Illinois ~ 28° to 30°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 28° to 32°
Far western Kentucky ~ 30° to 32°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30° to 34°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30° to 32°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30° to 32°

Winds will be from this direction: Northwest 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 22° to 28°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Frost and perhaps a freeze.  Frost will depend on winds dying down.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise:  12:29 AM
Moonset:  10:20 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

 

 

.

..

** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



.

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.

Today through March 15th:  Severe weather is currently not anticipated.

 

.

Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables.  Click here.

.

Tornado Probability Outlook

.

Large Hail Probability Outlook

.

High wind Probability Outlook

.

Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

.

Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

 

.

.

The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

24-hour precipitation outlook..
.

.

48-hour precipitation outlook.
.

.

72-hour precipitation outlook.
.

.



Weather Discussion

    1.  Rain!
    2.  Dry Friday and Friday night.
    3.  Rain returns this weekend.
    4.  Frost and freeze threats.

 

Weather advice:

As we prepare for spring, let’s make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

.

Forecast Discussion

The primary weather topic today and tonight will be rain.

Rain is already showing up on radar this morning and will overspread the region as we move through today into this evening.  The rain will then end west to east this evening and tonight.  Clouds will linger into the night.

Seasonable temperatures today.  Above average temperatures tonight (with those remaining clouds).

I don’t have any weather concerns for your Friday or Friday night.  It will be chilly Friday night, but winds may stay up just enough to prevent a widespread killing frost.

If the wind were to subside, then the frost risk increases.

A light freeze is possible Friday night in some locations.  Expect lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

You can take the general idea from this graphic.

Upper 20s north.  Lower 30s south.  You can see where the potential placement of the freeze line will be.

For some, it will be close.  Thus, a light freeze is certainly possible.  If clouds clear fully, then shave another degree or two off the thermometer.

This will not be the last frost and freeze threat.

Our next weather system quickly pulls into the region Saturday.

Most of Saturday morning will be dry.  Rain will increase from northwest to southeast across the region during the afternoon and evening hours.

Saturday’s future-cast radar shows that nicely.

12 PM future-cast radar

3 PM future-cast radar

6 PM future-cast radar

Rain will increase Saturday night into Sunday.  A few thunderstorms will be possible, as well.  Some elevated CAPE north of the front boundary.

I can’t completely rule out some pea size hail.  The freezing level will be fairly low.

We dry out as we move into Sunday evening and night.

Dry conditions Monday into Wednesday.

We will need to monitor temperatures Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday night.  They may provide an opportunity for frost and freeze conditions.  I know many of you already have flowers blooming and trees budding.

That may not be our last chance at freezing, as well.

The latest WPC day 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day outlooks have been posted.  See the BAMwx ones farther down the blog.

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.

Green is above average precipitation.

Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

 

 

.

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

.

What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

.

This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

.

This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

.

This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

Models are not picking up on much precipitation through Sunday night.

They show scattered sprinkles or flurries today into tomorrow.

You can barely see them on these graphics.

 

.

This animation is the higher resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

.

This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

.

This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

.

This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

.

This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

Green represents light rain.  Dark green represents moderate rain.  Yellow and orange represent heavy rain.

Red represents freezing rain. Purple represents sleet.  Blue represents snow.  Dark blue represents heavy snow.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

.

.


.

 

Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM). 

 

 


.

.

.

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers March 8, 2023 through March 14, 2023

Click on the image to expand it.

.
The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

.
.
Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 38 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″
.
This outlook covers March 15th through March 21st

Click on the image to expand

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

.
.
THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
.
Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
.
Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  65 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.90″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers March 21st through April 3rd

Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

.

March Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

.

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

April Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

.

E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

May Temperature and precipitation Outlook

Double click images to enlarge them.

.

Seasonal temperature and precipitation outlook

March through May

.

Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



.

Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

.

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

.

Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

.

.

Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

.

Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

.

.
Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

.

Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

.


 

 

Comments are closed.