Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Thursday, July 21, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.

Temperatures will vary greatly today based on cloud cover


48-hour forecast



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Thursday to Thursday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Lightning is possible Sunday night into Wednesday of next week.  I will monitor Thursday of next week.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Possible. Storms next week could be locally intense.  Same as recent weeks.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Monitor.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential rain, which can quickly flood roadways and ditches.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Yes.  Today into the weekend.  Peak days being Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.  Expect 100 to 115 degrees on those days.  It is possible Monday will be slightly cooler.  This will depend on the placement of the cold front.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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July 21, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Not quite as humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 95°  /  SE MO 90° to 95° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 95° /  South IL 90° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 95°  /  West KY 90° to 95° /  NW TN 90° to 95°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 95°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Excessive heat can cause heat illness.  Use care.  Change your pets water bowl frequently during the heat.  Check on the elderly.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:51 AM
Sunset:  8:12 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70°  /  SE MO 65° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 65° to 70° /  South IL 65° to 70°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 65° to 70°  /  West KY 65° to 70° /  NW TN 65° to 70°
Winds will be from the: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 12:38 AM
Moonset:  2:27 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 22, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 96° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest south 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 110°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Excessive heat can cause heat illness.  Use care.  Change your pets water bowl frequently during the heat.  Check on the elderly.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:52 AM
Sunset:  8:11 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 75°  /  SE MO 70° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 75° /  South IL 70° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 75°  /  West KY 70° to 75° /  NW TN 70° to 75°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 1:05 AM
Moonset:  3:28 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 23, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday  Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 98° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 115°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Excessive heat can cause heat illness.  Use care.  Change your pets water bowl frequently during the heat.  Check on the elderly.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:53 AM
Sunset:  8:11 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76°  /  SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° /  South IL 73° to 76°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 73° to 76°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 1:36 AM
Moonset:  4:26 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 24, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Very hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 98° to 102°  /  SE MO 98° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 96° to 100° /  South IL 96° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 96° to 100°  /  West KY 96° to 100° /  NW TN 96° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 105° to 115°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Excessive heat can cause heat illness.  Use care.  Change your pets water bowl frequently during the heat.  Check on the elderly.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:53 AM
Sunset:  8:10 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A thunderstorm will be possible.  Mainly late at night.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: After 1 AM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 76° to 78°  /  SE MO 76° to 78° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 78° /  South IL 76° to 78°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 74° to 78°  /  West KY 76° to 78° /  NW TN 76° to 78°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 2:12 AM
Moonset:  5:27 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 25, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Monday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 95°  /  SE MO 90° to 95° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 95° /  South IL 90° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 95°  /  West KY 90° to 95° /  NW TN 90° to 95°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 92° to 100°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Use care in the heat.  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:54 AM
Sunset:  8:09 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of scattered thunderstorms
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 76°  /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 72° to 75°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 74° to 76°
Winds will be from the: Variable wind direction 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 2:54 AM
Moonset:  6:23 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 26, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:55 AM
Sunset:  8:08 PM
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Tuesday  night Forecast:  Partly cloudy. A chance of scattered thunderstorms
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 76°  /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 72° to 75°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 74° to 76°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 3:41 AM
Moonset:  7:13 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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July 27, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 85° to 90°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  South IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:56 AM
Sunset:  8:07 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~4 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 72°  /  SE MO 66° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 72° /  South IL 66° to 72°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 66° to 72°  /  West KY 66° to 72° /  NW TN 70° to 72°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check your Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 4:35 AM
Moonset:  7:56 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through July 31st: I am monitoring next week.  Thunderstorms are possible.  Summer thunderstorms can produce damaging wind gusts.  Monitor updates.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Heat remains the primary weather story.
    2.   Use care if you must work outside this week.
    3.   Don’t forget the outdoor animals.  Change water bowls.
    4.   Thunderstorm chances next week.

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Weather advice:

Deadly heat this week and likely into next week.

It isn’t often I use the word deadly. With that said, over the last few weeks, several of our area residents have died from heat stroke. We don’t even have tornado deaths every year. So it is important to remember that heat is our number one weather killer.

Yes, it’s summer. We were due a hot and dry summer. 2012 and 2016 were the latest intense summers. 2012 being an exception drought year. Summer can be hot. We know this.

The Paducah, KY, NWS has a web page related to heat safety. Some of the signs of heat related illness might surprise you. https://www.weather.gov/safety/heat

Summer heat can be dangerous. Several of my friends were sent to the hospital over the past few weeks with heat related illnesses. It can happen to you.

Thus, this is a reminder to use care. Take breaks. Hydrate. Avoid the hottest portion of the days.

Elderly residents are trying (like everyone) to save on excessive air condition bills. They may be less likely to use their air condition. Check on elderly residents and the young.

Don’t forget heat compounds. With each passing extreme heat day, the chances of heat related illness rises.

Don’t forget our outdoor pets. They can also have heat stroke. Change water bowls frequently.

Peak heat days will be today, tomorrow, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Actual air temperatures well into the 90s with some reporting stations above 100 degrees.

Heat index values of 100 to 110 degrees. Isolated 110 to 120 degree readings are possible. Remember, your body responds to the heat index and not the air temperature. The heat index is more important to your body vs the actual air temperature. Same as wind chill values and frost bite.

The pattern appears locked in for several more weeks. Periodic thunderstorm chances (same as recent weeks) will still occur.

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Here was yesterday’s heat advisories.

Now check out today’s.

You can see the cold front has smacked the extreme heat further south.  That is the good news for today.

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Some locations picked up buckets of rain yesterday/last night.  In particular was a severe thunderstorm that impacted Union, Alexander, and Pulaski Counties.

Some small locations received 2 to 3.5″ of rain!  Crazy, right?

The storm was a supercell thunderstorm.  It produced a  wall cloud and a funnel cloud in extreme southern Illinois.

This is what a supercell thunderstorm looks like.  Thankfully, we didn’t have more wind shear (wind aloft).  Had we had wind shear then it would have produced a tornado.  Probably would have only taken 10 to 20 mph more of wind shear.  It was close!

I did some screen grabs of the storm.  Here they are.

You can see the hook on the left.  That is where the wall cloud was and a brief funnel cloud.  The image on the right shows wind shear.  The red and green is where the wind is rotating.

The storm remained over the same area for about two hours.  The storm cell then slid southward and once we lost the heating of the sun, the storm weakened.

A couple of other storms impacted southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky.

The bulk of the region remained dry.  About what was expected.  Again, feast or famine weather.  Someone ends up with inches of rain.  Others have dust.

Summer!

The good news is that heat index values won’t be as extreme today.

Yesterday was horrible.  Let’s look back at the numbers.  If you thought it was hot, then you would be right.

Some locations recorded heat index values in the 115 to 125 degree range.  Insane.

Dew point readings were oppressive.  Dew point is a measure of moisture.  It is what makes it feel muggy outside.

Meteorologist Jim Rasor posted this

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Heat Returns

Heat index values will again rise above 100 degrees Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and perhaps Monday.

Excessive heat is likely this weekend.  Dangerous/deadly heat.

Actual air temperatures will rise into the 96 to 102 degree range.  Perhaps some of the hottest days of the summer, thus far.  Air temperature-wise.

We will have to see if heat index values can again crawl into the 120s in some counties.  It is possible.

The GREAT news is this graphic below.

There are indications that next week could deliver several chances of widespread showers and thunderstorms.  Above average rainfall.  This would be WELCOME news for many locations.

Rain totals will exceed two inches in some counties.  A few storms could be severe, as well.

This could be the first time this summer we have had a pattern shift like this.  That would mean multiple days with rain chances.  Thunderstorm chances.

Of course, the rain could be locally heavy with plenty of moisture around.

Updated drought maps shows improvement of much of southern Illinois.  Worsening conditions over portions of Missouri and Kentucky.

New map

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

Previous update

New map

Previous update

 

New map

Previous update

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

NO RAIN ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY

 

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM).  Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Early AM Energy Report.  Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers July 20th through July 26th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are typically updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers July 28th through August 3rd

Click on the image to expand it

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  90 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers August 2nd through August 15th


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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

 

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Autumn Forecast

Temperatures

Precipitation

 

Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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