September 5, 2025: A few showers and thunderstorms later today and tonight. Ending tomorrow morning. Cooler tomorrow.

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Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

September 5th through September 12th

Current risk: NO

Current confidence level: Medium confidence in the forecast.

Comments: We are not anticipating tornadoes.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. There is a chance of lightning this afternoon into tonight. The risk of lightning on Saturday is small.

2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? LOW LEVEL RISK.

There is a low-end severe weather risk in the dark green zone later today. The concern will be a few reports of strong winds and hail.

The dark green zone is the low-level one risk. Light green is where storms are possible, but likely below severe levels.

The Storm Prediction Center has shifted the level one risk (dark green) farther south and east.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? UNLIKELY. Thunderstorms can produce isolated areas of heavy rainfall. That can briefly cause water to overflow onto roadways.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? ISOLATED. A few locations could hit 90 degrees this afternoon (our far southern and southeastern counties). Most of the region will remain in the eighties. See graphics below for today’s high temps.

6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.

7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? NO.

8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.

9. Will the temperature fall below 32 degrees? NO.

Here is the short-range concern meter.

A few of Friday’s thunderstorms could be strong with gusty winds. There is a low level risk of a few storms producing damaging wind and quarter-sized hail.

Here is the extended concern meter. This takes us through next Thursday.

A few of the thunderstorms on Friday afternoon and evening could produce strong wind gusts and quarter-sized hail. A few severe thunderstorm warnings will be possible. Mainly over portions of Missouri/Kentucky/Tennessee. Overall, the risk at any given location is low.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast.

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This afternoon

Forecast discussion

Warm today. Cooler this weekend.
Showers and storms are possible this afternoon into early Saturday morning. I am semi-optimistic that some locations could exceed 0.50″. Some locations will receive little or no rainfall. Keep that in mind.
Nice weather early next week.
It will be a bit warmer as we move through next week.

Good morning, everyone.

I am in Huntsville, Alabama, for a weather conference.

Today will be warm with widespread eighties. A few spots could even reach the upper eighties.

There will be a bit of a spread today in the temperature department. Notice that some locations could hit the 90 degree mark!

Double click this image to enlarge it.

Check out Saturday’s highs. Nicer temperatures will filter into the region behind a cold front.

Nice.

Another cold front will arrive tonight. This will bring additional shower and thunderstorm chances to the region this afternoon and tonight. Showers may linger into early Saturday morning.

Some of those thunderstorms could be intense with strong wind gusts and quarter-sized hail. Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App.

The Storm Predition Center did shift the severe weather outlook farther south and east.

Here was yesterday’s outlook.

The dark green zone is the level one (low) risk of severe weather. The light green is where storms are possible, but likely below severe levels.

Here is today’s severe weather outlook.

This is the latest outlook. Notice the shift south and east of the dark green zone. That is good news.

Rainfall totals, over the next 24 hours, will range from 0.00″ to 0.50″. Locally higher in the heavier thunderstorms.

Some locations will miss out.

Double click to enlarge this graphic.

Let’s look at the rain (%) probability graphics.

This is for today (7 AM to 7 PM).

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This is for 7 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday.

This is for 7 AM Saturday to 7 PM Saturday

It will be warm today. Temperatures will shift below average from Saturday through at least Tuesday. Temperatures will warm a bit after that.

Average highs for early September are in the mid to upper eighties. Normal lows are in the low to mid sixties.

Here is the latest EC ensembles temperature forecast. I picked Harrisburg as a central location. The entire region will be similar. Slightly higher in the far south. Slightly lower north.

I continue to watch a potential warm-up around the 13th to 19th. Perhaps we pop above normal for a few days.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM 3K model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 86 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 63 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 85 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

We do have some sponsors! Check them out.

Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here

INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!

⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.

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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?

Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!

Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!

Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.

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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.