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I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging. We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather. The app typically will receive the messages instantly. I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.
Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated. You are being given my personal attention during significant weather events.
WWW.WEATHERTALK.COM subscribers, here is my day to day schedule for your weather products.
These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers. I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. I pay them to help with videos.
The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area. They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but may add one in the future.
The long-range video is technical. Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long range video. Just keep in mind, it is a bit more technical.
September 11, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. A few clouds from time to time. Pleasant temperatures.
Temperatures: MO ~ 76 to 80 IL ~ 76 to 80 KY ~ 76 to 80 TN ~ 78 to 82
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Wind: East and northeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 6 to 7 Moderate to high
Sunrise: 6:34 AM
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 62 IL ~ 58 to 62 KY ~ 58 to 62 TN ~ 60 to 64
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none. Small chance of a light shower.
Wind: Northeast and east at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Patchy fog could lower visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:09 PM
Moonrise: 8:34 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 8:43 PM
September 12, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds. Mild temperatures. An isolated light shower possible over western Kentucky and northwest Tennessee. Most will remain dry.
Temperatures: MO ~ 76 to 80 IL ~ 76 to 80 KY ~ 76 to 80 TN ~ 76 to 80
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none. Small chance of a shower.
Wind: E NE at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 6 to 8 Medium to high
Sunrise: 6:35 AM
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Clearing overnight. Patchy fog possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 64 IL ~ 58 to 64 KY ~ 60 to 65 TN ~ 60 to 65
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: East and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? If fog forms there would be lower visibility
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:07 PM
Moonrise: 9:39 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 9:17 PM
September 13, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. A few passing clouds. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 84 to 86 IL ~ 82 to 86 KY ~ 82 to 86 TN ~ 82 to 86
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: Northeast at 4 to 6 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 6 to 8 High
Sunrise: 6:36 AM
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Mild. Patchy fog possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 60 to 64 IL ~ 60 to 64 KY ~ 60 to 64 TN ~ 64 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:06 PM
Moonrise: 10:44 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 9:52 PM
September 14, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Warmer.
Temperatures: MO ~ 84 to 86 IL ~ 84 to 86 KY ~ 84 to 86 TN ~ 84 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North and northeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8 High
Sunrise: 6:37 AM
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Mild. Patchy fog.
Temperatures: MO ~ 62 to 66 IL ~ 62 to 64 KY ~ 64 to 66 TN ~ 64 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:04 PM
Moonrise: 11:45 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 10:29 PM
September 15, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Warm.
Temperatures: MO ~ 84 to 86 IL ~ 84 to 86 KY ~ 84 to 86 TN ~ 84 to 86
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8 High
Sunrise: 6:37 AM
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 66 IL ~ 64 to 66 KY ~ 64 to 66 TN ~ 64 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:03 PM
Moonrise: 12:45 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:08 PM
September 16, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly clear. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 84 to 86 IL ~ 84 to 86 KY ~ 84 to 86 TN ~ 84 to 86
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Wind: North and northeast at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8 High
Sunrise: 6:38 AM
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 64 to 66 IL ~ 64 to 66 KY ~ 64 to 66 TN ~ 64 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 7:01 PM
Moonrise: 1:41 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:51 PM
Here is the latest WPC/NOAA rainfall outlook.
This graphic takes us through next Monday morning.
Check out the East Coast. A catastrophic flood event is going to happen in some towns and cities. I would not be surprised to see some areas receive 20 to 30 inches of rain.
Rain is not anticipated locally through Friday. Small chance of a light shower tonight and Wednesday.
We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.
If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.
You may also try restarting your browser. The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.
During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
Questions? Broken links? Other questions?
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.
Today through Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. Calm weather.
Interactive live weather radar page. Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one. Click here.
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
Live lightning data: Click here.
Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
- Some clouds. Calm weather for our region.
- Hurricane Florence and its eventual track
The main weather story over the coming days will be the quiet weather.
We will have some clouds today into Wednesday. There is a small chance of an isolated shower or two tonight and Wednesday. That would mainly be over western Kentucky and Tennessee. Odds favor your county remaining dry.
Temperatures will be pleasant with highs in the upper 70’s to lower 80’s. Overnight lows will be on the cool side. There could also be patchy fog over the coming mornings. We had some fog this morning.
Dry weather should last into the weekend. We may start to see clouds increase by Sunday or Monday.
The next big weather story is Hurricane Florence. A monster hurricane off the East Coast. This system is going to cause widespread damage as it moves into the southeast United States. The Carolina’s into Virginia appear to be the target of the center of the storm.
The impacts will extend way beyond the center. Widespread flash flooding, river flooding, damaging winds, and tornadoes will likely occur with this hurricane. Some areas will likely receive more than 20 inches of rain.
The latest model guidance attempts to bring the remnants of this system into the Ohio Valley. It is premature to dismiss this or accept it. The model guidance is not in agreement as to the exact track.
I am forecasting the system to stall over the southeast United States for 48 hours. If it does stall, which appears likely, some areas will be devastated by the flooding. Not a good situation for our friends on the East Coast.
This is the morning satellite view of Florence
Click to enlarge
The National Hurricane Center will be issuing forecasts on this system.
Here is their link CLICK HERE
Spotter classes
Here is the preliminary fall outlook from the long range meteorology team.
Click to enlarge this graphic.
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The September forecast has been updated.
I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. They are excellent long-range forecasters.
Remember, long-range outlooks are a bit of skill, understanding weather patterns, and luck combined. It is not an exact science.
This product is for subscribers.
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page CLICK HERE
This product is for subscribers.
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page CLICK HERE
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First glance at fall!
Preliminary October precipitation outlook
Here is the preliminary November temperature and precipitation outlook
Preliminary November temperature outlook
Preliminary November precipitation outlook
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A new weather podcast is now available! Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)
To learn more visit their website. Click here.
WeatherBrains Episode 659
Dr. Jack Davis, our Guest WeatherBrain for this episode of our netcast, is the professor of history at the University of Florida and a Pulitzer Prize-winning author of the book The Gulf: The Making of an American Sea. His areas of specialization include US Environmental History, Modern US, US South, Florida History, and Sustainability Studies. He has penned two other books: An Everglades Providence: Marjory Stoneman Douglas and the American Environmental Century and Race Against Time: Culture and Separation in Natchez Since 1930.
Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:
- Extremes: 113 at Death Valley, CA, and 24 at Stanley, ID
- Hurricane Gordon making landfall in north central Gulf Coast
- Typhoon Jebi smashes Japan
- Excessive rain along front from Colorado to western Great Lakes
- Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
- and more!
Link to web-site https://weatherbrains.com/
Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.
We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.
During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Find me on Facebook!
Find me on Twitter!
Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?
You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.
I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging. We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather. The app typically will receive the messages instantly. I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.
Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated. You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.
