Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

October 9, 2019: WeatherTalk update. The password is not the same as your WeatherTalk account. Email me if need be. beaudodson@usawx.com

 

Click one of the links below to take you directly to each section.

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    1. Go to storm tracking tools. Radars, lightning, & satellite
    2. Go to today’s forecast
    3. Go to the city-view graphic-casts
    4. Go to the severe weather outlook
    5. Go to the weather forecast discussion
    6. Go to the model future-cast radars
    7. Go to videos
    8. Go to weeks one, two, three, and four temperature & precipitation graphics
    9. Go to the autumn outlook.
    10. Go to the winter outlook,
    11. Go to Weatherbrains
    12. View our community charity work. Your subscription dollars help support these causes.
    13. County maps. I made a page with county maps. Some of you requested this.

Do you have questions or suggestions? If so, please email me. Beaudodson@usawx.com

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Quick Glance

 

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Wednesday: No.
Thursday: Lightning is possible late Thursday night.
Friday:  Lightning is possible Friday and Friday night.  Some storms could be intense.  Monitor updates.
Saturday:  No.
Sunday:  No
Monday: N0
Tuesday:  No
Wednesday:  No

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Wednesday through Saturday

  1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes:   Late Thursday night into Friday evening
  2. Is severe weather in the forecast?  Possible.  I am monitoring Friday.  For now, the severe weather risk appears low.
    * The NWS officially defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
  3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Unlikely:
  4. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? No.
  5.  Is Frost in the forecast?  Monitor.  I am monitoring late Friday night if the wind dies down.  Then again on Saturday night/Sunday morning.
  6.  Is snow or ice in the forecast? No.

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Sunday through Tuesday

  1. Is lightning in the forecast? No:
  2. Is severe weather in the forecast? No.
    * The NWS officially defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
  3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Not at this time.
  4. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? No.
  5. Is Frost in the forecast?  Monitor.  I am monitoring low temperatures on Saturday and Sunday night.
  6. Is snow or ice in the forecast?  No.

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  1.  Rain chances ramp up late Thursday night into Friday night.
  2.  Colder Friday, Saturday, and Sunday night.  Lows dipping into the 40s behind the cold front.  I can’t rule out some upper 30s.  I am monitoring that portion of the forecast.  Frost can’t be ruled out.

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County Maps: Click Here

Have there been any significant changes in the forecast over the last 24 hours?

No major adjustments.

I added low-end rain chances to the Monday night/Tuesday forecast.

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What changes might occur in the forecast?

The chance of frost.  I will need to monitor wind conditions on Friday night/Saturday morning.  Then again on Saturday night/Sunday morning.  Winds would decrease the chance of frost.  Light frost, either way.  This will not be a killing frost.

 

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October 9, 2019
Wednesday’s Forecast:  Morning fog possible.  Mostly sunny AM.  Some clouds during the afternoon.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~  0%       KY ~ 0%          TN ~ 0%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: High (70% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 78° to 80°   SE MO 76° to 80°    South IL  75° to 80°    Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 74° to 78°   West KY 76° to 78°   NW TN 78° to 82°
Wind direction and speed:  East and southeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 82°
Coverage of precipitation: None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Lower visibility in areas of fog
What action is required:  Slow your vehicle in areas of dense fog.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  6 Moderate
Sunrise: 6:58 AM
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Wednesday night Forecast:   A few clouds.  Cool.  Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~ 0%      KY ~ 0%         TN ~ 0%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: Medium (60% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 60°   SE MO 56° to 58°   South IL 56° to 58°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58°   West KY 55° to 60°   NW TN 58° to 62°
Wind direction and speed:  Southeast at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 60°
Coverage of precipitation:  None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Monitor the chance of fog.
What action is required:  Fog may require you to reduce your vehicle speed.  Otherwise, none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 6:27 PM
Moonrise: 4:52 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
Moonset: 2:50 AM

 

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October 10, 2019
Thursday’s Forecast:  Mostly sunny during the morning hours.  Increasing clouds late in the day.  Becoming breezy.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%     IL ~  0%       KY ~ 0%          TN ~ 0%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: High (70% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 83° to 86°   SE MO 82° to 85°    South IL  82° to 85°    Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°   West KY 82° to 85°   NW TN 83° to 86°
Wind direction and speed:  South wind increasing to 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 83° to 86°
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None (monitor AM fog).
What action is required:  None (monitor morning fog chances)
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  7 High
Sunrise: 6:58 AM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Increasing clouds overnight.  Breezy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms developing from the west.  The movement will be east.  Rain chances are greater after midnight.  Mild temperatures.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 50%      IL ~ 40%      KY ~ 30%         TN ~ 30%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: Medium (50% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°   SE MO 56° to 62°   South IL 58° to 64°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°   West KY 60° to 65°   NW TN 62° to 65°
Wind direction and speed: South and southeast wind increasing to 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Late at night, some wet roadways are possible, especially over southeast Missouri.  Lightning, as well.
What action is required:  Monitor the chance of lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 6:26 PM
Moonrise: 5:21 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
Moonset: 3:47 AM

 

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October 11, 2019
Friday’s Forecast:  Cloudy.  Showers and gusty thunderstorms are likely.  Locally heavy rain.  Breezy.  Turning colder behind the cold front.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 80%     IL ~  80%       KY ~ 80%          TN ~ 80%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: High (70% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 75° to 80°   SE MO 75° to 80°    South IL  75° to 80°    Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 75° to 80°   West KY 75° to 80°   NW TN 78° to 82°
Wind direction and speed:  South wind increasing to 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 75° to 82°
Coverage of precipitation:  WA period of widespread
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Gusty winds near storms.
What action is required:  Lightning is a concern for those outdoors.  Monitor the risk of severe weather, as well.  Low risk.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
UV Index:  2 Low
Sunrise: 6:59 AM
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Friday night Forecast:  Cloudy.  Evening showers and thunderstorms are possible.  Ending west to east.  Turning colder.  If the wind subsides then some patchy light frost will occur where temperatures fall into the 30s.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 40%      KY ~ 40%         TN ~ 40%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: Medium (50% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 42° to 46°   SE MO 38° to 44°   South IL 38° to 44°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 42° to 46°   West KY 40° to 45°   NW TN 42° to 44°
Wind direction and speed:  Southwest becoming west/northwest at 10 to 20 mph early.  Winds subsiding overnight.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 38° to 46°
Coverage of precipitation:  Ending west to east during Friday afternoon into the evening hours.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
What action is required: Lightning is a concern for those outdoors.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B.
Sunset: 6:24 PM
Moonrise: 5:49 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
Moonset: 4:44 AM

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October 12, 2019
Saturday’s Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Chilly morning hours.  Isolated patchy morning light frost possible if clouds clear Friday night and winds subside.  The highest chance of that happening will be across the northern portion of southeast Missouri and northern portions of southern Illinois.  Not a killing frost (if any at all).
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~  0%       KY ~ 0%          TN ~ 0%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: High (80% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range:  MO Bootheel 60° to 65°   SE MO 58° to 64°    South IL  58° to 62°    Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°   West KY 60° to 64°   NW TN 60° to 65°
Wind direction and speed:  West and northwest at 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts likely.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 62°
Coverage of precipitation:  None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Isolated patchy morning light frost possible if clouds clear Friday night and winds die down.
What action is required:  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  5 to 6 Moderate
Sunrise: 7:00 AM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Clear.  Patchy fog.  Chilly temperatures.  Light frost possible.
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~ 0%      KY ~ 0%         TN ~ 0%
How confident am I that this forecast will verify: High (80% confidence in the forecast)
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 38° to 42°   SE MO 36° to 42°   South IL 36° to 42°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 38° to 40°   West KY 38° to 42°   NW TN 38° to 44°
Wind direction and speed: Southwest at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 36° to 40°
Coverage of precipitation:  None
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated patchy morning light frost possible.
What action is required:  Sensitive plants could have problems if temperatures fall into the 36 to 39-degree range.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 6:23 PM
Moonrise: 6:15 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
Moonset: 5:40 AM

 

Sunday:  High confidence.  Mostly sunny.  Highs in the 65 to 70-degree range. Clear Sunday night.  Chilly.  Lows in the 40 to 45-degree range.  Southwest wind 6 to 12 mph during the day and 4 to 8 mph at night.

Monday:  High confidence.  Mostly sunny.  Highs in the 68 to 74-degree range.   Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers Monday night.   Lows in the 46 to 52-degree range.  Variable wind at 6 to 12 mph during the day and night.

Tuesday:  Medium confidence. Partly sunny.  A 20% chance of showers during the day and night.  Highs in the 68 to 72-degree range.  Partly cloudy Tuesday night.  Low around 50 degrees.  Variable wind 6 to 12 mph during the day and 5 to 10 mph at night.

 

Learn more about the UV index readings. Click here.

Click to enlarge

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Wind forecast

Click the image to enlarge it.

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Current conditions.

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School Bus Stop Forecast


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And the afternoon bus stop forecast
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Click the graphic to view a larger size.

Weekend Camping Forecast

 

Click the graphic to view a larger size.

Agriculture Forecast


Graphic-cast

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** These graphic-forecasts may vary a bit from my forecast above **

CAUTION: I have these graphics set to auto-update on their own. Make sure you read my hand-typed forecast above.

During active weather check my handwritten forecast.

Missouri

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Illinois

** These graphic-forecasts may vary a bit from my forecast above **

CAUTION: I have these graphics set to auto-update on their own. Make sure you read my hand-typed forecast above.

During active weather check my handwritten forecast.

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Kentucky

** These graphic-forecasts may vary a bit from my forecast above **

CAUTION: I have these graphics set to auto-update on their own. Make sure you read my hand-typed forecast above.

During active weather check my handwritten forecast.

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Tennessee

** These graphic-forecasts may vary a bit from my forecast above **

CAUTION: I have these graphics set to auto-update on their own. Make sure you read my hand-typed forecast above.

During active weather check my handwritten forecast.



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Wednesday through Wednesday:  Thunderstorms are possible late Thursday night into Friday.  Ending Friday night.  The timing will need to be ironed out.  Some of these thunderstorms could be intense.  Monitor updates.   The overall severe weather outlook appears to be low.

I am starting to narrow the timing of the front down.  We may see peak thunderstorm chances Friday afternoon into Friday evening.

 

October and November often times will produce severe weather.  I will be monitoring that over the coming weeks.

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.

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Severe Weather Risk Graphic (this is not for regular summer storms.  This graphic is for severe thunderstorms)

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

Light green is not assigned a number. Light green is where storms may occur but should be below severe levels.

A severe storm is one that produces 60 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado. One or more of those is defined as a severe thunderstorm.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s outlook.

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk. Light green is not assigned a number.

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Be sure and have WeatherOne turned on in your WeatherTalk accounts. That is the one for tornadoes, severe storms, and winter storms.

Log into your www.weathertalk.com

Click the personal notification settings tab.

Turn on WeatherOne. Green is on. Red is off.

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Here is the latest graphic from the WPC/NOAA.

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24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Days one through seven added together. Seven-day rainfall totals.

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  1.    Nice weather through Thursday afternoon.
  2.    The next cold front arrives Thursday night into Friday evening.  Showers and thunderstorms likely.
  3.    Turning chilly behind the late-week cold front.

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Weather
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Advice:

Monitor updates concerning our next cold front.  That front arrives on Thursday night/Friday/Friday night.  I am monitoring the chance of intense thunderstorms ahead of the cold front.  Low confidence, for now.

The best chance of thunderstorms will likely be on Friday.

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Weather Forecast Analysis.

Calm weather will continue into Thursday afternoon.  Decent temperatures for October.

We will watch temperatures slowly rise ahead of our next storm system.  Warmer air moving northward from the Gulf of Mexico.

Our next weather maker will already be knocking on our door by Thursday night and Friday.

Model guidance has not been in agreement as to the timing of the frontal passage.  At one point, it appeared Thursday night and Friday morning.  The latest guidance has slowed the front a bit.  I will have the greatest rain chances centered on Friday, for the time being.

I will mention some shower/storm activity as early as Thursday night and ending Friday night.  Moving forward, I will monitor the trends in the ensemble guidance.

Warm and windy conditions will develop on Thursday/Thursday night as a deep area of low pressure develops well to our north/northwest.  This low will rapidly deepen as it moves into Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Heavy snow is likely on the northwest side of the low.  That heavy snow will be confined well to our north.

That is an indication of the strength of the system.

On Wednesday and Thursday,  a strong cold front will develop from Minnesota into Iowa, Kansas, and Oklahoma.  This front will move eastward Thursday night and Friday.

Warm/moist air will move northward from the Gulf of Mexico ahead of the cold front.  This will set the stage for our next chance of showers and thunderstorms.

As mentioned above, peak rain chances will likely arrive on Friday.

The bulk of the rain will be immediately along and behind the cold front.

A few of the showers and thunderstorms could produce heavy rain.  This is a potent autumn system.  I can’t rule out intense thunderstorms.  The overall severe weather risk appears small.  Perhaps not zero.

.Sharply colder air arrives behind the cold front.  I am monitoring the chance of the upper 30s and lower 40s Friday night and Saturday night.  I will have to monitor Sunday night’s low temperatures.  Most likely those will be in the forties.

You can see those temperatures in this animation.  Can you find the cold front?  It is obvious with warm air ahead of the front and cold air behind it.

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Here is the temperature anomaly map.  This shows above and below-average temperatures.  The blue and pink colors represent colder air.

The red and pink ahead of that is the warm air.  That is in front of the cold front.  You can see where the front is as it marches eastward.  Cold air digs in behind it.

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And wind speed.  Gusty winds with this system.  That will help pull colder air into the region behind the front.

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Rain showers will come to an end by Friday night.  Brisk winds will make it feel cooler.

Here are the WPC forecast graphics for the six to ten and eight to fourteen-day period.  This is for precipitation and temperatures.

Darker colors equal a higher chance of it happening.  Deep red means a high chance that temperatures will be above normal.  Dark blue means a high chance that temperatures will be below normal.

The light green colors represent a lower end chance of above-normal rainfall.  Dark green means a high chance of precipitation being above normal.

The yellow/orange color means a high chance that precipitation will be below normal.

The 6 to 10-day outlook.

Precipitation

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Temperatures

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And the 8 to 14-day outlook.

Precipitation

Temperatures

 


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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

Timestamp upper left.

Click the animation to expand it.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics.  Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3. During the summer months, models do not handle thunderstorms all that well. They tend to be chaotic.

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GFS future-cast radar.

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WRF

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NAM

 

.These maps below update several times a day. Occasionally, in between updates, you may see a duplicate day or one out of sync.

Forty-eight-hour temperature outlook.

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VIDEO UPDATES
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These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers. I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. I pay them to help with videos.

The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area. They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but they may add one in the future.

The long-range video is a bit technical. Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long-range video.

NOTE: These may not be updated on Saturday and Sunday.



Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

I hire BAMwx to help with videos.

They do not currently have a Kentucky/Tennessee specific video.

The Ohio Valley video does capture our region.

The long-range video does cover our region.

There may be some differences in the videos vs my forecast thoughts. Keep that in mind.

 

Ohio Valley video

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This video is a bit more meteorologically technical. An in-depth discussion about the coming weeks.

BAMwx did not make a long-range video today.


Long Range Video

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The Missouri Valley

 



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Key Points:  This was written by the BAMwx team.  I don’t edit it.

Key Points:

  • Major cold air in the Western and Central US slowly bleeds east the next 5 days. 
  • Ahead of this storm, the East Coast generally averages near or slightly above normal. 
  • The pattern looks to become more active into the week 2 period as we build the ridge further northeast. 
  • This will develop southwest flow aloft and provide a favorable pattern for above-normal rainfall for much of the Ag Belt, especially into the MS valley. 
  • Data has struggled in the long-range seeing these storm systems/cold fronts, so though only the GFS/Euro Control see our ~Oct. 20 – 23 system and cold shot, we still believe it is on the table given the typhoon recurve.

Weeks 1/2 temperature outlooks:

Click image to enlarge

Click image to enlarge

Week 1:

  • Still eyeing a historic storm for the north-central US starting tonight regarding potential snowfall…this will bring widespread frost/freeze risks across much of the Midwest.
  • Locations east / southeast of the Mississippi River see more “storm-induced warmth” risks pumping out ahead of this late-week storm system.
  • The cold looks to overcome the warmth in the Southeast, as heating demand nationally climbs above normal.

Week 2:

  • The pattern in the north-Pacific weighing in heavy with current week 2 outlook…cold northwest, warmer southeast due to storm-induced warmth risks continuing.
  • We anticipated some additional storm-induced warmth risks out ahead of our 20-23rd storm date east/southeast vs modeled.
  • Risk: Think models aren’t factoring in Super Typhoon Hagibis in the western Pacific (would pose cooler risks after the ~20th)…which is why we trended colder north vs data again today.

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Click image to enlarge

 

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Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 74 degrees.

Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.

Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.00″

Yellow and orange are above normal. Red is much above normal. Light blue and blue is below normal. Green to purple is much below normal.

This outlook covers October 9th through October 15th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF NORMAL. Brown is below normal. Green is above normal. Blue is much above normal.

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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal
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Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 71 degrees

Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 48 degrees

Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.30″
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This outlook covers October 16th through the 22nd

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF NORMAL. For example, if your normal rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 25%, then that would mean 0.25″ of rain is anticipated.

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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal
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Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 66  degrees
Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 43 degrees

Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 3.00″

This outlook covers October 18th through October 31st

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF NORMAL. For example, if your normal rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 10%, then that would mean 0.10″ of rain is anticipated.



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Outlook definitions
EC= Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal
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Fall Outlook

September, October, and November Temperature outlook

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.October
Temperature outlook.

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Precipitation outlook

 

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November

Click on the image to expand it.

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December

Click on the image to expand it.

January

February

March

 



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BAMwx has released its preliminary winter forecast.  Keep in mind, what you really want to know is not covered in a general winter outlook.  What you want to know is how much snow or ice will fall.  That is not possible to predict.

The best long-range forecasters can do is to tell you above or below normal temperatures and precipitation.

This initial winter outlook indicates odds favor above-normal temperatures when everything is averaged out from November into March.  That does not mean we won’t have cold weather.  It just means when you average all of those months together we could end up above normal.

They indicate above-normal snowfall, as well.

Winter analogs.  BAMwx found years that have a pattern similar to what we are currently experiencing.  Those are called analogs.  We can compare past years with the present.

Their analogs indicate colder than normal across portions of the central and northern United States.  They indicate above normal temperatures along the West Coast south and east into Texas.

Blue and purple are below normal (bright green, as well).  Yellow and orange are above normal.

Winter Precipitation

Click image to enlarge

Click image to enlarge.

Looking back at last year.  None of the models handled last year all that well.

Upper air pattern.

Here is the BAMwx temperature forecast.  This covers all of winter.  They have us in the above normal temperature zone.  Near normal just to our north.  For now, they have this marked as a low confidence forecast.

Additional winter forecasts will be posted over the next couple of months.  This is the preliminary outlook.



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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.

You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Did you know that you can find me on Twitter? Click here to view my Twitter weather account.

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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?

I have studied the weather in our region since the late 1970s. I have 40 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns.

My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and a Bachelor of Science (BS).

I am an NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador. I am the Meteorologist for McCracken County rescue squad. When asked, I assist Ballard and Massac Counties, as well.

I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory and WeatherTalk LLC.

There is a lot of noise on the internet. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.

My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.

  • Communicate in simple terms
  • To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
  • Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
  • Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
  • Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events

I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.

In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.

I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.

If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.

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A new weather podcast is now available! Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)

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To learn more visit their website. Click here.
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WeatherBrains Episode 712
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Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a guest who has appeared on several earlier episodes.  He is the host of the podcast “WeatherGeeks” and is a professor at the University of Georgia.  Dr. Marshall Shepherd, welcome back to WeatherBrains!

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Social media and meteorology issues
  • Tiered due system for AMS membership
  • The job outlook for students graduating in meteorology
  • Astronomy Report with Tony Rice
  • National Weather Round-Up
  • and more!

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Link to their website https://weatherbrains.com/

Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

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You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.

 

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