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Milner and Orr Funeral Home and Cremation Services located in Paducah, Kentucky and three other western Kentucky towns – at Milner and Orr they believe in families helping families. You can find Milner and Orr on Facebook, as well.
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Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full service Carwash and Lube established in 1987. They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well. . If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog..
New! Video page on the main Weather Talk web-site.
I am posting videos on the WeatherTalk website.
The videos can be found under the BeauCast tab. Click here..
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October 27, 2016
Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Cool. Patchy fog. Some stratus clouds may develop overnight, as well.
What impact is expected? Low visibility in foggy areas.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 44-48 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: North winds perhaps becoming east at 4-8 mph. Winds variable in direction. Winds becoming calm after midnight.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset will be at 6:01 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 4:17 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:45 p.m. Waning Crescent.
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October 28, 2016
Friday: Morning patchy fog. Some stratus clouds possible, as well. Clouds should thin (if they develop). Becoming partly to mostly sunny. Mild. Above normal temperatures, yet again. If clouds linger then shave 4-8 degrees off the temperatures.
What impact is expected? Morning low visibility where fog develops.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 75-80 degree range. Again, cooler if clouds persist.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: East and southeast winds at 6-12 mph with gusts to 15 mph. Winds may become southwesterly during the afternoon.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:16 a.m. and sunset will be at 6:00 p.m.
UV Index: 7-9
Moonrise will be at 5:13 a.m. and moonset will be at 5:16 p.m. Waning Crescent.
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Friday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog possible. Partly cloudy over our northern counties.
What impact is expected? Lower visibility in areas with fog.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 58-64 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: South and southwest winds at 2-4 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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October 29, 2016
Saturday: Morning patchy fog and clouds. Otherwise, becoming mostly sunny. Breezy. Mild. Well above normal temperatures.
What impact is expected? Lower visibility in areas with fog. Gusty winds on area lakes.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 76-82 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: Gusty west and southwest winds at 6-12 mph. Gusts to 25 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:17 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:59 p.m.
UV Index: 6-8
Moonrise will be at 6:08 a.m. and moonset will be at 5:48 p.m. Waning Crescent.
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Saturday Night: Perhaps a few clouds. Patchy fog possible. Mild for October.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 56-62 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: West and southwest winds at 4-8 mph. Winds variable in direction.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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October 30, 2016
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Well above normal temperatures.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 76-82 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: West and southwest winds at 7-14 mph with higher gusts possible.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:18 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:58 p.m.
UV Index: 6-8
Moonrise will be at 7:03 a.m. and moonset will be at 6:20 p.m. New Moon.
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Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Mild for October. Patchy fog possible.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 58-64 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: South and southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Winds becoming light after 11 pm.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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October 31, 2016
Halloween
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. Breezy, at times. Mild for October. Well above normal temperatures.
What impact is expected? Gusty winds possible.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 76-84 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: South and southwest winds at 10-20 mph. Gusts above 25 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:19 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:57 p.m.
UV Index: 7-9
Moonrise will be at 7:57 a.m. and moonset will be at 6:54 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
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Monday Night: Partly cloudy. Mild.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 58-64 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: South and southwest at 4-8 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None anticipated, at this time
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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November 1, 2016
Tuesday: Partly sunny. Mild for October. Well above normal temperatures.
What impact is expected? Most likely none
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 76-84 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: Variable winds at 6-12 mph.
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? Most likely none
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:20 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:56 p.m.
UV Index: 7-9
Moonrise will be at 8:51 a.m. and moonset will be at 7:32 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
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Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy.
What impact is expected? Most likely none.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 54-58 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: Variable winds at 4-8 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~10%. IL ~ 10%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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November 2, 2016
Wednesday: Partly sunny.
What impact is expected?
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 72-76 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: East winds becoming south/southwest at 5-10 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 10%. IL ~ 10%. KY ~ 10% . TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation?
Is severe weather expected?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
Sunrise will be at 7:21 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:55 p.m.
UV Index:
Moonrise will be at 9:45 a.m. and moonset will be at 8:12 p.m. Waxing Crescent.
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Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. A shower? Low confidence.
What impact is expected?
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 55-60 degree range.
Wind Chill: N/A
Winds: South and southwest winds at 3-6 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 20%. IL ~ 20%. KY ~ 20% . TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updated forecasts
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More information on the UV index. Click here
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The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.
Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities. Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
The weekend forecast is sponsored by Farmer and Company Real Estate. Click here to visit their site.
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Farmer & Company Real Estate is proud to represent buyers and sellers in both Southern Illinois and Western Kentucky. With 13 licensed brokers, we can provide years of experience to buyers & sellers of homes, land & farms and commercial & investment properties. We look forward to representing YOU! Follow us on Facebook, as well
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming days
- Spotter class this evening (Thursday evening webinar)
- Patchy dense fog
- WELL above normal temperatures into next week
- Dry
A rather boring weather pattern is shaping up through next Tuesday. We will have a nightly chance for patchy dense fog. Keep that in mind. Fog will linger into the morning hours.
Just to prove to you that it actually is autumn 🙂
Snowing over parts of the northeast. Blue colors represent snow. The purple colors represent sleet/snow/ice mixture.
One of my Canadian friends sent me this photograph! See, it actually is autumn. At least in Canada.
Breezy conditions are possible during the afternoon hours on Friday through Monday.
Temperatures will remain WELL above normal through the middle of next week. This is a crazy weather pattern. I don’t ever recall these type of temperatures for such a long duration, during the fall months. It is impressive (that is an understatement).
Our next chance for rain might arrive on Wednesday or Thursday. At this time, it does not appear to be a heavy rain event. Low confidence on timing.
If you are a regular follower of my weather information then I would encourage you to attend one of the FREE upcoming STORM SPOTTER classes.
You can register at the following LINK – CLICK HERE
Click graphic to register, as well
How much rain is NOAA/WPC forecasting over the coming days?
WPC/NOAA rainfall forecast
No rain in our forecast through at least Tuesday.
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Friday morning low temperatures
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Friday afternoon 4 pm temperatures
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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Thursday night through Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.No major changes in this update.
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Patchy dense fog could lower visibility over the coming nights. Fog will mix out during the early to mid morning hours.
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The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 37 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. I hold a Bachelor’s of Science in Geo-sciences with a concentration in Broadcast Meteorology. I graduated from Mississippi State University.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015
Meteorologist for the McCracken County Rescue Squad 2015-current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
