October 24, 2025: Monitoring weekend rain chances. Mainly on Sunday.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

October 24th through October 31st

Current risk: None

Current confidence level: High confidence.

Comments:

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? POSSIBLE. On Sunday (esp from the Bootheel into Kentucky/Tennessee)

2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

.3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.

6. Will the temperature fall below 32 degrees? NO.

7. Is a killing frost in the forecast? NO. Just this morning (Friday morning).

8. Is accumulating snow or ice in the forecast? NO.

Here is the short-range concern meter.

Here is the extended concern meter. This takes us through next Thursday.

A chance of lightning on Sunday.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast.

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This afternoon

Forecast discussion

A cool day ahead of us.
Rain chances are mainly centered on Sunday and Sunday night. Lower chances tonight into Saturday night.
Rain totals will be higher south vs north in the region.
I am tracking another system next Monday and Tuesday.

Seven-day outlook graphic.

See the video for more details for your specific county. This is a broad-brushed outlook for the entire region.

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Welcome to the weekend!

Today and tomorrow.

We are waking up to chilly conditions.

Here were the official 5 am temperatures. It was even colder than this in some backyards.

Temperatures will likely have fallen a few more degrees since this graphic was posted.

Here was the Wundergroup temperature map as of 6 AM. Double-click on the image to enlarge it.

Another calm weather day ahead of us. It will be seasonably cool. Highs will be in the sixties.

We will have increasing clouds later today and tonight.

Here was the 6 AM satellite image. You can see the clouds gathering to our west. They are spreading eastward.

Saturday will deliver quite a few clouds. Cool temperatures. A sprinkle, at most.

Guidance has finally come into better agreement on our rain probabilities.

The bulk of our rain event will hold off until late Saturday night into Sunday night.

The Weekend Weather

Sunday will be wet.

If you have outdoor plans on Sunday, then have a plan B. There will be rain on the weather radars. Spreading west to east across the region. You may have to move your event indoors.

Rainfall totals from late Saturday night into Sunday night will be a bit lower north vs south.

Let me show you that.

This is for Saturday night through 7 AM Monday.

Double-click the images to enlarge them.

Western view

Eastern view

Then, additional showers are likely next week. Here are the rainfall totals from 7 AM Monday to 7 AM Wednesday.

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Monday through Thursday is shaping up to deliver a mixture of sun and clouds. Spotty showers are likely.

It will not rain all the time. The rain chances on Monday through Thursday will likely remain scattered. I capped the chances at 30 to 40%.

An upper-level low will push across the region.

It will remain cool next week. As a matter of fact, temperatures may remain below normal through much of the week. Nothing extreme, but autumn cool.

Halloween is shaping up to be cool. Partly cloudy sky conditions. Highs in the 50s/60s. Lows in the 40s.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

GFS model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 72 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 47 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

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Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
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If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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