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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
November 7th to November 13th
Current risk: None
Current confidence level: High confidence.
Comments: No concerns.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? ISOLATED. Isolated lightning is possible today and Saturday.
2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? LOW RISK. A few of today’s thunderstorms could produce gusty wind and small hail. The risk of severe weather is low.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.
6. Will the temperature fall below 32 degrees? YES. Temperatures will dip below freezing on Sunday night/Monday morning and Monday night/Tuesday morning.
7. Is a killing frost in the forecast? YES. Frost is likely on Monday morning and Tuesday morning.
Here is the short-range concern meter.
A small chance of lightning today and tomorrow.

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Here is the extended concern meter.
Isolated lightning is possible today and tomorrow. An isolated strong storm is possible today. Gusty wind would be the primary concern. Small hail, as well.
The risk of severe weather appears small. I will keep an eye on Kentucky and Tennessee. For now, I kept us out of the blue for today.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics



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Here is your bus stop forecast.

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This afternoon

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Forecast discussion
- Mild today and tomorrow. Gusty winds.
- Isolated showers and thunderstorms today and tomorrow along two cold fronts. A small risk of strong storms today with gusty wind and small hail.
- The coldest air of the autumn, thus far, will arrive on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. Gusty winds.
- Wind chill values will drop into the teens and twenties from Sunday into Tuesday morning.
- A hard freeze is likely on Sunday night and Monday night. Low wind chill values on Sunday into Monday night.
- Warmer temperatures are expected towards the middle of next week.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brushed outlook for the entire region.
Today through Saturday
We are waking up to mild temperatures.
Here were the 5 am temperatures.

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A gusty cold front will sweep across the region today and tonight.
The overall trend in the forecast is drier. Rainfall totals continue to go down.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this morning and afternoon. Most areas will remain dry.
The chance of rain is a bit higher over Kentucky/Tennessee.
A second cold front will bring increasing clouds late Saturday into Sunday morning. A couple of showers will accompany that front, as well. Moisture is limited on Saturday. Any rain totals would be light.
Let me show you the rainfall totals forecast.
Don’t expect much.
Missouri view. None to trace amounts.

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The rest of the area. Rain totals will be light. The only exception will be if a thunderstorm forms. If that occurs, then rain totals would be a bit higher.
Many areas will miss out on the rain today and tomorrow.

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Let’s look at the rain probabilities. What is the % chance of rain?
Friday 6 AM to Friday 6 PM (notice rain chances are higher as you travel eastward in the region).
This will mainly be for this morning into the afternoon hours.

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Friday 6 PM to Saturday 6 AM

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Saturday 6 PM to Sunday 6 AM

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Sunday 6 AM to Sunday 6 PM

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Sunday 6 PM to Monday 6 AM

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Sunday through Wednesday
A brief blast of cold air. Milder by the middle of next week.
The coldest air of the autumn season will arrive on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday.
Temperatures may actually fall during the day on Sunday. It is going to be cold.
A hard freeze will occur on Sunday and Monday nights.
Sunday’s high temperature map
Monday’s high temperature map
We will warm up a bit by Wednesday.
Wednesday’s high temperature map
Gusty winds are likely on Saturday and Sunday. Perhaps Monday, as well. At times, gusting above 20 mph.
You can see the cold air arriving in this animation. Those blue colors are temperatures in the 20s.
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Time stamp upper left.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Monday morning low temperature forecast (ignore the time-stamp on these two graphics)
Tuesday morning low temperature forecast
Wind chill values will be cold.
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This is from the GFS model guidance.
Monday morning wind chill values (6 AM)
Double-click on the images to enlarge them.
Tuesday morning wind chill values
.I can’t rule out some clouds on Sunday and Monday. A sprinkle or flurry isn’t out of the question.
Temperatures are expected to moderate by the middle of next week. It won’t be as cold. Temperatures will pop above average, again.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Hrrr model
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
GFS model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 38 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
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Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
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Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
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Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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