Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section
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Seven Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures drop below 32 degrees? YES. Temperatures could drop below freezing Monday night and Tuesday night. Temperatures will drop below freezing Thursday night, Friday night, Saturday night, Sunday night, and Monday night.
6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? YES. I am monitoring wind chill values Thursday night into next week.
7. Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast? MONITOR. I am watching a system Saturday and Sunday. A low-end chance of flurries or snow. I will keep an eye on it.
8. Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.
Freezing rain is rain that falls and instantly freezes on objects such as trees and power lines Freezing fog possible, as well.
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Fire weather risk level.
Monday: 3. Very low risk.
Monday night: 4. Low risk.
Tuesday: 4. Low risk.
Tuesday night: 4. Low risk
Fire Weather Discussion
Scattered rain showers and breezy conditions can be expected Monday with minimum afternoon humidity values of 70-80%. Rainfall amounts will be around than a tenth of an inch or less. On Tuesday, dry conditions return and winds will be light with afternoon humidity dropping to 30 to 40%, poor dispersion and mixing levels around 2000 feet.
A Haines Index of 6 means a high potential for an existing fire to become large or exhibit erratic fire behavior, 5means medium potential, 4 means low potential, and anything less than 4 means very low potential.
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THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.
Scroll down to see your local forecast details.
Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a BLEND for the region. Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.
Rainfall totals today will be light. You can see that on the Hrrr model future-cast rainfall totals.
Some of you will receive no rain. Others will pick up 0.10″. Double click on images and animations to enlarge them.
Expected rainfall totals today and tonight.
Beau’s Seven Day Outlook Video
Long Range Video
48-hour forecast Graphics
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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities). Your location will be comparable.
Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.
The forecast temperature shows you today’s expected high and this morning’s low.
The graphic shows you the record high and record low for today. It shows you what year that occurred, as well.
It then shows you what today’s average temperature is.
It shows you the departures (how may degrees above or below average temperatures will be ).
It shows you the average precipitation for today. Average comes from thirty years of rain totals.
It also shows you the record rainfall for the date and what year that occurred.
The sunrise and sunset are also shown.
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Monday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A chance of showers. Showers will be light. Rainfall totals from 0.00″ to 0.10″. Some locations will remain dry. Falling temperatures over southeast MO and southern IL. Temperatures may fall late in the day over northwest TN and western KY, as well.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly between 11 AM and evening.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60° to 62°
Southeast Missouri ~ 62° to 64°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 64° to 66°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60° to 62°
Southern Illinois ~ 62° to 64°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 62° to 65°
Far western Kentucky ~ 62° to 65°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 64° to 68°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 62° to 64°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 64° to 66°
Winds will be from this direction: South becoming west at 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 55° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars. Scattered showers are likely.
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:45 AM
Sunset: 4:39 PM
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Monday Night Forecast: Evening clouds. A chance of evening showers over mainly Kentucky, and Tennessee. Turning colder.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 10%
Southeast Missouri ~ 10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 10%
Southern Illinois ~ 10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 20%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered (ending)
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly before 8 PM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
Southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 33°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 32° to 34°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 28° to 32°
Southern Illinois ~ 30° to 32°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 30° to 34°
Far western Kentucky ~ 32° to 34°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 33° to 36°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 32° to 34°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 33° to 36°
Winds will be from this direction: Northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways during the evening hours.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:27 AM
Moonset: 1:44 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Tuesday Forecast: Partly cloudy. Cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 50°
Southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 50°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 48° to 50°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 48° to 50°
Southern Illinois ~ 48° to 50°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 48° to 50°
Far western Kentucky ~ 48° to 50°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 48° to 52°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 48° to 50°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 48° to 52°
Winds will be from this direction: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 50°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:46 AM
Sunset: 4:39 PM
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Tuesday Night Forecast: Partly cloudy. Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 36°
Southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 36°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 34° to 36°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 34° to 36°
Southern Illinois ~ 34° to 36°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 34° to 36°
Far western Kentucky ~ 34° to 36°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 34° to 36°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 34° to 36°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 34° to 36°
Winds will be from this direction: Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 30° to 36°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:24 AM
Moonset: 2:05 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Wednesday Forecast: Increasing clouds. A chance of mainly afternoon showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly after 12 pm
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 48° to 50°
Southeast Missouri ~ 52° to 55°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 55° to 60°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 48° to 52°
Southern Illinois ~ 52° to 55°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 53° to 56°
Far western Kentucky ~ 54° to 56°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 54° to 58°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 52° to 55°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 55° to 60°
Winds will be from this direction: South southeast at 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 52°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No , but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:47 AM
Sunset: 4:38 PM
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Wednesday Night Forecast: Cloudy. Showers likely.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 60%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 33° to 36°
Southeast Missouri ~ 33° to 36°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 36° to 40°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 33° to 36°
Southern Illinois ~ 34° to 36°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 34° to 36°
Far western Kentucky ~ 35° to 40°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 35° to 40°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 34° to 38°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 35° to 40°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 22° to 32°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates
Moonrise: 3:22 AM
Moonset: 2:27 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Thursday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain early in the day. Tapering rain chances through the day. Chilly.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 30%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 40%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered showers (ending)
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly before 12 PM. Tapering off as the day wears on.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
Southeast Missouri ~ 42° to 46°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 44° to 48°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Southern Illinois ~ 42° to 44°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 43° to 46°
Far western Kentucky ~ 44° to 46°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 44° to 46°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40° to 45°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 43° to 46°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 44°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 1. Low.
Sunrise: 6:48 AM
Sunset: 4:38 PM
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Thursday Night Forecast: Mostly cloudy early. Then, decreasing clouds. Sharply colder. A slight chance of evening showers. Wind chill temperatures could drop into the teens.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 10%
Southeast Missouri ~ 10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 20%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated (ending)
Timing of the precipitation: Before 12 AM
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20° to 22°
Southeast Missouri ~ 22° to 24°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 22° to 24°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 22° to 24°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 22° to 24°
Far western Kentucky ~ 22° to 24°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 24° to 28°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 22° to 25°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 23° to 26°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:21 AM
Moonset: 2:52 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Friday Forecast: Partly cloudy. Cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
Southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 38° to 42°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 38° to 42°
Far western Kentucky ~ 38° to 42°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 38° to 42°
Winds will be from this direction: Northwest 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold wind chill values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:49 AM
Sunset: 4:38 PM
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Friday Night Forecast: A few clouds. Otherwise, cold. Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
Southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 24° to 26°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 18° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 20° to 22°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20° to 24°
Far western Kentucky ~ 22° to 24°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 22° to 25°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20° to 24°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 23° to 26°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold wind chill values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Moonrise: 5:23 AM
Moonset: 3:22 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Saturday Forecast: Partly cloudy. Cold. A chance of flurries or snow showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 20%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: During the afternoon
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
Southeast Missouri ~ 38° to 42°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40° to 44°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Southern Illinois ~ 38° to 42°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 38° to 42°
Far western Kentucky ~ 38° to 42°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 38° to 42°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40° to 44°
Winds will be from this direction: South 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 20° to 30°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold wind chill values. I will monitor the chance of snow showers.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 6:50 AM
Sunset: 4:38 PM
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Saturday Night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Cold. A chance of flurries or snow showers.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 20%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 20%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
Southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 22°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 23° to 26°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 18° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 18° to 22°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 29° to 22°
Far western Kentucky ~ 22° to 24°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 22° to 25°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 22° to 24°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 24° to 26°
Winds will be from this direction: North northwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold wind chill values. I will monitor the chance of snow showers.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Moonrise: 6:25 AM
Moonset: 3:58 PM
The phase of the moon: New
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Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways.
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Weather Highlights and Forecast Discussion
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- A cold front will enter the region today and tonight. Temperatures will fall today west to east.
- Scattered showers today. Light rain totals. Some areas may receive no rain.
- Turning colder today into tomorrow.
- Numerous showers Wednesday into Thursday. Peak rain chances will be Wednesday PM into early Thursday AM.
- Turning sharply colder late in the week into next week. Lows in the teens are possible. Cold wind chill values in the single digits to teens.
- I will keep an eye on a light snow system Saturday and Sunday.
Beau’s Forecast Discussion
Happy Thanksgiving week. I hope you and your family have a wonderful holiday week.
A cold front will push into the region today. It will be accompanied by clouds, falling temperatures, and a few light showers.
Rainfall totals will be light. Some of you will receive no rainfall. Others will pick up a trace to 0.10″.
Here is the official rainfall forecast from the WPC.
Temperatures will peak this morning over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Topping off in the 50s to around 60. Highs will be in the 60s across the rest of the region.
You can see those falling temperatures on this graphic.
Double click the animation to enlarge it. Time-stamp upper left.
Temperatures will fall behind the front. Temperatures will fall into the 40s by this afternoon over portions of southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Gusty northwest winds will make it feel colder behind the front.
The bulk of the rain will occur from late morning into the afternoon hours. Let’s look at two future-cast radars. The NAM 3K model and the Hrrr model.
Time stamp is in Zulu. 00z=6 pm. 06z=12 am. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm.
Hrrr model. This is showing you today’s rain event. Scattered showers.
Double click images and animations to enlarge them.
NAM 3k model. This is showing you today’s rain event.
Again rain totals today will be light. Some areas will receive no rain.
It will turn colder tonight with lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s. A freeze is possible in some counties. That means temperatures at or below 32 degrees.
The next precipitation system arrives Wednesday and Thursday.
We are finally starting to get this system into the forecast range. It continues to trend weaker and flatter. Farther south. That means lower rain totals and a shorter event.
There could be a few showers during the day on Wednesday. Peak rain chances, however, won’t arrive until Wednesday evening and night. Then, rain tapers off on Thanksgiving morning.
If we are lucky, then Thanksgiving will end up mostly dry. Some morning showers are the most likely outcome. Then, a chilly day but dry.
Here is the EC model. What radar might look like Wednesday and Thursday.
Here is the GFS model
For now, these are the anticipated rainfall totals from the Wednesday and Thursday event.
As you can see, totals have been lowered compared with the forecast 24 hours ago.
Double click the graphic to enlarge it.
The next weather story will be the cold air that arrives Thursday night into much of next week.
We will have several days with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens and twenties. Wind chill values will dip into the single digits to teens.
This will be a prolonged cold spell. Lasting several days.
You will want to get the winter gear out. Gloves and mittens for the children. Heavy coats for the bus-stop next week. Brrr weather.
Don’t forget our outdoor friends, as well.
Wind chill values will dip into the teens and single digits later this week/weekend. Wind chill is what the body feels.
Kids at the bus stop next week will need to be bundled up. It will be cold.
Let’s look at some of those overnight lows
This Friday morning
Saturday
Sunday morning
Sunday high temperatures
Here is another view of temperatures. I chose Paducah as a center point.
This is from the EC model
Blend of model temperatures
As you can see, it will stay chilly for a while.
This animation shows you how many degrees below normal temperatures will be.
The numbers represent the anomaly. How many degrees below average. Not the actual temperature.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the 50s. Average lows are in the 30s.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
You can see several rounds of cold temperatures pouring into the Ohio Valley today into next week. Some days WELL below seasonal averages.
A fast moving clipper system will bring an increase in clouds Saturday and Sunday.
A few snow flurries or snow showers will be possible Saturday and Sunday. For now, this does not appear to be a significant event, but I will keep a close eye on it.
I will monitor the system in case the intensity changes. For now, I have flurries or snow showers in the Saturday/Sunday forecast.
The Canadian model shows that band of snow. It does produce some accumulation. Long shot, for now.
Again, it will remain cold into next week.
No significant snow or ice events in the charts. I keep watching.
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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.
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Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Severe Weather Outlook
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter or larger size hail, and/or a tornado.
Explanation of tables. Click here.
Day One Severe Weather Outlook
Day One Severe Weather Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day One Tornado Probability Outlook
Day One Regional Tornado Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day One Large Hail Probability Outlook
Day One Regional Hail Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day One High wind Probability Outlook
Day One Regional Wind Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook. Day two outlook.
Day Two Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day Three Severe Weather Outlook
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The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.
24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 58 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 37 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.60″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 36 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.60″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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