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Severe weather app/text alerts from my keyboard to your app/cell phone. These are hand typed messages from me to you. During tornado outbreaks, you will receive numerous app/text messages telling you exactly where the tornado is located.
- Daily forecast app/texts from my computer to your app/cell phone.
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- Missouri and Ohio Valley centered video updates
- Long-range weather videos
- Week one, two, three and four temperature and precipitation outlooks.
Monthly outlooks. - Your subscription also will help support several local charities.
Would you like to subscribe? Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com
Typical progression on a severe weather day for subscribers.
I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging. We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather. The app typically will receive the messages instantly. I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.
Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated. You are being given my personal attention during significant weather events.
WWW.WEATHERTALK.COM subscribers, here is my day to day schedule for your weather products.
These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers. I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. I pay them to help with videos.
The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area. They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but may add one in the future.
The long-range video is technical. Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long range video. Just keep in mind, it is a bit more technical.
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November 21, 2018
Wednesday forecast: Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny. Cool. Below normal temperatures.
Temperatures: MO ~ 52 to 56 IL ~ 48 to 54 KY ~ 50 to 55 TN ~ 50 to 55
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Light winds less than 10 mph. Becoming southwest at 5 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High (90%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4 to 5 Moderate
Sunrise: 6:41 AM
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 28 to 34 IL ~ 28 to 34 KY ~ 30 to 35 TN ~ 30 to 35
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: South and southeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High (90%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 4:41 PM
Moonrise: 4:04 PM Waxing Gibbous
Moonset: 4:42 AM
November 22, 2018
Thanksgiving
Thursday forecast: Mostly sunny. A bit milder. Near normal temperatures.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 58 IL ~ 52 to 56 KY ~ 54 to 58 TN ~ 54 to 58
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: East and southeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High (90%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 4 to 5 Moderate
Sunrise: 6:42 AM
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Chilly.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 40 IL ~ 36 to 40 KY ~ 36 to 40 TN ~ 36 to 40
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Southeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High (80%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 4:40 PM
Moonrise: 4:43 PM Full
Moonset: 5:48 AM
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Rain ending as the night wears on.
Temperatures: MO ~ 43 to 46 IL ~ 43 to 46 KY ~ 43 to 46 TN ~ 44 to 46
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 70% IL ~ 70% KY ~ 70% TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Southeast to south at 8 to 16 mph with gusts to 25 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High (70%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B. Rain likely.
Sunset: 4:40 PM
Moonrise: 5:27 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 6:55 AM
November 24, 2018
Saturday forecast: AM clouds. Showers ending before 10 AM. Most of the day may end up dry (after sunrise).
Temperatures: MO ~ 52 to 56 IL ~ 52 to 56 KY ~ 52 to 56 TN ~ 52 to 56
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Becoming southwest at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium (60%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1 to 2 Low
Sunrise: 6:44 AM
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Intervals of clouds.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 42 IL ~ 38 to 42 KY ~ 38 to 42 TN ~ 38 to 42
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none, but monitor updates
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Becoming southwest and eventually west at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium (40%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 4:39 PM
Moonrise: 6:17 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 8:02 AM
November 25, 2018
Sunday forecast: Cloudy. Scattered rain showers.
Temperatures: MO ~ 52 to 56 IL ~ 52 to 56 KY ~ 52 to 56 TN ~ 52 to 56
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps numerous
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: West and southwest at 15 to 30 mph with gusts above 40 mph possible (esp MO/IL)
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium (50%)
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates. Some rain will be possible.
UV Index: 1 to 2 Low
Sunrise: 6:45 AM
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A few rain showers. Rain may end as non-accumulating snow. Turning colder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 35 to 40 IL ~ 34 to 38 KY ~ 38 to 44 TN ~ 38 to 44
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Is snow or ice anticipated? Monitor updates
Wind: West and northwest at 10 to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Monitor temperatures as precipitation continues. Falling temperatures behind the area of low pressure could turn the rain to snow.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium (40%)
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates. Some rain will be possible. Monitor the snow forecast.
Sunset: 4:39 PM
Moonrise: 7:14 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 9:08 AM
November 26, 2018
Monday forecast: Partly sunny. Windy. Cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 42 to 45 TN ~ 42 to 45
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium (60%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 1 to 2 Low
Sunrise: 6:46 AM
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy to clear. Colder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 24 to 28 IL ~ 24 to 28 KY ~ 24 to 28 TN ~ 24 to 28
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Is snow or ice anticipated? No
Wind: Northwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium (60%)
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 4:38 PM
Moonrise: 8:17 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 10:08 AM
Dry weather is expected Tuesday and Wednesday, as well.
Wind forecast
Click to enlarge
Today through next Wednesday: No significant winter weather anticipated. A snow flurry or snow shower possible late Sunday night as colder air arrives before the storm system. No accumulation.
The Weather Observatory will be holding two open houses for adults and children. Weather permitting, the open house will be Saturday, December 1st.
Class of 1988 (Massac County High School). I will be having a special open house for you on Friday, November 30th (the night before the other open house)
Learn more about the UV index readings. Click here.
Here is the WPC/NOAA rainfall outlook
Two rain events. One Friday/Friday night and another Sunday/Sunday night.
Rain totals won’t be extreme.
Most areas will receive 0.25″ to 0.65″.
EC model guidance rain forecast totals. EC is one of the model packages that I monitor.
WPC has this for rainfall totals (WPC = NOAA)
Click to enlarge (local view)
Missouri and Illinois
This is for both events.
Kentucky and Tennessee
This is for both events.
Did you know that you can find me on Twitter?
Subscribers, do you need a forecast for an outdoor event?
We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.
If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.
You may also try restarting your browser. The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.
During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
Questions? Broken links? Other questions?
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.
Today through Wednesday: No severe thunderstorms.
Interactive live weather radar page. Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one. Click here.
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
Live lightning data: Click here.
Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
- Have a great Thanksgiving
- No postings Thursday
Good day, everyone.
I hope you are having a nice week! I know many of you are off from work today into Friday.
We will have great weather today into Friday morning. No weather concerns.
The concerns center around rain and wind chances Friday into Friday night and then again Sunday and Sunday night.
No accumulating snow anticipated through next Tuesday.
No severe thunderstorm concerns through next Tuesday.
Greatest rain chances will be Friday afternoon and evening into Friday night. The bulk (if not all) of the rain should end by Saturday morning.
Rain totals from this event will likely range from 0.25″ to 0.40″.
Dry Saturday into Sunday morning. Increasing winds.
A chance of scattered showers Sunday (mainly PM hours) into Sunday night. Temperatures fall behind that system by late Sunday night/Monday. Precipitation should have ended by then. I can’t rule out a snow flurry or snow shower.
Winds Friday and Friday night will gust above 20 mph.
Winds Sunday into Monday will gust above 30 mph.
Updated November outlook for subscribers!
I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. They are excellent long-range forecasters.
Remember, long-range outlooks are a bit of skill, understanding weather patterns, and luck combined. It is not an exact science.
This product is for subscribers.
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page CLICK HERE
This product is for subscribers.
This product is for subscribers.
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page CLICK HERE
.
Fall Outlook!
These products are for subscribers.
November temperature and precipitation outlook
November temperature outlook
November precipitation outlook
.These products are for subscribers.
A new weather podcast is now available! Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)
To learn more visit their website. Click here.
WeatherBrains Episode 669
Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a CFM who started working for the City of Austin, TX’s Watershed Protection Department as an intern in 1998, and joined the Flood Early Warning System (FEWS) team in 2006. He serves as the Senior Systems Administrator, which is responsible for maintaining all IT hardware and software associated with FEWS. He is also an on-call responder for flood events in Austin. Working with Code for America, Matthew created AtxFloods.com in 2012. Matthew Porcher, welcome to WeatherBrains!
Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:
- Trace of snowfall at Wichita Falls, Texas
- 9.5 inches of snow in parts of Texas Panhandle
- Continued discussion on social media
- Over 5 inches of rainfall in parts of East Alabama
- Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
- and more!
Link to their website https://weatherbrains.com/
Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.
We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.
During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Find me on Facebook!
Find me on Twitter!
Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?
You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.
I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging. We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather. The app typically will receive the messages instantly. I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.
Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated. You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.
