Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Monday, August 29, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.   Numerous Monday and scattered Monday night.  Scattered chances Tuesday.  Isolated chance Saturday and Sunday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Low risk.  A couple of storms could produce strong wind gusts.  Organized severe weather appears unlikely.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Not at this time.  A few storm could produce locally heavy rain Monday and Monday night.  The risk of flash flooding appears low.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  No.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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August 29th, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time, but more likely after 11 AM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 86° to 88°  /  SE MO 84° to 88° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° /  South IL 84° to 88°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88°  /  West KY 84° to 88° /  NW TN 86° to 88°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning. Locally heavy downpours.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:24 AM
Sunset:  7:28 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72°  /  SE MO 66° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 70° /  South IL 66° to 70°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 66° to 70°  /  West KY 66° to 70° /  NW TN 68° to 72°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
Moonrise: 8:31 AM
Moonset:  8:56 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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Tuesday, August 30th, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.  A chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  SE MO 84° to 88° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° /  South IL 84° to 88°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88°  /  West KY 84° to 88° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest becoming west northwest 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the Beau Dodson Weather Radars
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:24 AM
Sunset:  7:27 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Decreasing clouds.  A slight chance of an evening shower or thunderstorm.  Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated (ending)
Timing of the rain: Before 9 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: Becoming north northeast at 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Early evening wet roadways and lightning (isolated).
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 9:33 AM
Moonset:  9:21 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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Wednesday, August 31st, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  SE MO 84° to 88° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° /  South IL 84° to 88°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88°  /  West KY 84° to 88° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:  North northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:25 AM
Sunset:  7:25 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Patchy fog.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: North 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 11:39 AM
Moonset:  9:46 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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Thursday, September 1st, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 85° to 90°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  South IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 85° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:26 AM
Sunset:  7:24 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
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Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 11:44 AM
Moonset:  10:19 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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Friday, September 2, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  A few afternoon clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 85° to 90°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  South IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 85° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7. High.
Sunrise: 6:27 AM
Sunset:  7:22 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 12:54 PM
Moonset:  10:55 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Crescent

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Saturday, September 3, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Partly sunny. A slight chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: After 11 AM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 85° to 90°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  South IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the:  East 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:28 AM
Sunset:  7:21 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 58° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 2:05 PM
Moonset:  11:40 PM
The phase of the moon:  First Quarter

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Sunday, September 4, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Low confidence
Sunday Forecast:  Partly sunny. A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: After 11 AM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 85° to 90°  /  SE MO 85° to 90° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 85° to 90° /  South IL 85° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 85° to 90°  /  West KY 85° to 90° /  NW TN 85° to 90°
Winds will be from the:  East 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 86° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
UV Index: 9. Very high.
Sunrise: 6:29 AM
Sunset:  7:19 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of a widely scattered shower or thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Mainly before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 65°  /  SE MO 62° to 65° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 65° /  South IL 62° to 65°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 65°  /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 3:15 PM
Moonset:  :
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **

Click the tab below.


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through September 5th:   Organized severe weather is unlikely.  An isolated report or two of strong wind gusts will be possible with the most intense thunderstorms.  Mainly today and Monday.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.  Warm and humid today and tomorrow.
    2.  Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms today into Tuesday.  A few intense storms possible. Locally heavy rain.
    3.  Less humid conditions Tuesday night into the weekend.

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Weather advice:

Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather radars.

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Weather Discussion

Welcome to the last Monday of August!  September is right around the corner.  Meteorological autumn.

An upper level disturbance is pushing through the area today and tonight.  This will be accompanied by a cold front tonight.

As of this writing, at 8 AM, there were only one or two thunderstorms on weather radar.  Those were near the Mt Vernon, Illinois area.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop today.   A few of the storms could produce heavy rain, frequent lightning, and perhaps an isolated report or two of wind damage.  There is a level one risk of severe weather.  The lowest level.

The primary concern will be 60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.  There could be a severe thunderstorm warning issues in the area today.  Again, widespread severe weather is not anticipated.  Perhaps a few reports.

There will be plenty of moisture today.  PWAT values (a measure of moisture in the atmosphere) will be 150% to 175% of their normal values.

That spells locally heavy downpours.

Here i the PWAT values animation from the NAM 3K model.  Look at all the moisture pooling ahead of the cold front.  Then, watch the drier air arrive behind the front.

Rain totals will vary.  Some locations will receive no measurable rainfall.  Others will receive more than 1.00″.  Thunderstorms that train over the same area can always produce heavier amounts of rain.

We need rain here in Massac County and many other counties, as well.  I have only received around an inch since August 1st.  That came after my 11.5″ in June and July.  Feast or famine weather.  That is what I call it.  One extreme to the next.

A few showers and thunderstorms will linger into Tuesday.  Overall, the coverage will be decreasing.

By Tuesday night, rain chances will have likely come to an end.

Somewhat cooler and less humid air will arrive Tuesday night into the upcoming weekend.  Temperatures will still be warm.  It just won’t “feel” as hot as recent days.  Lower dew points.  Dew point is what controls how humid it feels outside.

I did have to raise temperatures several degrees Thursday into Sunday.  With that said, it should not be as muggy.  Even though it will be quite warm.  Can’t seem to shake the warm temps.

I will monitor Saturday and Sunday for an isolated thunderstorm.  For now, confidence in that happening is low.

Just a few more days until meteorological autumn begins!  Meteorologists are a bit strange.  We measure seasons a bit differently.  We consider September, October, and November to be autumn.

As a reminder, we typically see an uptick in tornado activity from mid-October through the end of November.  Some of our deadlier outbreaks have occurred during the autumn and winter months.

Make sure you have the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app downloaded on your phone.  Make sure your subscription is up to date.

You can check your subscription by going to www.weathertalk.com 

These are the different product screens in the app.

Let’s keep that in the back of our mind.  The weather will become increasingly active as we push deeper into the autumn months.



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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

Morning long-range update (usually updated after 10:30 AM). 

Double click on images to enlarge them.

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Early AM Energy Report. 

This graphic is usually updated between 7 am and 9 am

The highlighted precipitation area on some of the charts is considered the corn belt.

Double click this image to make it larger.

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers August 29th through September 5th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are typically updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 89 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.10″
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This outlook covers September 6th through September 12th

Click on the image to expand it

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  90 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers September 9th through September 22nd


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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

 

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Autumn Forecast

Temperatures

Precipitation

 

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These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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