Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

I am going to start going live during events.

I have a live stream running now (I am learning how to use the software).

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it is a free subscribe button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

May 26th through June 1st

Current risk: Currently, we do not have a tornado risk.

Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.

Comment:  At this time, I do not have tornadoes in the forecast.

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  YES.  Lightning is possible today into Tuesday night.  A low chance on Thursday and Friday.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  NO.   Not at this time.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? LOW RISK.   There is a low risk over portions of southeast Missouri.  Mainly the Ozarks into the Missouri Bootheel.  

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.   

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees?  NO.   

6. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? NO.    

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Forecast discussion.    

•   Cool again today.  Rain will overspread the region from the southwest.
•   A chance of showers and storms will linger into Tuesday.
•   A low-end chance of a few showers Wednedsay, Thursday, and Friday.
•   Quite a bit warmer on Saturday and Sunday.  The eighties should return.
•   For now, I kept Saturday and Sunday dry.

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Good day, everyone

I hope you are having a nice weekend.  Yes, it has not been the best weather.  One of the cooler Memorial Day weekends in over 20 years!

We can’t seem to catch a break when it comes to nice weekends.  The year has been made up of stormy, damp, and cool weekends.

Showers and thunderstorms will overspread the region from Arkansas later this morning and afternoon.  See the future-cast radars below.

It will take some time to reach portions of the region.  Thus, much of today may remain dry across portions of southeast Illinois and portions of western Kentucky.

The faster west-southwest you travel, the greater the odds of rain moving into your area.

By late afternoon, the entire region should be experiencing showers and a few embedded thunderstorms.

The good news is that we do not anticipate severe weather.  Let’s count that as a blessing.  It has been a rough year.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue on/off into tonight and tomorrow.

I know farmers would like a dry spell.  I am watching next week for that.

A slow warming trend will develop by Thursday and Friday.  Temperatures should pop back into the 80s by Saturday and Sunday.  Finally.

The 6 to 10 day outlook, which takes us into next week, is for below-average precipitation and above-average temperatures.  Perhaps we will finally have a break from the wet weather.

Let’s look at the rain probabilities.  This graphic might be a bit low across portions of Illinois/Kentucky.  We will have to see just how fast the rain moves into these areas.

Today’s rain probabilities

Let’s look at the expected rainfall totals through Tuesday night.

Nothing too crazy.

Double-click on the image to enlarge it.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model.

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Here is the NAM 3K model

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Here is the GFS model

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 80 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 81 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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