Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

May 24, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Tuesday to Tuesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  Tuesday through Thursday.  Peak chances will be Tuesday night into Wednesday night.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Monitor.  A few storms could be severe Wednesday afternoon and evening.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Yes.  Thunderstorms this time of the year can produce torrential downpours.   Pockets of flash flooding can’t be ruled out.  Avoid flooded roadways.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  No.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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May 24, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Tuesday Forecast:   Intervals of clouds.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms (mainly during the PM hours).
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:  Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Mostly during the afternoon hours
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 82°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 78° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 78° to 82°  /  West KY 78° to 82° /  NW TN 80° to 82°
Winds will be from the: East southeast 7 to 14 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 82°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Check updates and radars.
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 5:40 AM
Sunset:  8:05 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:   Mostly cloudy.  Showers and thunderstorms likely. Locally heavy rain.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 90% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 70%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% /  the rest of South IL ~ 70%  /  West KY ~ 70%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68°  /  SE MO 64° to 66° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  South IL 64° to 66°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 64° to 66°  /  West KY 64° to 66° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  Southeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning. Locally heavy rain.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.  Check updates and radars.
Moonrise: 2:50 AM
Moonset:  2:35 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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May 25, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:   Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain.  A few storms could be severe during the afternoon and evening hours.  The primary concern would be damaging wind and hail.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 80% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 80%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% /  the rest of South IL ~ 80%  /  West KY ~ 80%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80%  /  NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 78° to 82°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 78° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 76° to 80°  /  West KY 78° to 82° /  NW TN 78° to 82°
Winds will be from the:  South 10 to 20 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 82°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning. Locally heavy rain.  Gusty winds near storms.  Small hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.  Check updates and radars.
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset:  8:06 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Locally heavy rain.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 80% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 80%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% /  the rest of South IL ~ 80%  /  West KY ~ 80%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80%  /  NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 62°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 65°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Winds will be from the:  South 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 65°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning. Locally heavy rain.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.  Check updates and radars.
Moonrise: 3:15 AM
Moonset:  3:37 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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May 26, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast:   Intervals of clouds.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  West southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Check updates and radars.
UV Index: 8.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset:  8:06 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy.  A chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56°  /  SE MO 52° to 54° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 52° to 54° /  South IL 52° to 54°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 54°  /  West KY 52° to 54° /  NW TN 53° to 56°
Winds will be from the: West southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 56°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 3:40 AM
Moonset:  4:38 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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May 27, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Before 2 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76°  /  SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 75°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75°  /  West KY 72° to 75° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the:  West 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset:  8:07 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 54° to 58°  /  SE MO 54° to 58° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 58° /  South IL 54° to 58°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58°  /  West KY 54° to 58° /  NW TN 54° to 58°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 54° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 4:05 AM
Moonset:  5:39 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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May 28, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  SE MO 82° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY 82° to 84° /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Winds will be from the:   South 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset:  8:08 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 4:31 AM
Moonset:  6:41 PM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Crescent

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May 29, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Warm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 86° to 88°  /  SE MO 84° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 86° /  South IL 84° to 88°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88°  /  West KY 84° to 88° /  NW TN 86° to 88°
Winds will be from the:   South 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 85° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:08 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68°  /  SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 64° to 68° /  South IL 64° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 64° to 68°  /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 5:01 AM
Moonset:  7:41 PM
The phase of the moon:  New

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May 30, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast: Mostly  sunny. Hot.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 86° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 86° to 92° /  South IL 86° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 92°  /  West KY 86° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:   South 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 95°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:09 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 70°  /  SE MO 66° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 68° /  South IL 66° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 68°  /  West KY 66° to 68° /  NW TN 66° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 5:34 AM
Moonset:  8:42 PM
The phase of the moon:  New

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May 31, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly  sunny. Hot.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 86° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 86° to 92° /  South IL 86° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 92°  /  West KY 86° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:   South 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 95°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:09 PM
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Tuesday  night Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 70°  /  SE MO 66° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 66° to 68° /  South IL 66° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 68°  /  West KY 66° to 68° /  NW TN 66° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 5:34 AM
Moonset:  8:42 PM
The phase of the moon:

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through May 26th:   Some storms could be intense Wednesday.  At this time, the overall severe weather risk appears low, but not zero.  The primary concern would be damaging wind gusts and hail.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   A few scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.
    2.   Widespread thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday night.  Locally heavy rain likely.
    3.   A few remaining showers and thunderstorms Thursday.
    4.   A slight chance of showers Friday.
    5.   Dry Friday night through Monday.  Warming trend.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

We have a fairly active week of weather ahead of us.

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Tuesday into Thursday

We will have a mix of sun and clouds today.   Clouds will be on the increase as we move towards the afternoon and evening hours.

You can see rain well off to our west.  That is one of the systems that we will be watching over the next 12 to 24 hours.

8 AM radar and temperatures

A few showers and thunderstorms will push northward into southeast Missouri, northwest Tennessee, and western Kentucky as we move into the afternoon and evening hours, as well.

Several upper level disturbances and fronts will interact with warm and moist air to deliver widespread showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday night.

There will be plenty of Gulf of Mexico moisture to work with.   PWAT values (a measure of moisture in the entire atmosphere) will be quite high.  That will mean locally heavy downpours.

PWAT values Tuesday night into Wednesday.  Those purple colors represent plenty of moisture for thunderstorms to tap into.

Avoid flooded roadways (if they develop)

The WPC/NOAA have placed our region in a low-end risk of excessive rainfall/flash flooding tonight.  The green is a level one risk.

Tonight’s risk is primarily across southeast Missouri and western Tennessee.

The risk spreads eastward Wednesday into Wednesday night.  There is a level three risk across portions of the area (red).

The red zone experienced higher rain totals this past weekend, thus the higher level for them.

Then, a level one risk Thursday, as well.  The system should be on exiting our region Thursday.  A few downpours could remain in the region.  Especially true if thunderstorms develop.

Between now and Thursday night, the region can expect a widespread 0.8 to 1.6″ of rain.  Then, there will be pockets of much higher totals where thunderstorms train over the same area.

I would not be a bit surprised if someone picks up more than three inches of rain over the next 72 hours.

Training showers and thunderstorms (repeatedly moving over the same location) can easily double rain totals in a few short hours.  This is when the flash flooding risk would be higher.

I do expect some counties to have training.  It is difficult to predict exactly what counties.  We can forecast the overall pattern potential.

A few of the thunderstorms could be intense, as well.  The greatest risk of a few severe thunderstorms will be Wednesday afternoon and evening.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlined our region in a level one risk.  The light green is where general sub-severe storms are possible.  The darker green is where a few storms could be severe with damaging wind and hail.  The tornado risk is low.

As it usually the case, during the late spring and early summer months, lightning will be a concern for outdoor activities.

I have been wrestling with Friday’s forecast.  To leave in a few showers and thunderstorms or remove them entirely.  For now, I have a low-end chance.  For the most part, the system will be over by then.

Dry weather Friday night through Monday.

A decent holiday weekend.  We will have a warming trend through the weekend.  Highs by Monday may hit 90 degrees!

Nice camping weather, overall.

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers May 24th through May 30th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers May 31st through June 6th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  85 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers June 7th through June 20th

Precipitation outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

SPRING OUTLOOK

Temperatures

Precipitation.

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Monthly Outlooks

May Temperature outlook

May Precipitations Outlook

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SUMMER OUTLOOK

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

 

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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