Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

May 11, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Wednesday to Wednesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  A slight chance of lightning Wednesday and Wednesday evening.  Another chance Friday into Sunday.  Peak chances will be Saturday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Monitor.  There is a small chance of storms Wednesday.  If a storm were to form, then it would be intense.  Overall, the risk is low.  I will keep an eye on Friday night into Saturday.  At this time, confidence in severe weather occurring is low.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  No.   

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Unlikely.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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May 11, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Wednesday Forecast:   Partly  sunny.  Hot and muggy.  A slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 92°  /  SE MO 90° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 9o°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 92°  /  West KY 90° to 92° /  NW TN 90° to 92°
Winds will be from the: South 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 94° to 98°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? An isolated wet roadway and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:50 AM
Sunset:  7:54 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Mild.  A slight chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 72° /  SE MO 68° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 68° to 70° /  South IL 68° to 72° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 70° /  West KY 68° to 72° /  NW TN 70° to 72°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? An isolated wet roadway and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:03 PM
Moonset:  3:29 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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May 12, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Thursday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.   Hot and muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 5% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 5%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 5% /  the rest of South IL ~ 5%  /  West KY ~ 5%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 5%  /  NW TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 90°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 90°  /  West KY 88° to 90° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the: South 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 93° to 96°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:49 AM
Sunset:  7:55 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64° /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64° /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:09 PM
Moonset:  3:55 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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May 13, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Friday Forecast:   Partly sunny.  Warm.  A slight chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain:  During the afternoon.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  SE MO 83° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 85° /  South IL 82° to 85°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 84° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the: Southeast 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 85° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadway.  Isolated lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:48 AM
Sunset:  7:56 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66° /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 64° /  South IL 62° to 64° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 64° /  West KY 62° to 64° /  NW TN 63° to 66°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 5:17 PM
Moonset:  4:22 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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May 14, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Saturday Forecast:   Partly sunny.  Warm.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 85°  /  SE MO 80° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 84° /  South IL 80° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 85°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 85°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check updates and radars.
UV Index: 8.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:47 AM
Sunset:  7:56 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.   A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64° /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64° /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the: West 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars.
Moonrise: 6:29 PM
Moonset:  4:50 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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May 15, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast:   Partly sunny.  Warm.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:46 AM
Sunset:  7:57 PM
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Sunday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 60° /  SE MO 54° to 56° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 56° /  South IL 54° to 56° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56° /  West KY 54° to 56° /  NW TN 54° to 56°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 54° to 56°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 7:43 PM
Moonset:  5:22 AM
The phase of the moon:  Full

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May 16, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium  confidence
Monday Forecast:   Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the: West 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:45 AM
Sunset:  7:58 PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: After 10 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 60° /  SE MO 54° to 58° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 58° /  South IL 54° to 58° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56° /  West KY 54° to 58° /  NW TN 54° to 58°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 54° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:01 PM
Moonset:  6:00 AM
The phase of the moon:  Full

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May 17, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  LOW confidence
Tuesday Forecast:   Partly sunny.  A chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 80° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 82° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 80° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars.
UV Index: 9.  Very high.
Sunrise: 5:45 AM
Sunset:  7:59 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: After 10 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 58° to 60° /  SE MO 54° to 58° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 58° /  South IL 54° to 58° /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56° /  West KY 54° to 58° /  NW TN 54° to 58°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 54° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars.
Moonrise: 10:17 PM
Moonset:  6:46 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waning Gibbous

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


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Today through May 20th:  The overall risk of severe weather is low.  If a thunderstorm forms Wednesday, then it could be intense.  I will be watching Friday night into Saturday, as well.  Scattered thunderstorms are likely.

I will be watching next Tuesday onward.  Several thunderstorm complexes may develop.  If this happens, then severe weather will be a possibility.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Warm and humid.
    2.   Isolated thunderstorm today.
    3.   Scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday into the weekend.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Our warm weather will continue today with widespread upper 80s to lower 90s.

Today’s heat index values will range from 94 to 98 degrees.

We do have a weak amount of lift in the atmosphere today.  That could trigger an isolated shower or thunderstorm.  Don’t expect much, but perhaps someone will end up with a brief shower and lightning.  The vast majority of the region will remain dry.

It may appear hazy, at times.  There is some smoke in the atmosphere from wild fires.

Some maps.

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Expect dry conditions tonight into Thursday night.  Rain chances will be less than ten-percent.  No weather concerns.  It will remain warm.

Humidity levels (dew points) will drop a bit tomorrow (for some counties).  That will make it feel a bit more comfortable over at least the eastern half of the region.  Portions of southeast Missouri, southwest Illinois, extreme western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee may remain in the 70s (dew points).

Dew point is a measure of moisture in the atmosphere.  Dew points in the 70s are muggy/summer air.

Today’s dew points (widespread 70s).  Air you wear.

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Tomorrow.  Notice how the eastern half of the region has lower dew points tomorrow?  That is a push of drier air approaching from the east and working its way eastward.

Lower dew points would feel nicer.

Our next chance of showers and thunderstorms will arrive Friday into the weekend.  Peak shower and thunderstorm chances will arrive Saturday and Saturday night.  Lower chances Friday, Friday night, and Sunday.

Any storms that form could produce a downpour and lightning.  It appears the severe weather risk will be low.  It may not be zero, so monitor updates moving forward.

It will be cooler by the weekend, as well.  See the high temperature maps below.  You can see a decent cooling trend by Saturday and Sunday.

 

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

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Model guidance indicates the potential of a thunderstorm complex moving into the region from the northwest next Tuesday.  We still have several days to monitor that portion of the forecast.

We call these thunderstorm complexes MCS’s.  Mesoscale Convective Systems.  These are complexes of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms, and normally persists for several hours or more.

They can produce heavy rain and even severe weather.  Typically, they occur during the summer months.  Often times they approach our region from the west/northwest.  Moving east/southeast.

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

High resolution models are not showing precipitation through Friday.  With that said, there could be some isolated thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday evening.  Models just aren’t picking up on it.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

High resolution models are not showing precipitation through Friday.  With that said, there could be some isolated thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday evening.  Models just aren’t picking up on it.

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

High resolution models are not showing precipitation through Friday.  With that said, there could be some isolated thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday evening.  Models just aren’t picking up on it.

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

High resolution models are not showing precipitation through Friday.  With that said, there could be some isolated thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday evening.  Models just aren’t picking up on it.

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

High resolution models are not showing precipitation through Friday.  With that said, there could be some isolated thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday evening.  Models just aren’t picking up on it.

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on images to enlarge them

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Double click on images to enlarge them

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 74 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 55 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers May 11th through May 17th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 76 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 58 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers May 18th through May  24th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  83 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 62 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers May 24th through June 6th

Precipitation outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

SPRING OUTLOOK

Temperatures

Precipitation.

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Monthly Outlooks

May Temperature outlook

May Precipitations Outlook

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SUMMER OUTLOOK

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

 

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
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If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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