Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

March 7. 2025: A few showers today and tonight. Warmer next week.

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Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

March 7th through March 13th.

RISK LEVEL:  MONITOR.

 Confidence: LOW.

Comment: I am watching a system around the 13th and another one around the 15th.  It is too soon to know if severe weather will be a concern.  Monitor updates.

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  POSSIBLE.  I am monitoring next Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday/Saturday.

2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  MONITOR.  I am monitoring next Wednesday and Thursday. I am watching another system next Friday and Saturday.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.  

5. Will temperatures drop below 10 degrees?  NO.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 0 degrees?  NO.  

7.  Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast?  NO.   

8.  Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO.

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Forecast discussion.    

  •   A few light showers in the region today and tomorrow.  A mix of sun and clouds today and tomorrow.
  •   Warmer next week.
  •   Monitoring the chance of showers and thunderstorms next Wednesday and Thursday.
  •   I’m watching a bigger system around the 15th.

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Good morning, everyone!

A week cold front will push into the region today with clouds and isolated showers.  Gusty winds, at times.

Peak rain chances will be across southern Illinois and northwest Kentucky.  Rainfall totals of 0.00″ to 0.10″ are anticipated.  Many areas may remain dry.

The official rainfall forecast shows very little.

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This front does not have a lot of moisture to work with.

A few showers are possible along the MO/AR and KY/TN border on Saturday, as well.  Anything that does fall will be light.  I have low-end rain chances.  A mix of sun and clouds today into tomorrow.

A slow warming trend begins on Sunday, which will take us into next week.

As a matter of fact, a few 70s are possible as early as Tuesday!  A few showers by Wednesday.

Monday high temperatures

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Tuesday highs
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Wednesday
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Thursday
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I am watching a heightened fire danger early next week.  Low humidity combined with gusty winds could cause problems.
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.I am watching another system next Wednesday and Thursday.  Another one next weekend (around the 15th). The one next Wednesday may pass just to our south.  There remain questions on the track.The Wednesday/Thursday low-pressure center could pass just to our south.  Severe weather will not be a concern if the low tracks to our south.

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The one on the 15th/16th looks like another windbag with gusty winds and rapidly falling and rising barometric pressure.

The one around the 15th will have a deep area of low pressure.  The low will pass to our north, placing us in the warm sector.  We will need to monitor the risk of storms.  It’s too soon to know if severe weather is a concern.

If it occludes too fast, the severe weather threat will be minimal.  Similar to the system we just experienced (with the gust winds).

Occluded fronts usually indicate that the parent weather system has reached its mature stage and is decaying (decreasing in intensity).

Those black lines are isobars.  Isobars are equal lines of Barometric pressure.  When they are tightly packed together, then gust winds are usually the result.

I will be monitoring it.

Stay tuned.

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Here is the Hrrr future-cast radar.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.
Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar


If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 51 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 31degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways!  Now, I have another product for you and your family.

** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
.
We have a new service to compliment your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
.
I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.
.
WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.
Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
.
.
More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?

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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

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.

Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.   Click here.

College of DuPage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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