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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.
THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.
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48-hour forecast
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Saturday to Saturday
1. Is lightning in the forecast? Yes. Saturday night into Monday.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? Monitor. A few storms could become severe Sunday night and Monday morning. The primary concern will be damaging wind gusts. There is a low-end tornado risk. This is a conditional risk. That means that some of the ingredients may not come together for severe weather. The best advice is to monitor updates.
The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? Possible. Locally heavy rain is likely Saturday night into Monday. A widespread one to two of inches of rain is likely with this system. Locally higher totals are likely. If thunderstorms train over the same areas then some locations could easily exceed three inches of rain. Avoid flooded roadways.
4. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.
5. Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast? Possible. I am watching Friday. A strong cold front will usher in much colder air Friday into the weekend. Rain and snow may accompany the front. It is still too early to know if the snow will accumulate.
6. Will the heat index top 100 degrees? No.
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March 5, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Partly sunny. Mild. Windy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 10% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Afternoon
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 74° to 76° / SE MO 72° to 75° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° / South IL 73° to 76° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 72° to 75° / West KY 74° to 78° / NW TN 74° to 78°
Winds will be from the: South 10 to 25 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 75°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:20 AM
Sunset: 5:53 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 80% / the rest of SE MO ~ 80% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 80% / the rest of South IL ~ 80% / West KY ~ 80% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 80% / NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time. Increasing coverage overnight.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 56° to 60° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 56° to 60° / South IL 56° to 60° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 60° / West KY 58° to 62° / NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South southeast 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 54° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
Moonrise: 8:06 AM
Moonset: 9:10 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 6, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% / the rest of SE MO ~ 60% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 50% / the rest of South IL ~ 60% / West KY ~ 70% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70% / NW TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous over the southern half of the region. Scattered over our northern counties.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 75° / SE MO 64° to 70° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 64° to 68° / South IL 66° to 70° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 70° to 74° / West KY 70° to 74° / NW TN 72° to 75°
Winds will be from the: Southwest 8 to 16 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:19 AM
Sunset: 5:54 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain. A few storms could be severe. The severe weather risk if higher across far southeast Missouri, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 100% / the rest of SE MO ~ 100% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 90% / the rest of South IL ~ 100% / West KY ~ 90% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 100% / NW TN ~ 100%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 54° / SE MO 42° to 45° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 42° to 45° / South IL 44° to 48° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 48° / West KY 46° to 52° / NW TN 52° to 54°
Winds will be from the: Southerly 10 to 25 mph. Gusty. Winds may become westerly over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois as the cold front moves through the area Sunday night.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 38° to 48°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. A few storms could be severe. Locally heavy rain.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Moonrise: 8:32 AM
Moonset: 10:12 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 7, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Monday Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. A few of the morning thunderstorms could be intense.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% / the rest of SE MO ~ 70% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% / the rest of South IL ~ 70% / West KY ~ 70% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70% / NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66° / SE MO 48° to 54° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 48° to 52° / South IL 53° to 56° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 55° / West KY 54° to 58° / NW TN 63° to 66°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 45° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:18 AM
Sunset: 5:55 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy a slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending
Timing of the rain: Before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 33° to 36° / SE MO 28° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 28° to 32° / South IL 30° to 35° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 36° / West KY 34° to 36° / NW TN 35° to 40°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 8 to 16 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None for most.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:00 AM
Moonset: 11:14 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 8, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Decreasing clouds. Cooler.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 48° to 52° / SE MO 46° to 50° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 44° to 48° / South IL 46° to 50° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 46° to 50° / West KY 48° to 52° / NW TN 48° to 52°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 40° to 48°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:16 AM
Sunset: 5:56 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Increasing clouds. More clouds over the southern half of the region vs north. A slight chance of a shower over our southern counties.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 5% / the rest of South IL ~ 10% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 33° to 36° / SE MO 28° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 28° to 32° / South IL 30° to 35° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 36° / West KY 33° to 36° / NW TN 38° to 42°
Winds will be from the: North northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 35°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None for most.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:30 AM
Moonset:
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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March 9, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Intervals of clouds. A shower is possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% / the rest of SE MO ~ 30% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 30% / West KY ~ 30% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 53° to 56° / SE MO 52° to 55° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 52° to 55° / South IL 52° to 55° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 55° / West KY 53° to 56° / NW TN 54° to 56°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 54°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:15 AM
Sunset: 5:57 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of evening showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% / the rest of SE MO ~ 10% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Before midnight.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 36° / SE MO 32° to 34° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 30° to 34° / South IL 32° to 35° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 33° to 36° / West KY 34° to 36° / NW TN 36° to 40°
Winds will be from the: North northeast 4 to 8 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 34°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:05 AM
Moonset: 12:14 AM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter
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March 10, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast: Partly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% / the rest of SE MO ~ 0% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% / the rest of South IL ~ 0% / West KY ~ 0% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0% / NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64° / SE MO 54° to 58° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 54° to 58° / South IL 54° to 58° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56° / West KY 55° to 60° / NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the: East southeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 50° to 60°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:13 AM
Sunset: 5:58 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Increasing clouds. A chance of a late night shower.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 40° to 42° / SE MO 32° to 36° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 30° to 32° / South IL 33° to 36° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 33° to 36° / West KY 38° to 40° / NW TN 40° to 44°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 38°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:45 AM
Moonset: 1:13 AM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter
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March 11, 2021
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify? Medium confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Turning sharply colder. Windy. A chance of rain or rain/snow showers. Temperatures will fall as the front sweeps eastward across the region. Some locations will have their high temperatures early in the day.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% / the rest of SE MO ~ 40% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% / the rest of South IL ~ 40% / West KY ~ 40% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40% / NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 48° to 52° / SE MO 44° to 46° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 44° to 46° / South IL 48° to 54° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 52° to 54° / West KY 52° to 55° / NW TN 50° to 55°
Winds will be from the: Northwest 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 25° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
UV Index: 3. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:12 AM
Sunset: 5:59 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Some evening clouds. Clearing overnight. Cold. A chance of flurries early.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% / the rest of SE MO ~ 20% / I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% / the rest of South IL ~ 20% / West KY ~ 20% / NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20% / NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 23° to 26° / SE MO 20° to 25° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 20° to 25° / South IL 22° to 25° / Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 22° to 25° / West KY 23° to 26° / NW TN 24° to 28°
Winds will be from the: South 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 15° to 25°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Monitor updates.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 11:31 AM
Moonset: 2:09 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous
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Today through March 5th: Monitor updates. A few storms could be severe Sunday afternoon into Monday. The primary concern will likely be Sunday night into Monday morning.
A few storms could produce quarter size hail, 60 mph wind gusts, and even a short-lived tornado.
Here is the current Sunday and Sunday night outlook.
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
And then the Monday outlook. It appears the risk is higher Monday morning vs later in the day. That will partly depend on the exact timing of the front passage. I will monitor trends. If the front pushes eastward fast enough then there won’t be much threat Monday (during the day).
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Today’s outlook (below).
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.
The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.
The black outline is our local area.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.
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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.
24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion
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- Warm and wind today.
- Showers and thunderstorms developing tonight into Monday.
- Locally heavy rain this weekend.
- A few severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday afternoon into Monday morning.
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Weather advice:
Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages. We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner. Thus, we made the app. See links at the bottom of the page.
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Forecast Discussion
A beautiful day on tap for the region. Yes, some gusty winds, but temperatures will be in the 70s. We can handle that! I hope you can get out and enjoy the day.
The weather takes a turn tonight and tomorrow.
A cold front will push into the area tonight. This front will stall out over the area Sunday. It will become stationary. Several ripples of low pressure will push northeast along the front. Each of these disturbances will increase rain coverage.
See the future-cast radars further down in the blog.
It is possible that much of Sunday is dry across portions of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Rain chances will be higher across the Missouri Bootheel, far southeast Missouri, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
Either way, take your umbrella in case you have to deal with a shower or thunderstorm.
The severe weather risk is not zero Sunday afternoon, but I do believe the risk is higher as we move through Sunday night and Monday morning.
This is the time-period that an area of low pressure will push across the region from southwest to northeast.
This low will help surge higher dew-points into the region. It will also increase wind fields. Both are ingredients for severe weather.
You can see those dew-points surge northward in this animation. This is Sunday afternoon and night.
Dew-points are a measure of moisture. I generally look for upper 50s to 60s when considering a risk of severe thunderstorms.
Notice dew-points are lower further north. That is north of the warm front.
These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Notice the 850 mb (higher up in the atmosphere) wind fields increase Sunday night. This is the low level jet that can help fuel storms.
These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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There are questions about whether or not there will be enough instability for severe thunderstorms. This is one portion of the forecast that I will be monitoring. CAPE. CAPE is basically energy for thunderstorms to tap into. Without CAPE there won’t be severe thunderstorms.
CAPE appears to be marginal for this event. If we end up with a bit more CAPE then the risk will be a tad higher.
The best dynamics appear to come together across far southeast Missouri, the Missouri Bootheel, far southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee. The risk is a bit higher in those areas vs areas further to the north. Either way, we should all monitor updates. I will send out app messages if severe weather develops.
Locally heavy rain will likely occur with this event.
I am expecting a widespread 1.o to 2.0″ of rain. Locally higher totals are likely. Avoid flooded roadways.
The WPC/NOAA has placed our region in a risk of excessive rainfall. That means flooding will be a concern. We don’t expect widespread flooding, but there could be a few spots with problems.
Here is the WPC/NOAA excessive rainfall outlook. This is for Sunday/Sunday night.
They also have our area outlooked for Monday morning, as well. Mainly Kentucky and Tennessee.
The WPC/NOAA rainfall totals forecast. A widespread one to two inches of rain. Locally higher.
Obviously, this won’t help the ongoing river flooding issues. River flooding may be an issue for a while.
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Let’s look at the ensembles. GFS and EC models.
GFS ensemble mean through next Tuesday morning.
EC ensemble mean through next Tuesday morning.
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A few light showers are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday.
I thought about leaving this time-period dry. I did in yesterday’s update. Some of the data brings a few showers further north. I went with low-end rain chances.
The EC and GFS model are both fairly far south with the rain. Either way, rain totals would be light.
GFS model Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.
EC model Tuesday night/Wednesday.
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Much colder by the end of the week into the weekend.
Cold air will sweep into the region Thursday night into Friday night. A few rain or rain/snow showers may accompany this cold front. It is too early to know if the there would be enough snow to accumulate. Monitor updates.
There are some differences in the model guidance with the exact timing of this cold air.
Here is a sample of what the data is showing. This is the GFS model. You are looking at temperatures.
These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Double click the animations to enlarge them.
Notice how the cold front pushes across the region Friday. Some locations may experience their high temperatures early in the day. Then, temperatures will fall behind the front. Gusty winds, as well. This will make it feel colder.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.
I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.
You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
These maps are in Zulu time. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
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This next animation is the GFS American Model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Green is rain. Blue/purple is snow. Red is a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Green is rain. Blue/purple is snow. Red is a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.
This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.
Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.
Time is in Zulu. 12z=6 AM. 18z=12 PM. 00z=6 PM. 06z=12 AM
Green is rain. Blue/purple is snow. Red is a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 34 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.
This outlook covers March 4th through March 10th
Click on the image to expand it.
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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 36 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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This outlook covers March 11th through March 17th
Click on the image to expand it.
The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.
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EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 38 degrees
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.40″ to 2.80″
This outlook covers March 18th to March 31st
Precipitation outlook
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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.
SPRING OUTLOOK
Temperatures
Precipitation.
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Monthly Outlooks
March Temperature Outlook
March Precipitation Outlook
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April Temperature Outlook
April Precipitation Outlook
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May Temperature outlook
May Precipitations Outlook
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SUMMER OUTLOOK
Double click on the images to enlarge them.
June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.
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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal
June Temperature Outlook
June Precipitation Outlook
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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal
July Temperature Outlook
July Precipitation Outlook
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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal
August Temperature Outlook
August Precipitation Outlook
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of Dupage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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