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Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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Seven-Day Tornado Outlook 
March 26th through April 2nd
Current risk: MONITOR. I am monitoring Sunday and Sunday night. Confidence remains low. Several ingredients are coming together for severe storms. However, there are also some missing ingredients. I will know quite a bit more tomorrow.
For now, monitor updated forecasts over the coming days.
Current confidence level: LOW.
Comment: Data continues to point towards a risk of severe weather on Sunday and Sunday night. What we don’t know is the extent/size of this event. That remains a question. I will know more tomorrow.
If you have outdoor plans on Sunday, then monitor the latest forecasts.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. Scattered lightning is possible on Thursday and Thursday night. Lightning is possible on Friday and Friday night. Lightning is likely on Saturday and Sunday.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? POSSIBLE. I am monitoring Saturday night into Sunday night. Perhaps the primary risk will be on Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Monitor updates.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures drop below 10 degrees? NO.
6. Will the wind chill dip below 0 degrees? NO.
7. Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast? NO.
8. Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO.
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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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Forecast discussion.
- Mild temperatures through Sunday. Cool nights. Warm days. Cooler next Monday and Tuesday.
- Scattered showers and storms are likely on Thursday and Thursday night. A couple of those storms could produce nickel-size hail. A small risk of quarter-size hail (mainly in my far northern counties). See the graphics below.
- Avoid burning brush and fields over the coming days. We remain in an enhanced field fire risk.
- Additional showers and thunderstorms are likely this coming weekend. Some storms could be intense. Monitor updated forecasts if you have outdoor plans.
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Good morning, everyone. No significant weather concerns today.
A few passing clouds at times. A small chance of sprinkles in areas with clouds.
We are waking up to cool/chilly temperatures. Some locations are a bit colder than forecast.
You can see where clouds moved in overnight. Those locations are warmer.
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A fast-moving system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region late tonight into Thursday and Thursday night. There is a low-level risk of quarter-size hail in the dark green zone. This would be on Thursday and Thursday night.
Overall, the risk of severe weather is low. The light green is where lightning is possible.
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Let’s look at the rain probabilities.
Tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will push into the region from the northwest.
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Thursday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Chances will be higher over our northern and northeastern counties.
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Thursday night. Once again, the rain chances will be higher north-northeast vs southwest.
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A few showers and thunderstorms are possible on Friday (during the day). Right now, I have chances in the 20% to 40% range.
Chances increase Friday night into Sunday night.
Friday night
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Saturday. If you have outdoor plans, then have a plan B. There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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Saturday night
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Sunday. Monitor updates on Sunday and Sunday night. A few intense storms will be possible.
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Numerous showers and thunderstorms are anticipated with a series of weather systems this weekend.
As mentioned above, questions remain about the threat of severe weather on Saturday and Sunday.
At this time, the Saturday risk appears minimal. I can’t rule out the Storm Prediction Center outlining a marginal (low-level one) risk for southeast Missouri. I will keep an eye on it, as always. Right now, they do not have a risk outlined.
Then, the risk of severe weather may increase on Sunday.
It is still too soon to know how widespread that event will be. Soundings show mixed ideas.
Sounds are like a slice of pie. They allow us to look high up into the atmosphere. We can see wind shear, temperatures, and moisture.
Soundings show some hail potential. Some soundings show other severe weather possibilities, as well.
I will know a lot more tomorrow.
Rainfall totals through Sunday. Thunderstorms can enhance rain totals.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
This is the NAM model. This shows you tonight into Thursday night.
Here is the Saturday and Sunday system. This is the GFS model.
Double click the animation to enlarge it.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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Here is the future-cast radar.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 60 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 38 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 39 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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