Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

March 26, 2021. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Do you have any suggestions or comments?  Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region.  See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars.  Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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Friday to Friday

1.  Will there be accumulating snow and ice in the forecast? No.

2. Is lightning in the forecast?   Yes.  Saturday afternoon and night.

3.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Yes.   We need to watch Saturday afternoon and night.  I will monitor next Tuesday/Wednesday.

* The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater,  1″ hail or larger,  and/or tornadoes

4.  Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Yes.  Locally heavy rain Saturday afternoon and night.  We will need to monitor next week.

6.  Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees above zero?  No.

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March 26, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Friday Forecast:  Morning clouds.  Clearing as the day wears on.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain: N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 65° to 70°    SE MO 62° to 65°    South IL  62° to 65°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°    West KY 64° to 68°    NW TN 64° to 68°
Wind direction and speed: West southwest at 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  6.  High.
Sunrise: 6:50 AM
Sunset: 7:13  PM
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Friday night Forecast:   Mostly clear.  A few passing clouds.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain: N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 45° to 48°     SE  MO  43° to 46°     South IL  43° to 46°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 46°    West KY 44° to 46°     NW TN 48° to 50°
Wind direction and speed:  Southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 48°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise:  4:57 PM
Moonset:  5:56 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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March 27, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Saturday Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Warmer.   A chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 20%    MO Bootheel ~ 30%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10%     South IL ~ 20%    West KY ~ 20%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%     NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Small chances during the morning.  A bit higher chances during the afternoon.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 75° to 78°     SE MO 74° to 78°    South IL  74° to 78°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 73° to 76°    West KY 74° to 78°    NW TN 75° to 78°
Wind direction and speed: South southwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts above 20 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 74° to 78°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Monitor updates concerning intense thunderstorms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
UV Index:  7.  High.
Sunrise: 6:48 AM
Sunset: 7:14  PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Showers and thunderstorms likely.  Locally heavy rain.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 70%    MO Bootheel ~ 70%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60%     South IL ~ 70%    West KY ~ 90%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%     NW TN ~ 90%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous
Timing of the rain:  At any given point in the night.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 48° to 52°     SE  MO  44° to 46°     South IL  44° to 46°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 42° to 45°    West KY 46° to 48°     NW TN 48° to 52°
Wind direction and speed:  West southwest becoming west northwest at 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 44° to 46°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  Heavy rain. A few storms could produce strong wind and hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Have a plan B.
Moonrise:  6:09 PM
Moonset:  6:30 AM
The phase of the moon:  Waxing Gibbous

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March 28, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Some AM clouds.  Clearing.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64°    SE MO 58° to 64°    South IL  58° to 62°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 58° to 62°    West KY 60° to 64°    NW TN 62° to 64°
Wind direction and speed: Northwest and north at 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  7.  High.
Sunrise: 6:47 AM
Sunset: 7:14  PM
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Sunday night Forecast:   Clearing and colder.  Frost is possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain: N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 43° to 46°     SE  MO  34° to 38°     South IL  34° to 38°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 36° to 42°    West KY 40° to 45°     NW TN 43° to 46°
Wind direction and speed:  North northeast at 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 40°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Monitor frost chances
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise:  6:09 PM
Moonset:  6:30 AM
The phase of the moon: Full

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March 29, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Monday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66°    SE MO 63° to 66°    South IL  63° to 66°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°    West KY 64° to 66°    NW TN 64° to 68°
Wind direction and speed: South 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  7.  High.
Sunrise: 6:45 AM
Sunset: 7:15  PM
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Monday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 43° to 46°     SE  MO  42° to 45°     South IL  42° to 45°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 42° to 45°    West KY 43° to 46°     NW TN 43° to 46°
Wind direction and speed: Southeast 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 43° to 46°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise:  8:35 PM
Moonset:  7:32 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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March 29, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 20%    MO Bootheel ~ 20%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20%     South IL ~ 20%    West KY ~ 20%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%     NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given time of the day.  Isolated.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 72°    SE MO 68° to 72°    South IL  68° to 72°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 68° to 72°    West KY 68° to 72°    NW TN 70° to 72°
Wind direction and speed: South 10 to 20 mph. Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
UV Index:  6. High.
Sunrise: 6:44 AM
Sunset: 7:16 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  A chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 40%    MO Bootheel ~ 40%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40%     South IL ~ 40%    West KY ~ 40%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%     NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Any given time of the night. Isolated.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 34° to 38°     SE  MO  34° to 38°     South IL  34° to 38°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 34° to 38°    West KY 34° to 38°     NW TN 34° to 38°
Wind direction and speed: South becoming north 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 34° to 38°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but check radars.
Moonrise:  9:49 PM
Moonset:  8:05 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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March 30, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Wednesday Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  A chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 20%    MO Bootheel ~ 20%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20%     South IL ~ 20%    West KY ~ 20%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%     NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain:  Any given time of the day.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 54°    SE MO 50° to 52°    South IL  50° to 52°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 52°    West KY 50° to 54°    NW TN 50° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: North 8 to 16 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 52°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Isolated wet roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.
UV Index:  4. Moderate.
Sunrise: 6:42 AM
Sunset: 7:17 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Colder. Frost possible.  Freeze possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:  Early
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 30° to 32°     SE  MO  28° to 32°     South IL  28° to 32°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 28° to 32°    West KY 30° to 32°     NW TN 30° to 32°
Wind direction and speed:  North northwest at 7 to 14 mph.  Gusty.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 28° to 32°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Frost
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise:  11:04 PM
Moonset:  8:40 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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March 31, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Thursday Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 52° to 54°    SE MO 50° to 55°    South IL  50° to 55°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 50° to 52°    West KY 52° to 54°    NW TN 52° to 54°
Wind direction and speed: North 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 48° to 54°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 6:41 AM
Sunset: 7:18 PM
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Thursday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Colder.  Frost possible.  Freeze possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 30° to 32°     SE  MO  28° to 32°     South IL  28° to 32°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 30° to 32°    West KY 30° to 32°     NW TN 32° to 34°
Wind direction and speed:  North 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 26° to 32°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Frost or freeze
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise:  :
Moonset:  9:20 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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April 1, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Cool.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 56° to 58°    SE MO 54° to 56°    South IL  54° to 56°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 56°    West KY 54° to 56°    NW TN 54° to 58°
Wind direction and speed:  South southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 55°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 6:39 AM
Sunset: 7:19 PM
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Friday night Forecast:  Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 38° to 42°     SE  MO  38° to 42°     South IL  40° to 42°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 40° to 42°    West KY 40° to 42°     NW TN 40° to 44°
Wind direction and speed:  South 5 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 36° to 42°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 12:18 AM
Moonset:  10:08 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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April 2, 2021
How confident am I that this days forecast will verify High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Partly sunny. Warmer.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66°    SE MO 64° to 66°    South IL  64° to 66°   Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 64° to 66°    West KY 64° to 66°    NW TN 64° to 68°
Wind direction and speed:  South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 63° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7.  High.
Sunrise: 6:38 AM
Sunset: 7:20 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.
What is the chance of precipitation? SE MO ~ 0%    MO Bootheel ~ 0%   I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0%     South IL ~ 0%    West KY ~ 0%    NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%     NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Timing of the rain:  N/A
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 43° to 46°     SE  MO 42° to 45°     South IL  44° to 46°     Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 44° to 46°    West KY 44° to 46°     NW TN 44° to 46°
Wind direction and speed: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 42° to 46°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 1:28 AM
Moonset:  11:01 AM
The phase of the moon: Waning Gibbous

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These graphics are changed out between 9:45 AM and 10:45 AM (Monday through Friday only)

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

 


Graphic-cast

Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Illinois

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.

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Kentucky

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.


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.Tennessee

During active weather check my handwritten forecast towards the top of the page.


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Today through March 28th.  I am watching Saturday afternoon and night.  Some storms could be severe.  Damaging wind and hail will be the primary concern.

What is a severe storm?

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map.  Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC.  Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast.  I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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.Weather advice:

Some storms could be intense Saturday afternoon and night.  The main concern will be damaging wind and hail.  Locally heavy rain, as well.  Avoid flooded roadways.

Make sure your Beau Dodson Weather app is turned on.  Check it.   Remember, a watch means to monitor updates.  A WARNING means to seek shelter immediately.  Storms are incoming and could cause property damage.

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Weather Discussion

    1.   Dry today and tonight.
    2.   Much warmer Saturday.
    3.   Thunderstorm chances increasing Saturday and Saturday night.
    4.   Frost and/or freeze late next week.

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We have no weather concerns today.

A few thunderstorms are possible late tonight over the Missouri Bootheel and northwest Tennessee.  Most of the region will remain dry.

Much warmer Saturday.  It is going to be like spring!  Highs well into the mid to upper 70s.  Some areas may hit 80 degrees.

A warm front will push northward into the region from the Gulf of Mexico late tonight and tomorrow.  This will be the focus of repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms.  Locally heavy rain is a concern.

You can see the surge of moisture moving northward with the warm front in this dew point animation.

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And the precipitable water values will be high, as well.

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Also, a cold front will approach the region (from the northwest) Saturday afternoon and night.  This will help bring lift back into the area.  The end result will be scattered showers and locally heavy thunderstorms.

There will be some CAPE to work with.   Remember, CAPE is basically energy for thunderstorms to tap into.  CAPE values above 1000 are likely.

Saturday evening CAPE map.

Some of the storms could be severe with damaging wind and hail.  Heavy rain could cause some flooding issues, as well.  We will need to watch rain totals.

The thunderstorms along the cold front likely won’t develop until late in the afternoon and evening.

Much of Saturday may remain dry across most of my forecast counties.  Check the radars.

The rain should end by Sunday.

Rain totals of one to two inches will be  possible Saturday and Saturday night.  Locally higher if thunderstorms train over the same areas. 

Let me show you a few rainfall forecast maps.  Keep in mind, rain totals will vary greatly because of thunderstorms.

NAM model

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NAM 3K model

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GFS model

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NOAA/WPC

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For now, the NWS has not issued a flash flood watch.

NOAA/WPC does have us in a low-end risk of excessive rainfall.

The green is a level one risk.  The yellow is a level two risk.

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We have had a few severe weather threats this year, so far.  Some did not produce any severe weather.

We just have to take them one at a time.  Each is unique.  Just because one does not produce, does not mean the next one won’t.

So, let’s keep our eyes on the sky Saturday afternoon and night.

Dry weather Sunday into Monday night/Tuesday morning.

A few showers are possible Tuesday night along a strong cold front.  Much colder air behind it.

It will be turning colder next Wednesday and Thursday night.  Frost/freeze possible.

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1.  The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2.  The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
  3.  The EC European weather model is in Zulu time.

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What am I looking at? 
You are looking at different models.  Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather.  All models are wrong.  Some are more wrong than others.  Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation.  If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region.  It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

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.This animation is the 3K NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region.  It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region.  It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region.  It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region.  It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left.  Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 61 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 40 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.70″ to 1.00″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures.  Red is much above average.  Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures.  Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers  March 26th through April 1st

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 42 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.70″ to 1.00″
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This outlook covers  April  2nd through April 8th

Click on the image to expand it.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.60″ to 2.20″

This outlook covers April 9th through April 22nd

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Precipitation outlook

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LONG RANGE DISCUSSION

Key Points: This was written by the BAMwx team. I don’t edit it.

Spring Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC  equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

March, April, and May Temperature Outlook

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March, April, and May Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC  equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

And the preliminary March outlooks

Temperature departures

Precipitation

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And the preliminary April outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC  equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Temperature departures

Precipitation

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And the preliminary May outlooks

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC  equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Temperature departures

Precipitation

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Summer Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC  equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

June, July, and August Temperature Outlook

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Precipitation Outlook

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC  equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

 

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Great news!  The videos are now found in your Weathertalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers.  Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.

You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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