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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
I will be participating in this year’s Dancing With The Stars in Paducah.
I am looking for donations and sponsorships.
You can buy a table at this link and/or donate (you don’t need to buy a table to donate).
More information at this link. CLICK HERE
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
March 12th through March 18th
Current risk: MONITOR
Current confidence level: Low confidence that there will be tornadoes.
Comments: I am monitoring Sunday’s weather. A few of the thunderstorms could be intense. There remain questions about moisture return.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. A chance of lightning on Sunday/Sunday night.
2. Are organized severe thunderstorms. MONITOR. A few of the thunderstorms on Sunday could be severe. Monitor updates.
..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME. Rainfall on Sunday and Sunday night likely won’t be enough to cause flash flooding.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? POSSIBLE. Gusty winds tonight and tomorrow.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? POSSIBLE. Temperatures on Tuesday morning.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? No.
7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? NO. Light snow is possible on Sunday night. We do not expect that snow to be an inch or more. A few spots could have a dusting on grassy surfaces.
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⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.
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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.
I am monitoring Sunday and Sunday night. A few of the thunderstorms could be intense.
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Here is your bus stop forecast
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Tomorrow morning
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Tomorrow afternoon
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Forecast discussion
- A cool start to the day.
- A decent afternoon.
- Winds will pick up tonight into the weekend. Occasional gusts above 30 mph.
- Thunderstorm chances increase on Sunday and Sunday night.
- Light snow is possible Sunday night and Monday morning.
- Much colder by Sunday night into Tuesday.
- The coldest morning will be Tuesday morning.
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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?
No significant weather concerns today or tonight. We will have gusty gradient winds at times.
Wind gusts could top 30 mph tonight and tomorrow.
Live radar links
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
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These were the 5 am temperatures this morning.
A chilly morning.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video and graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
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Today through Saturday
No major weather concerns today through Saturday night.
We will have gusty winds from time to time. As a matter of fact, winds tonight and tomorrow could reach 30 mph or greater.
These are non-thunderstorm gradient winds.
Gradient winds are caused by rapidly falling or rapidly rising barometric pressure. Many of you have barometers in your house.
No rain or snow through Saturday night.
Otherwise, a warming trend into Saturday.
Here are Saturday’s high temperatures. Not too bad for early March.
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Sunday through Tuesday
A strong cold front will approach the region on Sunday and Sunday night.
This front will usher in much colder air. As a matter of fact, temperatures may drop into the teens in some counties on Sunday night. Brrr.
Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the front.
A few of those thunderstorms could produce hail and wind. There remain questions about how high dew points will rise.
Dew point is a measure of moisture in the atmosphere. Higher dew points are associated with higher chances for intense thunderstorms.
So, confidence in actual severe weather remains questionable. I will know more tomorrow and Saturday.
You can see the lightning forecast from the EC model.
Sunday 1 PM.
Sunday 7 PM.
Monday 1 AM
Monday 7 AM
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The EC would bring the front through the region on Sunday night and Monday morning.
The timing will need to be monitored.
The Storm Prediction Center/NOAA has outlined portions of our region for a risk of severe weather on Sunday and Sunday night.
This is an initial outlook, and adjustments are likely.
The yellow zone represents a level two (slight) risk of severe thunderstorms. The scale ranges from one to five. Five being the highest.
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Here is another graphic from some AI models.
It also shows a signal for a few severe thunderstorms. Monitor updates moving forward.
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Temperatures will fall behind the front on Sunday night and Monday.
The rain may end as flurries or snow showers. Accumulation over an inch is not anticipated. There could be a dusting on grassy surfaces. Mainly over southern Illinois.
These graphics show the % chance of rain for each 12-hour period.
The daytime graphics will run from 7 AM to 7 PM.
The nighttime graphics will run from 7 PM to 7 AM.
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Double-click on the images to enlarge them.
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Rainfall totals through next Wednesday.
This will fall on Sunday and Monday.
Double-click images to enlarge them.
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A hard freeze is likely Monday and Tuesday morning.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)
GFS Model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
EC model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 56 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 37 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.
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