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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
I will be participating in this year’s Dancing With The Stars in Paducah.
I am looking for donations and sponsorships.
You can buy a table at this link and/or donate (you don’t need to buy a table to donate).
More information at this link. CLICK HERE
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
March 11th through March 17th
Current risk: ISOLATED SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES
Current confidence level: Medium confidence that there will be tornadoes.
Comments: A few of the thunderstorms today could be intense with strong winds, hail, and perhaps a tornado or two.
At this time, the overall threat appears limited. A few severe weather warnings are likely. Widespread severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
There will be some spin in the atmosphere. I will need to watch for an isolated quick spin-up of a tornado.
As always, monitor the most up-to-date information on your Beau Dodson Weather App.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. A chance of lightning today and Sunday.
2. Are organized severe thunderstorms. POSSIBLE. A few of the storms could be intense today.
..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? LOCALIZED. Locally heavy rain is likely in some areas. Some localized/isolated issues are possible.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? LOW RISK. A low risk today.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? No.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? No.
7. Is accumulating snow (one inch or more of snow) or ice in the forecast? NO.
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⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.
I am watching today for the threat of strong thunderstorms. Some storms could reach severe levels. Monitor updates.
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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.
I am monitoring today.
Overall, the risk is low at any given location. Not a zero risk. The main concern will be damaging wind and hail. A short-lived tornado or two will be possible.
A few reports are likely.
As always, monitor updates.
Severe Weather Outlook Graphics
This covers my far southern counties.
See the next map for the rest of our region.
Double click to enlarge.
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Today
What does a slight risk mean?
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Here is your bus stop forecast
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Tomorrow morning
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Tomorrow afternoon
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Forecast discussion
- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase today.
- A few thunderstorms will be possible. Some of the storms could be strong with hail and wind. A couple of tornadoes are possible, as well.
- Monitor updates.
- Another chance of showers and thunderstorms on Sunday.
- Colder Sunday night into Monday night.
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What is the primary weather concern today and tonight?
Showers and thunderstorms are the primary concern.
Storms could be intense today. We are in a risk for a few of the thunderstorms to become severe with high wind gusts and hail. A low-end isolated tornado threat.
Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App.
Live radar links
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
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These were the 5 am temperatures this morning.
A mild morning.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video and graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
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Today through Thursday
Today will be mild.
We will have a strong lift in the atmosphere with the cold front. Cold fronts act like bulldozers, pushing the air ahead of them.
More likely will be increasing chances for thunderstorms today. We have already issued a few severe thunderstorm warnings for the north-northwest portions of the region.
These storms could produce locally heavy downpours and lightning.
The atmosphere will become unstable today, with a chance that a few thunderstorms could become severe, with high winds and hail. An isolated tornado risk, as well.
You can see the atmospheric spin in these graphics.
There will be some spin in the atmosphere over portions of this region.
This is for 8 AM
The bright colors are where the atmosphere has a spin. The red colors are peak rotation or spin.
Rotation does not always produce tornadoes, but it is one ingredient.
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This is for 10 AM today.
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Here is the tornado parameter for Wednesday, early evening.
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Here is one of the high-resolution models for this afternoon.
This future-csat radar is for 8 AM today.
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This next graphic is what the model believes the radar will look like at 12 PM today
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This graphic is what radar might look like at 3 PM this afternoon
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This next graphic is what the model believes the radar will look like at 5 PM today
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This graphic is what radar may look like at 8 PM tonight.
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These graphics show the % chance of rain for each 12-hour period.
The daytime graphics will run from 7 AM to 7 PM.
The nighttime graphics will run from 7 PM to 7 AM.
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Double-click on the images to enlarge them.
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As you can see, the peak chances will be today into this evening.
Locally heavy rain will be possible in thunderstorms. Many areas will receive 0.40″ to 0.80″ of rain. Then, pockets of higher totals.
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The rest of the region
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Let me show you the Storm Prediction Center’s (NOAA/NWS) severe weather outlooks.
Wednesday’s severe weather outlook.
The light green is where lightning is possible. The dark green is where a few storms could become severe with damaging wind and hail.
The yellow zone is a level two out of five risk. A slight risk of severe thunderstorms.
Remember, slight does not mean there won’t be severe storms. It means the severe activity is likely to be sporadic.
Southern Counties
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
This model pops most of the storms east northeast of our region (on Thursday PM)
HRRR Model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
RRFSmodel
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange indicates locally heavy rain.
NAM 3K model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below-average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 36 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.
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