Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 6, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  An unsettled week of weather ahead of us.  There is a chance of lightning Sunday night, Monday, Monday night, Tuesday, Tuesday night, Wednesday, Wednesday night, Thursday night, Friday, Friday night, and Saturday.  It won’t rain all of the time.  On and off chances of thunderstorms.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Yes.  A few storms this week could produce damaging wind and perhaps hail.  The risk is a bit higher later this morning into this afternoon/evening.  Again, damaging wind and hail is the primary concern.  An isolated tornado risk.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Possible.  Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will be possible this week.  If we do have repeated rounds of storms then some flooding concerns could develop.  Monitor updates.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  No.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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June 6, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Monday Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds.  Showers and thunderstorms developing.  Some storms could be severe.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 70% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 70%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 70% /  the rest of South IL ~ 70%  /  West KY ~ 70%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 70%  /  NW TN ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 84° /  South IL 80° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 82°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning. Some storms could produce high wind and hail.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B during the late morning hours into the evening hours.
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:14 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Numerous during the evening.  Tapering.
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68°  /  SE MO 62° to 65° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 65° /  South IL 64° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 64° to 68°  /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 5 to 10 mph.  Winds over our northern counties becoming northwest.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning. Some of the evening storms could be intense.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 11:47 AM
Moonset:  1:03 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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June 7, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Shower and thunderstorm activity should be greatest across the southern half of the region.  Decreasing chances further north.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY 84° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 86°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.  Winds over our northern counties will be out of the northwest.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:14 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Moonrise: 12:49 PM
Moonset:  1:30 AM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter

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June 8, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest because west 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
UV Index:  6. High.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:15 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  Shower and thunderstorm activity should be ending.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending
Timing of the rain: Before 8 PM.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°  /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Winds will be from the: West northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 1:52 PM
Moonset:  1:56 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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June 9, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the: Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:15 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: After midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the: Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:56 PM
Moonset:  2:22 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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June 10, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  LOW  confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:16 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the: South southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
Moonrise: 4:05 PM
Moonset:  2:48 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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June 11, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 78° to 82°  /  SE MO 75° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 75° to 80° /  South IL 75° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 75° to 80°  /  West KY 75° to 80° /  NW TN 78° to 82°
Winds will be from the:  North 5 to 10 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 75° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:16 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62°  /  SE MO 56° to 60° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 56° to 60° /  South IL 56° to 60°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 60°  /  West KY 56° to 60° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: North 4 to 8 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:05 PM
Moonset:  2:48 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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June 12, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 78° to 82°  /  SE MO 75° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 75° to 80° /  South IL 75° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 75° to 80°  /  West KY 75° to 80° /  NW TN 78° to 82°
Winds will be from the:  East northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 75° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:16 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62°  /  SE MO 56° to 60° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 56° to 60° /  South IL 56° to 60°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 56° to 60°  /  West KY 56° to 60° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the: East northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:05 PM
Moonset:  2:48 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


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Today through June 12th:   A few of the thunderstorms today could become severe with damaging wind and hail being the primary concern.  The tornado risk is low, but not zero.

There will be a chance of a few storms producing strong and gusty winds through Friday.  Nickel size hail, as well.  An isolated severe risk.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   An unsettled week of weather ahead of us.
    2.   On and off chances of showers and thunderstorms.
    3.   Locally heavy rain possible.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Monday through Saturday

A complicated forecast for the week ahead.  We are going to have multiple waves of showers and thunderstorms push across the region.  It is going to be difficult to time each event.  There will also be questions about exactly where the cold front is placed.  The placement of the cold front is going to impact exactly where showers and thunderstorms occur.

If the front sags further south, then the southern half of the region will have higher precipitation chances.  If the front ends up straight across the middle of our region, then shower and thunderstorm chances will be area-wide.

The front is likely to waver  across the region this week.

You will want to monitor updated forecasts if you have outdoor activities this week.  Changeable forecasts are possible.

The first wave will arrive Monday morning.  You can see it on radar now.

It will be moving in from the west/northwest.  We may have some morning showers and thunderstorms and then redevelopment during the afternoon hours.

A few of the storms could produce damaging wind and large hail.  Lightning will be a concern, of course.

Locally heavy downpours are likely.

PWAT values are a measure of moisture in the entire atmosphere.  You can see a higher surge of PWAT’s pushing into the region today.  This sets the stage for the locally heavy rain.    Those purple colors are high PWAT values.  Even some pink mixed in.  Plenty of moisture for storms to tap into.

You can see the Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather outlook has our region in a risk later today.

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

Precipitation chances will diminish Monday night as the first system pushes off to the east.

A weak cold front will push into the region Tuesday and Tuesday night.  You can expect scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Another wave pushes across the region Wednesday and Wednesday night.  This will bring additional showers and thunderstorms to the region.  At least scattered activity and perhaps numerous.

We should dry out late Wednesday night into Thursday.  This time period should be dry.  That is the current forecast.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible Friday and Friday night.  There are questions about Saturday’s weather.  For now, I left it dry.  Monitor updates.

Again, it is not going to rain all the time.  Expect on and off scattered showers and thunderstorms.  There will be time periods with numerous showers and thunderstorms are radar.  You will want to monitor updated forecast numbers.

Rain totals Monday through Saturday will vary greatly.  Where repeated thunderstorms occur you could easily see one to two inches of rain (perhaps more).  Other areas won’t receive nearly as much.

Typical for June, this is a feast or famine type pattern.  One county could end up with heavy rain and neighboring counties end up dry.  If you have lived here for awhile then you know exactly what type of pattern this is.

Some areas could still use some rain.

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 6th through June 12th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

 

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers June 13th through June 19th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  85 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers June 17th through June 30th
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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

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These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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