Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 3, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Friday to Friday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  There is a slight chance of lightning late Saturday and Sunday over mainly southeast Missouri.  There is a chance of lightning area-wide Sunday night through Thursday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Low-risk.  I am watching Monday through Wednesday of next week.  I can’t rule out severe thunderstorms.  The overall risk currently appears small.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Possible.  Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will be possible next week.  If we do have repeated rounds of storms then some flooding concerns could develop.  Monitor updates.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  No.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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June 3, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Nice.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 82°  /  SE MO 76° to 80° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 76° to 80° /  South IL 76° to 80°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 82°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 82°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 76° to 80°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:12 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Pleasant camping weather.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 54° to 58°  /  SE MO 52° to 54° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 52° to 54° /  South IL 54° to 58°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 54° to 58°  /  West KY 54° to 58° /  NW TN 54° to 58°
Winds will be from the: Northeast 4 to 8 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 52° to 58°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 8:46 AM
Moonset:  11:58 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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June 4, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High  confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  A few afternoon clouds.  A nice day!
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 80° to 82°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the:   East southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 82°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:12 PM
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Saturday night Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  An isolated shower or thunderstorm will be possible after midnight over primarily southeast Missouri.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: After 2 AM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 62°  /  SE MO 58° to 62° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 60° to 62°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 62° /  NW TN 60° to 62°
Winds will be from the:  South southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Moonrise: 9:45 AM
Moonset:  -:– PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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June 5, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A slight chance of thunderstorms over mainly southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.  The bulk of the region and day will be dry.  A nice day.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 86°  /  SE MO 82° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  South IL 83° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 85°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 86°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor updates.
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:13 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 66°  /  SE MO 63° to 66° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  South IL 63° to 66°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°  /  West KY 63° to 66° /  NW TN 64° to 66°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 10:46 AM
Moonset:  12:33 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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June 6, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Monday Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 82° to 84° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY 82° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 82° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:14 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68°  /  SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 64° to 68° /  South IL 64° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 64° to 68°  /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 11:47 AM
Moonset:  1:03 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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June 7, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 80° to 84° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 82° to 84°  /  West KY 82° to 84° /  NW TN 82° to 84°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:14 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 64° to 68°  /  SE MO 64° to 68° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 64° to 68° /  South IL 64° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 64° to 68°  /  West KY 64° to 68° /  NW TN 64° to 68°
Winds will be from the:  South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 12:49 PM
Moonset:  1:30 AM
The phase of the moon: First Quarter

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June 8, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Wednesday Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 82° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 82° to 84° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:   South southwest because west 7 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
UV Index:  6. High.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:15 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the rain: Before midnight
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 63° to 66°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 63° to 66°  /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 62° to 65°
Winds will be from the: West northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
Moonrise: 1:52 PM
Moonset:  1:56 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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June 9, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:15 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:56 PM
Moonset:  2:22 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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June 10, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  LOW  confidence
Friday Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain:  After 12 pm.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 80° to 84°  /  SE MO 78° to 82° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 78° to 82° /  South IL 82° to 84°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 80° to 84°  /  West KY 80° to 84° /  NW TN 80° to 84°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 78° to 84°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
UV Index:  9. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunset:  8:16 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain:  Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways and lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates.
Moonrise: 4:05 PM
Moonset:  2:48 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through June 12th:   A few storms could be severe next week.  There is not a well defined time period for severe weather.  The general pattern, however, would favor a low-end risk of damaging wind and perhaps hail.  Several rounds of storms are possible next week.  Monitor updates.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   A nice day for the region!
    2.   Mostly dry today through Sunday afternoon.  Isolated precipitation in southeast Missouri and perhaps southwest Illinois late Saturday night/Sunday.
    3.   Unsettled weather next week with multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Friday and Saturday.

Dry conditions Friday through Saturday evening.  No weather concerns.  Nice temperatures.  Not bad for early June.

No wind concerns Friday or Saturday.  Nice camping and fishing weather.

Friday high temperatures

Saturday high temperatures

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Saturday night through Thursday

Late Saturday night a shower or thunderstorm may push into southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.  Overall, the chances are fairly small.  The rest of the region will remain dry.

For the most part, Sunday is shaping up to be dry, as well.  The systems to our west have slowed down a bit.

I can’t 100% rule out something showing up on radar late Saturday night and Sunday.  If that were to happen, then it would most likely be across southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.  The bulk of the region is now shaping up to be dry Saturday night and Sunday.

If you have outdoor plans this weekend, then I couldn’t worry about it.

By Sunday night, shower and thunderstorm chances will likely increase.  Those chances will continue through at least Wednesday evening.

It is not going to rain all of the time.  This is a typical June weather pattern.  A zonal flow jet-stream.  That means the jet stream doesn’t have any significant dips.  It is mostly west to east.

The wind flow won’t be all that impressive.  That should keep our severe weather chances in check.

A few of the storms could produce locally heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty winds, and small hail.  There is a low risk of a couple of damaging wind reports with the most intense storms.

Both the GFS and EC long-range models are showing multiple disturbances moving west to east across our region next week.  I will need to fine-tune the time period of greater precipitation chances.  For now, I have broad-brushed the Sunday night through Wednesday night time period with rain probabilities.

I currently have the highest chances Wednesday.

There could still be adjustments in the rain probabilities as confidence increases in each rain event.

Rain totals will vary next week.  Just like our recent event, some locations could receive several inches of rain.  Other locations won’t receive nearly as much.  It will all come down to the track of each disturbance.

Here is what the WPC/NOAA is forecasting for rain totals next week.  Broad-brushed.  Again, totals will vary.

By Thursday, the frontal boundary responsible for our on and off rain chances will likely push further south.  If that happens, then rain chances will diminish.

At this time, it does appear that will happen.  Sometimes these boundaries can be tricky to forecast.  Especially, when the jet-stream is in a zonal pattern.

For those traveling to Florida, we do have a developing tropical system.  The primary concern with it will be short-lived tornadoes and locally heavy rain.  Gusty winds.

Wind probabilities

Track

Rainfall

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 3rd through June 9th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers June 10th through June 16th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  85 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers June 17th through June 30th
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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

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Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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2016-11-19_11-50-24

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