Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 27/28, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Monday to Monday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  A chance this coming Friday through Sunday.  I will need to monitor next Monday.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Monitor.   Storms this time of the year could produce strong wind gusts and even hail.  Monitor updates.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Low-risk.  There could be brief water issues where thunderstorms occur.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Monitor.  Perhaps Friday, but we may fall just short of 100 degree heat index values.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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June 28, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 86°  /  SE MO 83° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 83° to 86° /  South IL 83° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 84° to 86°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 83° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 58° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 58° to 62° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Light northeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 58° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:56 AM
Moonset:  8:20 PM
The phase of the moon: New

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June 29, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Warmer.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 62° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 62° to 64°  /  West KY 62° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Light southeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 5:45 AM
Moonset:  9:14 PM
The phase of the moon: New

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June 30, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.  More humid.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 93° to 96°  /  SE MO 90° to 94° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 94° /  South IL 90° to 94°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 94°  /  West KY 90° to 94° /  NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 94°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 74°  /  SE MO 72° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 72° to 74° /  South IL 72° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 72° to 74°  /  West KY 72° to 74° /  NW TN 72° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 6:40 AM
Moonset:  9:56 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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July 1, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Friday Forecast: Partly sunny.  Hot.  More humid.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Most likely after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 93° to 96°  /  SE MO 93° to 96° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 93° to 96° /  South IL 93° to 96°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 93° to 96°  /  West KY 93° to 96° /  NW TN 93° to 96°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 93° to 96°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset:  8:19 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. Warm. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 30% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 7:38 AM
Moonset:  10:33 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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July 2, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Saturday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A good chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 60% /  the rest of South IL ~ 60%  /  West KY ~ 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 60%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered to perhaps numerous
Timing of the rain: Most likely after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the: South southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 8:39 AM
Moonset:  11:05 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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July 3, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Medium confidence
Sunday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Highest chances across the southern half of the region.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 60% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 60%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 60% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered to numerous (esp south)
Timing of the rain: Most likely after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 9:39 AM
Moonset:  11:33 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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July 4, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  Low confidence
Monday Forecast: Partly sunny.  A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the rain: Most likely after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 88° to 92°  /  SE MO 88° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 88° to 92° /  South IL 88° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 88° to 92°  /  West KY 88° to 92° /  NW TN 88° to 92°
Winds will be from the:
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 88° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:40 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Monday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20% /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 10:41 AM
Moonset:  11:59 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through July 5th:  Monitor updates.  Storms this time of the year can produce strong wind gusts and even hail.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Nicer weather Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
    2.   Warming trends Thursday into the weekend.
    3.   Perhaps a bit more unsettled as we move towards Friday and the weekend.  Thunderstorm chances.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Monday was beautiful.

John Thompson sent in this photograph of the sunrise!  Western Kentucky.

Wowsers!  What a nice start to the day.

The week is going to start out nice!  High pressure will dominate our weather.  That means a lot of sunshine.  This is not the heat ridge high pressure, but rather a nice high moving in from the northwest.

That equals cooler temperatures.  Lower humidity levels.  All in all it will be A+ weather for your Monday night and Tuesday.  Tuesday night, as well.

Very low humidity levels Tuesday and Wednesday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Slightly warmer by Wednesday.

A warming trend begins mid-week and that will last into Friday.  Expect highs in the 90s to return.  Heat index values near 100 degrees.  Ick weather.

Check out your Tuesday high temperature forecast

Compare that to this coming Friday’s high temperature forecast.  Ick.

Wednesday won’t be muggy.  That is the good news.   Thursday will be slightly more humid and Friday will be humid.

Overall, tonight through Thursday won’t be too bad for late June.

I can’t completely rule out a stray shower or thunderstorm late Thursday near the MO/AR and KY/TN border.  Nothing of significance anticipated.

Instability levels will increase by Friday.  The atmosphere will be unstable enough to support a few showers and thunderstorms.  Scattered.  Where storms occur, they could be locally heavy.  Typical for summer.

A few showers and thunderstorms may linger into Friday night, as well.

A cold front will push into the region late Friday night into Saturday night.  This front will bring additional shower and thunderstorm chances.  Peak precipitation chances now appear to be Saturday.

This will increase our clouds by the weekend.  That could lower high temperatures by Saturday.  We will have to monitor cloud cover.

There are questions about whether a complex of thunderstorms will develop in the region Saturday.

This past Sunday will had an MCS push across the region.  You might see me talk about this quite often during the summer months.  They deliver million dollar rains.

MCS tend to bring widespread showers and thunderstorms.  We weren’t quite sure that would happen this past Sunday, but it did.  That is why the precipitation coverage was so great.  For some, at least.

Rain totals this past Sunday range from nothing to nearly six inches in the region!  That is what MCS’s can do.

This is what the Sunday morning MCS looked like on satellite as it moved in from the north.  This is fairly typical for a satellite view of an MCS.  They usually begin to develop during the afternoon hours and then grow into this during the overnight hours.

The colors represent temperature.  Red colors are very cold cloud tops.  Cumulonimbus clouds! Thunderstorms.

They begin like this.  One or two thunderstorms.

This is what the radar looked like as the MCS formed.  A few scattered intense storms.

And grow into this.

As the storms moved into our region, this is what radar looked like.

There was a lot of moisture in the atmosphere Sunday morning.  Some of these storms were producing one to three inches of rain per hour!

We will just need to monitor Saturday’s weather.  If another MCS does develop, then widespread showers and thunderstorms will occur.  Some storms could be intense.  Again, typical for the summer months.

If you have outdoor plans, then monitor updates moving forward.  I would not cancel my plans.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Sunday, as well.

Uncertainty surrounds the Sunday night through Tuesday time-frame.  If the heat ridge builds back into the region then rain chances will shut off.  Confidence, at this point, isn’t high as to one solution over another.

I need to see more data.

For now, I have low-end thunderstorm chances.

Let’s look at a map or two.

The GFS model is pushing northwest flow in the long range.  Northwest flow of the jet-stream, during the summer months, would mean multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms.  Not as much heat.

Check out how much precipitation it pumps into our region.  Notice how it comes in from northwest to southeast.  That is a classic MCS signature during the summer months.

This is through its entire run.

The GFS ensemble members show some potential for rain.   Notice quite a few members show a wet pattern.

Remember, ensembles are the same model ran over and over again with slightly different beginning variables.  The idea is that the more squares that match, the higher the confidence in the final forecast.

Other model guidance shows the heat ridge building back into the region.

If the heat ridge wins, then dry and hot weather will be the rule.  Right now, it is a battle within the different models.

I will be monitoring trends.

Watch the long range videos.  The long-range team will be discussing these ideas.

The EC heat matrix may is quite warm.  This is the EC ensembles high temperature forecast.

Each row represents one ensemble member.  The date of each row is at the bottom.

The idea is that the more the numbers agree, the higher the confidence in that high temperature.  The earliest dates are on the left.  Later dates on the right.

Double click all images on the blog to enlarge them.

Let’s look at the 30 and 60 day precipitation anomaly maps.

This is from the PAST 30 and 60 days.  I will need to add in Sunday’s rainfall totals to these maps.  It has been dry, as you know.

Past 30 days (in inches)

And 60 day anomalies

 

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 22ndthrough June 28th

Click on the image to expand it.

This outlook covers June 27th through July 3rd

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers July 4th through July 10th

Click on the image to expand it

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  86 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers July 8th through July 21st
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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

 

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Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Facebook! Click the banner.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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