Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 21/22, 2022. Beau’s subscriber’s weather blog update. Not a subscriber? Go to www.weathertalk.com/welcome Once subscribed, download the WeatherTalk app in the app store

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Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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7-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. See the detailed region by region forecast further down in this post.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION. 
SEE THE DAILY DETAILS (REGION BY REGION) FURTHER DOWN IN THIS BLOG UPDATE.


48-hour forecast



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Wednesday to Wednesday

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  Yes.  There will be a chance of lightning Wednesday and Wednesday night.  A chance Sunday and Sunday night along another cold front.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  Possible.  A few storms could be intense Wednesday.  I will monitor Sunday and Sunday evening.

The NWS officially defines a severe thunderstorm as a storm with 58 mph wind or greater, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast?  Low-risk.  There could be brief water issues where thunderstorms occur.

4. Will the heat index exceed 100 degrees?  Yes.  Tuesday through Saturday.  Heat index values will be near or slightly above 100 degrees.

5.  Is measurable snow or ice in the forecast?   No.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? No.

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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Warm.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 73° to 76°  /  SE MO 73° to 76° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 73° to 76° /  South IL 73° to 76°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 73° to 76°  /  West KY 73° to 76° /  NW TN 73° to 76°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 73° to 76°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 1:10 AM
Moonset:  1:30 PM
The phase of the moon: Last Quarter

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June 22, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Wednesday  Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot. Muggy. A chance of thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Mostly after 12 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 96° to 102°  /  SE MO 96° to 102° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 96° to 102° /  South IL 96° to 102°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 96° to 102°  /  West KY 96° to 102° /  NW TN 96° to 102°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 104° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values. Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty winds near storms. Small hail if storms form.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars.
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Wednesday night Forecast: Partly cloudy.  A chance of thunderstorms (mainly during the evening).
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 30% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 30%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 30%  /  West KY ~ 30%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 30%  /  NW TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Before midnight.
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 68° to 72° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 63° to 66° /  South IL 64° to 68°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 66° to 68°  /  West KY 70° to 72° /  NW TN 70° to 72°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 68° to 72°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.  Gusty wind in thunderstorms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the weather radars.
Moonrise: 1:44 AM
Moonset:  2:32 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 23, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 90° to 92°  /  SE MO 90° to 92° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 92° /  South IL 90° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 92°  /  West KY 90° to 92° /  NW TN 90° to 92°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:35 AM
Sunset:  8:21 PM
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Thursday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 62° to 64°  /  SE MO 62° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 64° /  South IL 62° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 64°  /  West KY 62° to 64° /  NW TN 62° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:44 AM
Moonset:  3:32 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 24, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Friday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 95°  /  SE MO 92° to 95° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 92° to 95° /  South IL 92° to 95°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 92° to 95°  /  West KY 92° to 95° /  NW TN 92° to 95°
Winds will be from the:  East southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 92° to 95°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Friday night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 70° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 70° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  Light southeast wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 2:35 AM
Moonset:  4:34 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 25, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Hot.  Muggy.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 95° to 100°  /  SE MO 95° to 100° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 95° to 100° /  South IL 95° to 100°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 95° to 100°  /  West KY 95° to 100° /  NW TN 95° to 100°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 95° to 100°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Saturday night Forecast: Mostly clear. A slight chance of thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 10% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 10%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 10% /  the rest of South IL ~ 10%  /  West KY ~ 10%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 10%  /  NW TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Timing of the rain: After 9 PM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 72° to 74°  /  SE MO 70° to 74° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 70° to 74° /  South IL 70° to 74°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 70° to 74°  /  West KY 70° to 74° /  NW TN 72° to 74°
Winds will be from the:  South southwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 70° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 3:03 AM
Moonset:  5:35 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 26, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Sunday Forecast: Becoming partly sunny. Hot. A thunderstorm will be possible.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 40% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 40%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 40% /  the rest of South IL ~ 40%  /  West KY ~ 40%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 40%  /  NW TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Any given point of time
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 92° to 95°  /  SE MO 92° to 95° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 90° to 92° /  South IL 90° to 92°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 90° to 92°  /  West KY 90° to 94° /  NW TN 90° to 94°
Winds will be from the:  Southwest becoming west northwest 7 to 14 mph. Gusty, at times.
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 94° to 98°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Gusty winds near thunderstorms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:36 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Sunday night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 20% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 20%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 20% /  the rest of South IL ~ 20%  /  West KY ~ 20%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 20%  /  NW TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Timing of the rain: Before 1 AM
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 68° to 70°  /  SE MO 62° to 65° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 62° to 65° /  South IL 62° to 65°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 62° to 65°  /  West KY 62° to 65° /  NW TN 66° to 70°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 62° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check the radars
Moonrise: 3:35 AM
Moonset:  6:35 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 27, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Monday Forecast: Mostly sunny.  Nicer.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 84° to 88°  /  SE MO 84° to 88° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 84° to 88° /  South IL 84° to 88°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 84° to 88°  /  West KY 84° to 88° /  NW TN 84° to 88°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 8 to 16 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Monday  night Forecast: Mostly clear.  Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 56° to 60° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 56° to 60° /  South IL 56° to 60°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 58° to 62°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 56° to 62°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:14 AM
Moonset:  7:34 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent

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June 28, 2022
How confident am I that this day’s forecast will verify?  High confidence
Tuesday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 83° to 86°  /  SE MO 83° to 86° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 83° to 86° /  South IL 83° to 86°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border) 83° to 86°  /  West KY 83° to 86° /  NW TN 83° to 86°
Winds will be from the:  North northeast 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 83° to 86°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:37 AM
Sunset:  8:20 PM
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Tuesday night Forecast: Mostly clear. Pleasant.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO Bootheel ~ 0% /  the rest of SE MO ~ 0%  /    I-64 Corridor South IL ~ 0% /  the rest of South IL ~ 0%  /  West KY ~ 0%  /   NW KY (near Indiana border) ~ 0%  /  NW TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the rain:
Temperature range: MO Bootheel 60° to 64°  /  SE MO 60° to 64° / I-64 Corridor of South IL 60° to 64° /  South IL 60° to 64°  /  Northwest KY (near Indiana border 60° to 64°  /  West KY 60° to 64° /  NW TN 60° to 64°
Winds will be from the:  Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 60° to 64°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 4:56 AM
Moonset:  8:20 PM
The phase of the moon: New

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** The farming portion of the blog has been moved further down.  Scroll down to the weekly temperature and precipitation outlook.  You will find the farming and long range graphics there. **


Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

 



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Today through June 26th:  I am monitoring Wednesday for thunderstorms.  Model guidance is mixed on the idea.  A cold front will push into the region from the north.  This could allow just enough lift for some thunderstorm activity.  If storms develop, then they could be severe.  The primary concern will be damaging wind and small hail.

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Today’s outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.

The tan states are simply a region that SPC outlined on this particular map. Just ignore that.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook.

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The images below are from the WPC. Their totals are a bit lower than our current forecast. I wanted to show you the comparison.

24-hour precipitation outlook.


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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Weather Discussion

    1.   Hot.
    2.   Monitoring a cold front Wednesday with a chance of thunderstorms.
    3.   Heat index values won’t be as high this week as they were last week.
    4.   Cooler Sunday and Monday.
    5.   Heat may return end of the month into first part of July.

 

Weather advice:

Make sure you are using the Beau Dodson Weather Talk app and not text messages.  We can’t rely on Verizon and ATT to send out the text messages in a timely manner.  Thus, we made the app.  See links at the bottom of the page.

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Forecast Discussion

Monday wasn’t too bad.  Dew points were lower.  Thus, even though it was in the 90s it felt better outside than last week.

Dew points will be a bit higher Wednesday ahead of our next cold front.  The front will be a weak one.

A heat advisory is possible Wednesday with dew points approaching 70 degrees.  That will push heat index values above 100.

This front will push in from the north.  Much like last weeks cold front.

Some thunderstorms may develop along the cold front.  It does not appear to be a widespread shower and thunderstorm event.  It appears to be a scattered thunderstorm event.

Where thunderstorms occur, they will produce very heavy rain (summer gully-washers).  A few storms could produce downburst winds or strong wind gusts.  Small hail is also possible.

A downburst is a strong downward current of air that causes damaging winds on or near the ground. They initiate high up in the atmosphere, where relatively dry air is entrained inside of an intense thunderstorm. The dry air evaporates some of the storm’s raindrops, which has a cooling effect. Since this cooler air is denser than the warm air that surrounds it, it sinks rapidly toward the surface. When it hits the ground, it spreads out radially – in straight lines in all directions. Reaching speeds in excess of 100mph, a downburst will knock down trees and other obstacles leaving a trail of debris all facing the same direction.

These straight-line wind events, according to the NWS, can vary in size and duration. When they cover an area less than 2.5 miles, they are referred to as microbursts. These typically last between 5 and 15 minutes. Larger events, known as macrobursts, affect an area greater than 2.5 miles and last from 5 to 30 minutes.

While short-lived, these powerful winds can pose a threat to property on the ground as well as airplanes in the process of taking off or landing.

Example.  Wednesday isn’t a perfect setup for downbursts, but there could be one or two if storms form.

The front will not bring much cooler air.

Thursday through Saturday will be hot.  Somewhat humid, but not unbearable.  I did lower Thursday’s highs from three to six degrees.  We will take what we can get.

Saturday may be the hottest day.  A heat advisory is possible Saturday.

A strong cold front is forecast to arrive Saturday night and Sunday.  Some thunderstorms will again be possible.  If storms develop, they could be intense.

The good news is that Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday will be cooler and less humid.

You can see that “cooler” air arrive on these high temperature graphics.  Check out Monday.

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

Monday

There are indications the heat builds back in after that.

The heat has been coming in waves.  It is hot, hot, hot, somewhat cooler, hot, hot, hot, somewhat cooler, hot, hot, hot.  That seems to be the pattern.

The long range video has been going into detail about the July forecast.  Heat appears very likely.  Perhaps dry, as well.

We will just have to monitor the drought conditions.  I know many people still need rain.

 

Use common sense heat safety rules.

Time to remember the heat safety rules.  We don’t want anyone becoming sick from the heat.

 

 

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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.

What should I take from these?

  1. The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
  2. The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.

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What am I looking at?
You are looking at different models. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather. All models are wrong. Some are more wrong than others. Meteorologists have to make a forecast based on the guidance/models.

I show you these so you can see what the different models are showing as far as precipitation. If most of the models agree, then the confidence in the final weather forecast increases.

You can see my final forecast at the top of the page.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This animation is the HRW FV3 high resolution model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

 

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This animation is the Storm Prediction Center WRF model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

 

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This animation is the Hrrr short-range model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the next system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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.This animation is the higher-resolution 3K NAM American Model.

Double click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the lower-resolution NAM American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the GFS American Model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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This next animation is the EC European Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

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This next animation is the Canadian Weather model.

This animation shows you what radar might look like as the system pulls through the region. It is a future-cast radar.

Time-stamp upper left. Click the animation to enlarge it.

Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time.  12z=7 AM.  18z=1 PM.  00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM

 

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Double click the graphics below to enlarge them.

These graphics are usually not updated until after 10 AM

Double click on image to enlarge it

 

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″

Yellow and orange colors are above average temperatures. Red is much above average. Light blue and blue are below-average temperatures. Green to purple colors represents much below-average temperatures.

This outlook covers June 22nd through June 28th

Click on the image to expand it.

These are usually updated between 8:30 and 9:30 AM

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Red/orange is below average. Green/blue is above average. Blue is much above average.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 83 degrees

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 64 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.20″
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This outlook covers June 29th through July 5th

Click on the image to expand it.

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF AVERAGE. Brown is below average. Green is above average. Blue is much above average.

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THIS IS UPDATED ON TUESDAY AND FRIDAY
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Outlook definitions
EC = Equal chances of above or below average
BN= Below average
M/BN = Much below average
AN = Above average
M/AN = Much above average
E/AN = Extremely above average
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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around  86 degrees
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 2.00″ to 2.40″

This outlook covers July 5th through July 18th
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Precipitation outlook

 

Monthly Outlooks

SUMMER OUTLOOK

E/BN extremely below normal.
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal.

Double click on the images to enlarge them.

June through August temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

June Temperature Outlook

June Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

July Temperature Outlook

July Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

August Temperature Outlook

August Precipitation Outlook

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E/BN extremely below normal
M/BN is much below normal
EC equal chances
AN above normal
M/AN much above normal
E/AN extremely above normal

September Temperature Outlook

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Great news! The videos are now found in your WeatherTalk app and on the WeatherTalk website.

These are bonus videos for subscribers.

The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here



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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99

Our new Zoom radar with storm chases

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.

College of Dupage satellites. Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Find Beau on Twitter! Share your weather photos! @beaudodson

2016-11-19_11-50-24

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