Videos can be viewed at this link. Long Range Video Update
If you believe you missed a video then you can also click the LIVE FEED link on the Weather Talk website. That page holds links for several days.
I can text you the videos, as well. Make sure you have text option FOUR turned on. That would be the Weather Extra text option. Sign up for the text messages at www.beaudodsonweather.com
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This forecast update covers southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, western Kentucky. and northwest Tennessee.
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June 20, 2017
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear south. Northern counties of southern Illinois will have an increase in clouds with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm tonight. A slight chance for a shower making it all the way to northwest Kentucky (towards Evansville)
Temperatures: MO ~ 62 to 66 IL ~ 62 to 66 KY ~ 62 to 66 TN ~ 62 to 66
Winds: Variable at 5 mph.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Northern counties of southern IL may see a thunderstorm after 11 pm.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation: MO ~ 10% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most areas none. Maybe a few showers over our northern counties late tonight.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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A tropical system will move into portions of the Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday into the weekend. The track of this system is key to our weather forecast. Very heavy rain will fall along its path. Numerous locations will receive 3 to 6 inches of rain. Hopefully it will not track into our region, but there is a possibility it will.
Monitor updated forecasts concerning this event.
Beau’s long range outlook video update by Meteorologist Michael Clark’s has been posted here for my subscribers
https://weathertalk.com/app/beaucast
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June 21, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. Quite warm. Odds favor dry for most areas. I will be monitoring northern parts of southern Illinois for a decaying line of storms early in the morning.
Temperatures: MO ~ 86 to 92 IL 86 to 92 KY 86 to 92 TN 86 to 92
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Small chance for a thunderstorm over northern parts of southern Illinois.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: An increase in clouds. Mild. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm, mainly late.
Temperatures: MO ~ 66 to 72 IL ~ 66 to 72 KY ~ 66 to 72 TN ~ 68 to 74
Winds: S SW 5 to 10 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps wet roadways and lightning
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation: MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered late tonight.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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June 22, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms possible. Locally heavy rain possible. Best chance will be during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures: MO ~ 82 to 86 IL 80 to 85 KY 82 to 86 TN 82 to 86
Winds: S and SW at 6 to 12 mph with higher gusts possible
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning possible. Locally heavy rain could be an issue for some areas.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected? Small risk for high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a back up plan in mind
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Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Mild. Showers and thunderstorms possible. There could be a dry slot on Thursday night. That would lessen rain chances. If showers and storms occur, they could produce heavy rain.
Temperatures: MO ~ 68 to 74 IL ~ 68 to 74 KY ~ 68 to 74 TN ~ 68 to 74
Winds: S SW 6 to 12 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Monitor updates concerning heavy rain.
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation: MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60% TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps numerous.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a back up plan in mind
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June 23, 2017
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some storms could produce flash flooding. Not as warm, because of rain and clouds. Humid.
Temperatures: MO ~ 82 to 86 IL 82 to 86 KY 82 to 86 TN 82 to 86
Winds: S and SW at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 18 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Monitor updates concerning heavy rain. Isolated tornado risk possible.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates. A few reports of high winds possible. Short lived tornadoes possible with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 80% IL ~ 80% KY ~ 80% TN ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
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Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms possible, especially early.
Temperatures: MO ~ 62 to 68 IL ~62 to 68 KY ~ 62 to 68 TN ~ 65 to 70
Winds: S SW at 6 to 12 mph becoming northwest
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Monitor updates concerning heavy rain.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation: MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous early and then scattered. Some question on the timing of precipitation pushing further east.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
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Some data shows rain chances continuing into the weekend. For now, I have slight chances for showers and storms. Confidence is lower than normal on the weekend forecast.
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June 24, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. Most likely rain will have ended.
Temperatures: MO ~ 78 to 84 IL 78 to 84 KY 78 to 84 TN 78 to 84
Winds: N NW at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps isolated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance for a shower.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 64 IL ~ 58 to 64 KY ~ 58 to 64 TN ~ 58 to 64
Winds: N NW 6 to 12 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Maybe wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation: MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
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June 25, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. Quite warm. A chance for a thunderstorm.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 64 IL 58 to 64 KY 58 to 64 TN 58 to 64
Winds: N NW at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps some wet roadways. Perhaps some lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
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Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Warm. A chance for a thunderstorm.
Temperatures: MO ~ 56 to 62 IL ~ 56 to 62 KY ~ 56 to 62 TN ~ 56 to 62
Winds: N NW 6 to 12 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation: MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Showers should have ended
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
National interactive radar: Click this link.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
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The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
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The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
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The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users. The purpose of this app is for me to deliver your text messages instantly. ATT and Verizon have not always been reliable when it comes to speed. The app allows instant delivery.
Some of you have asked if you can keep receiving the texts on your phone and the app. The answer to that is, yes. The Android app will automatically allow that to happen. On the Apple app, however, you will need to go into your app and click settings. Make sure the green tab is OFF. Off means you will still receive the texts to your phone and the app. If you have any questions, then email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC. I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com
WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
